Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery anode materials are undergoing a significant transformation from traditional graphite to a diverse high energy density system, with lithium metal anodes being a key driver for solid-state battery energy density breakthroughs [2][5]. Industry Overview - The theoretical specific capacity of lithium metal anodes reaches 3860 mAh/g, significantly higher than graphite (372 mAh/g) and silicon-carbon anodes (3590 mAh/g), and they exhibit low voltage platform characteristics [2][5]. - Solid-state electrolytes, due to their high mechanical strength, suppress dendrite formation and are optimally compatible with lithium metal anodes [2][3]. Technical Challenges and Solutions - Key bottlenecks for lithium metal anodes include volume expansion, lithium dendrite issues, complex interfacial reactions, and high preparation process difficulties [3]. - Recent improvement strategies focus on limiting lithium volume expansion, reducing ion flow and surface current density, and constructing stable and fast ion transport surface SEI through various methods [3]. Manufacturing Processes - The preparation process of lithium metal anodes is crucial for their industrial application, with the industry currently exhibiting a multi-route parallel and high-low end scenario differentiation [4]. - Mainstream processes are categorized into mature mass production-oriented (calendering), high-end technology breakthrough (sputtering), and cutting-edge research exploration (liquid phase method, no anode solution) [4]. - The sputtering method is expected to continuously optimize costs and become the mainstream process for solid-state batteries [4]. Market Potential - The lithium metal anode market is primarily composed of lithium companies, anode manufacturers, and foil material suppliers, with lithium companies having cost and quality advantages in raw material preparation [5]. - According to the "China Solid-State Battery Industry Development White Paper (2025)", global solid-state battery shipments are projected to reach 614.1 GWh by 2030, with nearly 30% being all-solid-state [5]. - Assuming a 20% penetration rate for lithium metal anodes, the estimated market potential by 2030 is nearly 10 billion yuan [5]. Investment Targets - Companies to watch in the lithium metal anode sector include Yinglian Co., Ltd. (002846.SZ), Tiantie Technology (300587.SZ), as well as Ganfeng Lithium (002460.SZ), Putailai (603659.SH), Yiwei Lithium Energy (300014.SZ), Guoxuan High-Tech (002074.SZ), Defu Technology (301511.SZ), and Daoshi Technology (300409.SZ) [6].

Core Viewpoint - The profit in the new energy vehicle (NEV) industry chain remains highly concentrated in the battery segment, with leading companies demonstrating strong anti-cyclical capabilities despite a slight decline in their market share by Q2 2025 [1] Profitability - The return on equity (ROE) differentiation continues in Q2 2025, with a notable improvement in the copper foil segment. The proportion of companies with a year-on-year decline in ROE decreased from 70% in 2024 to 57% in 2025. The overall ROE in the lithium battery industry chain has shown recovery, with mixed performance in the battery segment and significant improvement in the copper foil segment [2] Solvency - Leading companies are reducing their debt levels while others are increasing leverage to alleviate financial pressure. The operating cash flow continues to flow towards battery leaders, with total cash flow for the entire industry chain reaching 287.4 billion, 42 billion, and 69.2 billion in 2024, Q1 2025, and Q2 2025 respectively. The combined cash flow for leading battery companies, CATL and BYD, accounted for 81%, 99%, and 71% of these amounts [3] Operational Efficiency - The turnover rate has improved, with inventory and accounts receivable remaining stable. In H1 2025, 64% of companies experienced a year-on-year decline in fixed asset turnover, a significant reduction from 96% in 2024, indicating improved asset utilization. The overall inventory turnover rate remained stable, with 55% of companies experiencing a decline, while accounts receivable turnover also saw a 55% decline, indicating slightly increased collection pressure [4] Financial Framework - Profitability turning points are imminent for lithium iron phosphate, batteries, anodes, and copper foil. Leading companies have seen ROE improvements over the past eight quarters, including CATL, Fulimeng Technology, and Shantai Technology, with profitability in lithium iron phosphate, anodes, and copper foil showing quarter-on-quarter improvement. Capital expenditure has remained low since peaking in Q4 2022, with a tight supply-demand balance expected in 2024 and H1 2025 [5]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Industry Focus**: Solid-state battery sector and lithium battery industry - **Growth Drivers**: China's 2035 renewable energy targets, with wind and solar capacity expected to exceed six times that of 2020, and the rise of electric vehicles as mainstream sales vehicles [1][2] Key Insights - **Energy Storage Battery Sector**: - Major energy storage battery manufacturers have implemented price increases, improving supply-demand dynamics. - Anticipated 40% year-on-year growth in orders for leading manufacturers by 2026 due to tax incentives and demand surges in both domestic and U.S. markets [1][2] - **Solid-State Battery Industrialization**: - Confidence in solid-state battery performance from leading manufacturers, with prototype vehicle testing and small-scale production expected to accelerate industrialization. - Market forecasts predict demand exceeding 100 GWh by 2036, with potential for earlier realization if performance improvements and cost reductions exceed expectations [1][4] - **Hunan Youneng's Profit Recovery**: - Expected increase in self-supply rate of phosphate rock to 30-40%, leading to a profit increase of 300-400 RMB per ton. - Projected profits for next year could reach 2 billion RMB, supported by cost reduction and new product structures [1][7] - **Longpan Technology's Overseas Expansion**: - Anticipated profits of approximately 600 million RMB from 120,000 tons of iron-lithium capacity in Indonesia, with overall profit projections for next year around 900 million RMB [1][8] Market Dynamics - **Lithium Battery Sector**: - Strong performance in the lithium battery sector, with leading companies like CATL seeing significant stock price increases and market capitalization exceeding 1.8 trillion RMB [2] - The sector is characterized by robust fundamentals and attractive valuations, making it suitable for investment [2] - **Lithium Hexafluorophosphate Price Recovery**: - Improved supply-demand dynamics leading to higher processing fees, with expectations of an increase of 10,000 to 20,000 RMB next year, benefiting leading companies like Tianci Materials [3][14] - **Negative Electrode Material Valuation**: - Companies like Shanshan Technology and Putailai are highlighted for their low valuations and potential for profit recovery, with Shanshan expected to increase profits significantly post-integration of production capacity [3][9] Investment Recommendations - **Investment Priorities**: - Equipment sector prioritized, followed by materials with inflation attributes or new product iterations, and finally the battery sector with strong growth certainty [5] - Specific recommendations include CATL for battery production, and companies like Yiwei Lithium Energy and Zhuhai Guanyu for second-tier energy storage [5][6] - **Material Sector Outlook**: - The material sector is at a turning point, with strong demand in the energy storage industry and expected price increases due to limited new capacity [12][13] - **Solid-State Battery Material Focus**: - Key areas include electrolytes, lithium metal anodes, and current collectors, with a focus on high-purity lithium sulfide and nickel-copper alloy solutions [10][11] Conclusion - The solid-state battery and lithium battery sectors are poised for significant growth driven by favorable market conditions, technological advancements, and supportive government policies. Key players in these sectors are expected to benefit from increased demand and improved profitability in the coming years.

