Group 1: 嘉元科技 - Shipment target for 2026 is 17wt, with expected capacity of 13-14wt by the end of 2025, considering cautious expansion due to current profits [1] - Solid copper foil shipments are projected at approximately 100t in 2025 and 1kt in 2026 [1] - Single order prices have increased by 1-2k, while long-term contracts with major clients have not yet adjusted; net profit per ton is expected to be 2-3k next year, potentially higher if price increases are realized [1] Group 2: 中一科技 - Lithium battery and electronic shipments are targeted at 6wt+ and 1-1.5wt for 2025, with 6-6.5wt and 2wt for 2026; current capacities are 4wt and 1.5wt [1] - Price increases of 1-2k have been implemented for small clients, while major clients' prices are determined through semi-annual bidding; a planned price increase of 2k is expected in December [1] - The company aims to establish a self-generated negative electrode pilot line by mid-2026 [1] Group 3: 诺德股份 - Monthly shipments have increased from 5-5.5kt before August to 6k in September and 7kt in October, with projections of 8kt+ in November and December [1] - Total capacity is currently 14wt, with an expected increase of 1.5wt next year; price increases are anticipated due to supply-demand gaps [1] - High-end products, particularly 4.5μm, accounted for over 60% in H1 2025 and are expected to exceed 70% currently [1] Group 4: 天际股份 - Shipment target for next year is over 5wt, with current shipments between 3.8w-3.9wt and monthly shipments around 3.8-4k [2] - Some core clients have accepted monthly price negotiations, with December prices expected to be no lower than 15w [2] - Lithium sulfide production is expected to reach 20-30 tons next year, with a unit price exceeding 200w [2] Group 5: 安达科技 - Shipment targets are set at 11wt for 2025 and 15wt for 2026, with full production expected by Q1 2026 [2] - The company plans to finalize pricing for H1 2026 by mid-December, with small clients currently paying 2-3k more than large clients [2] - Expected processing fee for iron lithium in 2026 is around 1.6w, with a price increase of 2k anticipated [2] Group 6: 英联股份 - A procurement agreement for composite aluminum foil for solid-state applications has been signed, with expected production of 2kw in 2026 and 3kw in 2027 [2] - The total value of the agreement is estimated at 3-4 billion, with the first batch expected to ship in December [2] - The lithium metal negative electrode production line is set to begin installation in December, with plans for batch product supply by Q1 2026 [2]

Core Viewpoint - The 2025 Qidian Solid-State Battery Industry Annual Conference highlighted the evolution and future of solid-state battery technologies, emphasizing the importance of collaboration among industry leaders to address challenges and explore new opportunities in the sector [2]. Group 1: Industry Trends and Perspectives - The conference gathered over 500 key players from the solid-state battery supply chain and more than 1000 high-level representatives to discuss new trends and opportunities in the industry [2]. - Experts discussed the positioning of semi-solid and solid-state batteries, suggesting that semi-solid batteries may not merely be transitional but could establish a significant market presence due to their safety and energy density advantages [4][5]. - The consensus among experts is that solid-state batteries face significant challenges, particularly regarding the solid electrolyte and interface issues, which are critical for their future commercialization [6][10]. Group 2: Material Systems and Innovations - The discussion revealed that no single material can address all challenges in solid-state battery development, leading to the exploration of composite materials to enhance performance [9]. - Various electrolyte systems, including sulfide, oxide, polymer, and halide, were examined, with each having its strengths and weaknesses, indicating a need for further innovation and modification to improve conductivity and stability [8][11]. - The potential of silicon-carbon anodes was highlighted as a promising solution for enhancing energy density and safety in solid-state batteries, with ongoing research aimed at overcoming existing challenges [10][12]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Experts expressed optimism about the future of solid-state batteries, believing that with continued collaboration and innovation, the industry can overcome current obstacles and achieve significant advancements [12]. - The need for a breakthrough in materials science was emphasized, with hopes for a versatile material that can meet the diverse requirements of solid-state battery applications [9].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of solid-state batteries, particularly focusing on lithium metal anodes, which can achieve higher energy density compared to traditional graphite anodes. The report highlights the various preparation methods for lithium metal and identifies the rolling method as the most promising for large-scale implementation [3][21][22]. - The report notes that the current valuation of the solid-state battery sector is 36x, with a positioning of approximately 76%, indicating potential for further growth due to recent breakthroughs in electrolyte performance and solid-solid interface contact [5][13]. - Key companies to watch include Tian Tie Technology, Ying Lian Co., and Zhong Yi Technology, which are making significant advancements in lithium metal products and related technologies [6][48]. Summary by Sections Valuation - The solid-state battery sector is currently valued at 36x, with a positioning of about 76%. Recent breakthroughs in electrolyte performance and solid-solid interface issues are expected to catalyze further growth in the sector [5][13]. Pain Points - Lithium metal anodes face several challenges, including lithium dendrite formation, the generation of "dead lithium," cycling life challenges, and volume expansion of lithium. Strategies to address these issues include modifying the anode current collector, lithium/copper integration, and exploring anode-free technologies [4][31][32][43]. Key Segments - The report identifies promising directions for lithium metal anodes, including the convergence of preparation paths, with a focus on rolling and vapor deposition methods. New technologies such as porous copper foils, lithium/copper integrated materials, and anode-free technologies are highlighted as areas of potential growth [47][48].