一直以来，广发证券主动担起金融机构的主体责任，发挥业务优势，打造丰富的投教载体，贯彻资本市 场人民性立场，树牢金融为民的理念，引领投资者教育工作走在行业前列。随着一系列新政策的出台， 我国资本市场进入新发展阶段，广发证券特在《中国证券报》开设"投研财富+"投教专栏，聚焦新质生 产力方向和市场热点，向广大投资者普及专业投研框架、分享专业机构观点，帮助投资者掌握投资分析 方法，更加有效维护投资者特别是中小投资者合法权益，持续提升投资者的获得感，聚力推动我国资本 市场实现高质量发展。 在产业和技术共振下，固态电池产业化持续加速，建议可以关注产业链中的变化/增量环节，包括硫化 物电解质及硫化锂、锂金属负极、设备端等环节。同时，也提醒投资者注意固态电池产业化在技术和成 本层面仍面临一定制约，技术层面主要是离子输运机制尚未清晰，存在固固界面接触问题，成本层面主 要是原材料成本高，设备改动增加成本。 但需要提醒的是，固态电池可能面临新技术进展不及预期、新能源汽车销量不及预期、中游价格下跌超 预期等风险情况。 固态电池的应用场景广阔，有望进入快速成长通道。主要应用场景包括消费电子、新能源汽车、低空经 济、机器人等，短期增长有 ...

点击 最 下方 关注《材料汇》 ， 点击"❤"和" "并分享 添加 小编微信 ，寻 志同道合 的你 正文 行业|深度|研究报告 2025年9月 22日 固 态 电 池 负 极 行 业 深 度 : 行 业 背 景、 材 料 体 系、路线进展反相关公司深度梳理 | 一、行业背景 . | | --- | | 二、负极材料主要体系 | | 三、锂金属负极的制备方法. | | 四、埋金属负极改性方案 | | 五、负极路线进展与格局 17 | | 六、相关公司 | | 七、市场规模预测 | | 八、参考研报 25 | 目录 時智能 一、行业背景 1、传统液态锂电池三大痛点制约产业升级 (1)电池 当前 瓶 颈之一 在新能源汽车、消费电子等领域对高性能电池需求迫切的背景下,固态电池凭借安全性高、能量密度显 著提升及快充潜力大等优势,成为全球电池技术前沿热点与关键突破方向。负极材料作为固态电池核心 组成部分,其性能直接决定电池整体表现。传统液态锂电池受限于能量密度、安全性及快充瓶颈,难以 满足未来更高要求,而固态电池以固态电解质替代液态电解质,从根本上解决易燃易泄露隐患,为能量 密度提升开辟新路径,推动负极材料体系深刻变革。 ...

再读固态电池投资机会-正负极&集流体发展方向 20250910 摘要 全固态电池能量密度潜力巨大，理论上可超过 500 瓦时每千克，但固态 电解质的低离子电导率和固固界面问题制约其发展，目前半固态电池已 量产，全固态电池仍在技术攻关阶段。 正极材料未来发展趋势是高比容量和高压平台，短期内高镍三元材料仍 为主流，2030 年后富锂锰基和镍锰酸锂等新型材料将逐步兴起，其中 富锂锰基材料的瓦时成本有望接近磷酸铁锂。 负极材料方面，2030 年前硅碳负极将成为主流，其理论比容量是石墨 的 10 倍，但存在体积膨胀问题，可通过碳包覆和金属氧化物包覆技术 优化。未来，锂金属负极将成为高能量密度电池的选择。 锂金属负极面临体积膨胀、死锂和枝晶生长等挑战。理想厚度为 5~6 微 米，蒸镀工艺能有效控制沉积厚度、防止枝晶、提高纯净度，并增强结 合力，从而减少循环过程中的损伤。 集流体方面，多孔铜箔因其快充性能、高能量密度和抑制枝晶能力，适 用于锂金属负极固态电池。但硫化物电解质易腐蚀铜箔，未来可能转向 镍基或不锈钢集流体。 Q&A 固态正极材料的发展方向是什么？ 未来正极材料的发展方向是向高比容量、高压平台演进。短期内，高镍三 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is actively engaged in forward-looking research in the field of new energy materials, specifically focusing on silicon-carbon anodes and lithium metal anodes for solid-state batteries [2] Group 1: Company Developments - The company has completed the construction of a pilot production line for silicon-carbon anode materials [2] - Products have entered the evaluation and platform development stages with multiple clients [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company is actively developing and positioning itself in the solid-state battery market, focusing on various anode materials that cater to different technological routes [1] Group 1 - The current solid-state battery landscape features multiple technological routes, each with varying demands for anode materials [1] - The company is engaged in the development of new anode materials, including silicon-carbon anodes and lithium metal anodes, specifically for solid-state batteries [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that Zhongke Electric (300035.SZ) is actively developing and positioning products in new anode materials for solid-state batteries, including silicon-carbon anodes and lithium metal anodes [1] - The company notes that there are multiple technological routes for solid-state batteries, which leads to varying demands for anode materials [1]

Core Viewpoint - Solid-state batteries are expected to become the next generation of lithium battery technology due to their high safety and energy density, with significant investment opportunities arising from technological breakthroughs and industrial transformation [2][4]. Group 1: Market Demand and Projections - The commercialization of solid-state batteries is accelerating due to policy support, market demand, and technological breakthroughs, with a projected global shipment of 808 GWh by 2030 [4][10]. - By 2030, the demand for semi-solid-state batteries is expected to exceed 650 GWh, with specific demands from power, energy storage, EVTOL, and consumer electronics at 466 GWh, 90 GWh, 60 GWh, and 36 GWh respectively [10]. - Full solid-state batteries are anticipated to achieve small-scale production by 2027 and commercial production by 2030, with a demand forecast of over 150 GWh [10]. Group 2: Material Innovations - The solid-state battery technology is converging towards the sulfide electrolyte route, which currently has high costs but significant cost reduction potential with scale [5][12]. - The long-term focus for anode materials is shifting towards lithium metal due to its high capacity and low electrode potential, with ongoing advancements in production methods [25][27]. - The cathode materials are expected to transition from high-nickel ternary materials to lithium-rich manganese-based materials, which offer high capacity and lower costs [23]. Group 3: Equipment and Manufacturing Processes - The value of equipment for solid-state batteries is significantly increasing due to the introduction of new processes and equipment in both the front and mid-stages of production [6][29]. - The front-end production requires dry electrode processes that are more compatible with sulfide electrolytes, enhancing production efficiency and reducing costs [30][32]. - The mid-stage production will replace winding with stacking processes, necessitating new equipment such as glue frame printing and isostatic pressing to ensure tight contact between solid electrolyte and electrodes [31][39]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Various companies are advancing their production capabilities for solid-state battery components, including sulfide and halide electrolytes, with significant investments in R&D and production lines [22][20]. - Companies like Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium are focusing on lithium metal anodes, while others are developing advanced manufacturing techniques for solid-state batteries [27][26]. - The industry is witnessing a shift towards more efficient and cost-effective production methods, with several firms already implementing dry processing technologies [36][41].