Core Viewpoint - The company is actively advancing the development and product layout of silicon-carbon anodes and lithium metal anodes, with silicon-carbon anode materials preparing to enter the mass production phase, which will be determined based on customer demand and market conditions [1] Group 1 - The company is focusing on the development of silicon-carbon anodes and lithium metal anodes [1] - Silicon-carbon anode materials are set to enter the mass production introduction phase [1] - The timeline for mass production will depend on customer needs and market conditions [1]

Core Insights - Recent advancements in solid-state battery research in China, particularly by a team led by Huang Xuejie from the Chinese Academy of Sciences, have introduced an anion regulation technology that addresses the interface contact issues between the electrolyte and lithium electrode, crucial for practical applications [1][2][10] - The solid-solid interface problem has been a significant barrier to the commercialization of all-solid-state lithium batteries, and the new findings are seen as a key technological support for their practical use [1][2] Research Breakthroughs - The research team has developed a method to introduce iodine ions into the electrolyte, which migrate to the electrode interface during battery operation, forming a lithium-rich interface that fills gaps and maintains tight contact between the electrode and electrolyte [3][4] - This innovation allows for a self-repairing interface that can function effectively under low pressure and without external force, addressing a critical challenge in solid-state battery engineering [3][5] Industry Reactions - The research has garnered significant attention within the industry, with many battery company executives congratulating Huang Xuejie on the breakthrough, indicating its potential impact on the sector [2][6] - Companies are actively researching solid-state battery materials, including iodine-containing lithium salts, to enhance lithium ion conductivity and address engineering challenges [5][6] Market Opportunities - Solid-state batteries have not yet achieved mass production, and their adoption in applications like drones and robots is expected to grow due to their advantages in energy density and performance [8][9] - The solid-state battery supply chain is characterized by domestic manufacturers leading in mass production while foreign companies control core technologies, indicating a competitive landscape [8][9] Future Prospects - The breakthrough in solid-state electrolyte technology is anticipated to accelerate the practical application of all-solid-state batteries, although challenges remain in scaling production and reducing costs [10] - The development of solid-state battery materials and technologies is seen as a critical area for future investment and innovation within the industry [10]

Core Viewpoint - Recent advancements in solid-state battery research in China, particularly a breakthrough by a team from the Chinese Academy of Sciences, have addressed the interface issues between solid electrolytes and lithium electrodes, paving the way for practical applications of all-solid-state lithium batteries [1][2][14]. Group 1: Research Breakthroughs - The research team developed an anion regulation technology that enhances the contact between the electrolyte and lithium electrode, which has been a significant barrier to the commercialization of all-solid-state batteries [1][4]. - The findings were published in the journal "Nature-Sustainability" on October 7, indicating a critical step towards the practical application of solid-state lithium batteries [1][2]. Group 2: Industry Reactions - The research has garnered significant attention within the industry, with many battery company executives congratulating the team and sharing the news on social media [2]. - Liu Yang, director of Tianqi Lithium's Innovation Research Institute, highlighted the importance of the research in addressing the dynamic contact issues in solid-state batteries, which is a common challenge in engineering applications globally [7][14]. Group 3: Technical Insights - The introduction of iodine ions into the electrolyte allows for the formation of a lithium-rich interface that can fill gaps and maintain tight contact between the electrode and electrolyte, even under low pressure [4][7]. - Solid-state electrolytes can be categorized into sulfides, oxides, polymers, and halides, with sulfides being the mainstream due to their ionic conductivity [5][12]. Group 4: Industry Opportunities - The solid-state battery industry has not yet achieved mass production, which presents both challenges and opportunities for companies involved in the supply chain [12][14]. - The domestic market is seeing a competitive landscape where local manufacturers dominate mass production while foreign companies control core technologies [12][13]. Group 5: Future Directions - The research indicates a potential shift towards using iodine-containing lithium salts, which could lead to advancements in solid-state battery technology [8][12]. - The development of solid-state batteries is expected to open new applications in sectors requiring high energy density and lightweight solutions, such as drones and robotics [12][14].

Core Viewpoint - The lithium battery anode materials are undergoing a significant transformation from traditional graphite to a diverse high energy density system, with lithium metal anodes being a key driver for solid-state battery energy density breakthroughs [2][5]. Industry Overview - The theoretical specific capacity of lithium metal anodes reaches 3860 mAh/g, significantly higher than graphite (372 mAh/g) and silicon-carbon anodes (3590 mAh/g), and they exhibit low voltage platform characteristics [2][5]. - Solid-state electrolytes, due to their high mechanical strength, suppress dendrite formation and are optimally compatible with lithium metal anodes [2][3]. Technical Challenges and Solutions - Key bottlenecks for lithium metal anodes include volume expansion, lithium dendrite issues, complex interfacial reactions, and high preparation process difficulties [3]. - Recent improvement strategies focus on limiting lithium volume expansion, reducing ion flow and surface current density, and constructing stable and fast ion transport surface SEI through various methods [3]. Manufacturing Processes - The preparation process of lithium metal anodes is crucial for their industrial application, with the industry currently exhibiting a multi-route parallel and high-low end scenario differentiation [4]. - Mainstream processes are categorized into mature mass production-oriented (calendering), high-end technology breakthrough (sputtering), and cutting-edge research exploration (liquid phase method, no anode solution) [4]. - The sputtering method is expected to continuously optimize costs and become the mainstream process for solid-state batteries [4]. Market Potential - The lithium metal anode market is primarily composed of lithium companies, anode manufacturers, and foil material suppliers, with lithium companies having cost and quality advantages in raw material preparation [5]. - According to the "China Solid-State Battery Industry Development White Paper (2025)", global solid-state battery shipments are projected to reach 614.1 GWh by 2030, with nearly 30% being all-solid-state [5]. - Assuming a 20% penetration rate for lithium metal anodes, the estimated market potential by 2030 is nearly 10 billion yuan [5]. Investment Targets - Companies to watch in the lithium metal anode sector include Yinglian Co., Ltd. (002846.SZ), Tiantie Technology (300587.SZ), as well as Ganfeng Lithium (002460.SZ), Putailai (603659.SH), Yiwei Lithium Energy (300014.SZ), Guoxuan High-Tech (002074.SZ), Defu Technology (301511.SZ), and Daoshi Technology (300409.SZ) [6].

Core Viewpoint - The profit in the new energy vehicle (NEV) industry chain remains highly concentrated in the battery segment, with leading companies demonstrating strong anti-cyclical capabilities despite a slight decline in their market share by Q2 2025 [1] Profitability - The return on equity (ROE) differentiation continues in Q2 2025, with a notable improvement in the copper foil segment. The proportion of companies with a year-on-year decline in ROE decreased from 70% in 2024 to 57% in 2025. The overall ROE in the lithium battery industry chain has shown recovery, with mixed performance in the battery segment and significant improvement in the copper foil segment [2] Solvency - Leading companies are reducing their debt levels while others are increasing leverage to alleviate financial pressure. The operating cash flow continues to flow towards battery leaders, with total cash flow for the entire industry chain reaching 287.4 billion, 42 billion, and 69.2 billion in 2024, Q1 2025, and Q2 2025 respectively. The combined cash flow for leading battery companies, CATL and BYD, accounted for 81%, 99%, and 71% of these amounts [3] Operational Efficiency - The turnover rate has improved, with inventory and accounts receivable remaining stable. In H1 2025, 64% of companies experienced a year-on-year decline in fixed asset turnover, a significant reduction from 96% in 2024, indicating improved asset utilization. The overall inventory turnover rate remained stable, with 55% of companies experiencing a decline, while accounts receivable turnover also saw a 55% decline, indicating slightly increased collection pressure [4] Financial Framework - Profitability turning points are imminent for lithium iron phosphate, batteries, anodes, and copper foil. Leading companies have seen ROE improvements over the past eight quarters, including CATL, Fulimeng Technology, and Shantai Technology, with profitability in lithium iron phosphate, anodes, and copper foil showing quarter-on-quarter improvement. Capital expenditure has remained low since peaking in Q4 2022, with a tight supply-demand balance expected in 2024 and H1 2025 [5]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Industry Focus**: Solid-state battery sector and lithium battery industry - **Growth Drivers**: China's 2035 renewable energy targets, with wind and solar capacity expected to exceed six times that of 2020, and the rise of electric vehicles as mainstream sales vehicles [1][2] Key Insights - **Energy Storage Battery Sector**: - Major energy storage battery manufacturers have implemented price increases, improving supply-demand dynamics. - Anticipated 40% year-on-year growth in orders for leading manufacturers by 2026 due to tax incentives and demand surges in both domestic and U.S. markets [1][2] - **Solid-State Battery Industrialization**: - Confidence in solid-state battery performance from leading manufacturers, with prototype vehicle testing and small-scale production expected to accelerate industrialization. - Market forecasts predict demand exceeding 100 GWh by 2036, with potential for earlier realization if performance improvements and cost reductions exceed expectations [1][4] - **Hunan Youneng's Profit Recovery**: - Expected increase in self-supply rate of phosphate rock to 30-40%, leading to a profit increase of 300-400 RMB per ton. - Projected profits for next year could reach 2 billion RMB, supported by cost reduction and new product structures [1][7] - **Longpan Technology's Overseas Expansion**: - Anticipated profits of approximately 600 million RMB from 120,000 tons of iron-lithium capacity in Indonesia, with overall profit projections for next year around 900 million RMB [1][8] Market Dynamics - **Lithium Battery Sector**: - Strong performance in the lithium battery sector, with leading companies like CATL seeing significant stock price increases and market capitalization exceeding 1.8 trillion RMB [2] - The sector is characterized by robust fundamentals and attractive valuations, making it suitable for investment [2] - **Lithium Hexafluorophosphate Price Recovery**: - Improved supply-demand dynamics leading to higher processing fees, with expectations of an increase of 10,000 to 20,000 RMB next year, benefiting leading companies like Tianci Materials [3][14] - **Negative Electrode Material Valuation**: - Companies like Shanshan Technology and Putailai are highlighted for their low valuations and potential for profit recovery, with Shanshan expected to increase profits significantly post-integration of production capacity [3][9] Investment Recommendations - **Investment Priorities**: - Equipment sector prioritized, followed by materials with inflation attributes or new product iterations, and finally the battery sector with strong growth certainty [5] - Specific recommendations include CATL for battery production, and companies like Yiwei Lithium Energy and Zhuhai Guanyu for second-tier energy storage [5][6] - **Material Sector Outlook**: - The material sector is at a turning point, with strong demand in the energy storage industry and expected price increases due to limited new capacity [12][13] - **Solid-State Battery Material Focus**: - Key areas include electrolytes, lithium metal anodes, and current collectors, with a focus on high-purity lithium sulfide and nickel-copper alloy solutions [10][11] Conclusion - The solid-state battery and lithium battery sectors are poised for significant growth driven by favorable market conditions, technological advancements, and supportive government policies. Key players in these sectors are expected to benefit from increased demand and improved profitability in the coming years.

一直以来，广发证券主动担起金融机构的主体责任，发挥业务优势，打造丰富的投教载体，贯彻资本市 场人民性立场，树牢金融为民的理念，引领投资者教育工作走在行业前列。随着一系列新政策的出台， 我国资本市场进入新发展阶段，广发证券特在《中国证券报》开设"投研财富+"投教专栏，聚焦新质生 产力方向和市场热点，向广大投资者普及专业投研框架、分享专业机构观点，帮助投资者掌握投资分析 方法，更加有效维护投资者特别是中小投资者合法权益，持续提升投资者的获得感，聚力推动我国资本 市场实现高质量发展。 在产业和技术共振下，固态电池产业化持续加速，建议可以关注产业链中的变化/增量环节，包括硫化 物电解质及硫化锂、锂金属负极、设备端等环节。同时，也提醒投资者注意固态电池产业化在技术和成 本层面仍面临一定制约，技术层面主要是离子输运机制尚未清晰，存在固固界面接触问题，成本层面主 要是原材料成本高，设备改动增加成本。 但需要提醒的是，固态电池可能面临新技术进展不及预期、新能源汽车销量不及预期、中游价格下跌超 预期等风险情况。 固态电池的应用场景广阔，有望进入快速成长通道。主要应用场景包括消费电子、新能源汽车、低空经 济、机器人等，短期增长有 ...