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低波基金回报差领跑“黑马”揭秘,投资者回报提升路径何寻?中国公募基金的投资者回报差研究-当幻想撞上现实 第三章
Morningstar晨星· 2025-06-11 12:28
Core Viewpoints - The article discusses the disparity in investor returns across different types of funds in the Chinese public fund market, highlighting that conservative mixed and fixed-income funds exhibit lower negative investor return differentials compared to actively managed equity funds, which have significantly higher negative differentials [2][24]. - Passive broad-based funds, particularly ETFs, show a positive investor return differential of 2.81%, attributed to significant inflows from institutional investors during market lows, which contrasts sharply with the negative differentials of actively managed equity funds [2][7][24]. - The article emphasizes the importance of investors assessing their risk tolerance and adopting a diversified investment strategy to mitigate risks and enhance long-term returns [2][24][26]. Summary by Sections Investor Return Disparities - Conservative mixed funds have an investor return differential of -0.86%, while fixed-income funds show -0.62%, both significantly better than the -2.65% of actively managed equity funds [2][24]. - The lower return differentials in conservative mixed and fixed-income funds are linked to their lower volatility and defensive investment nature, which helps reduce short-term trading impulses among investors [4][24]. Performance of Passive Broad-Based Funds - Broad-based passive funds, especially ETFs, have attracted substantial institutional investment, particularly from state-backed entities like Central Huijin, during market lows, leading to a positive investor return differential [2][7][8]. - The influx of funds into ETFs during market lows has been a critical factor in achieving a positive return differential, as these funds did not participate in the preceding market downturns [7][8]. Recommendations for Investors - Investors are advised to carefully evaluate their risk tolerance and select funds that align with their risk preferences, focusing on those with experienced research teams and stable investment strategies [2][24]. - A diversified investment portfolio that includes funds with varying risk-return characteristics is recommended to enhance resilience against market volatility [2][24][26]. - Emphasizing a long-term holding strategy can help investors avoid the pitfalls of market timing and emotional decision-making, ultimately leading to better long-term asset appreciation [2][26].
晨星中国“劝告”基民:应规避短期择时和情绪化决策
经济观察报· 2025-05-22 12:40
Core Viewpoint - The report suggests that investors should break free from a single-minded focus on returns, actively avoid short-term timing and emotional decisions, and leverage the power of time to smooth out market fluctuations [2][6]. Summary by Sections Investor Return Gap - The report analyzes the "investor return gap" in the context of the Chinese market, focusing on the difference between fund returns and investor returns as of December 31, 2024, highlighting the impact of timing decisions on final returns [2]. - Investor returns are typically lower than fund returns due to poor timing decisions, leading to a "buy high, sell low" phenomenon [2][3]. Performance of Different Fund Types - As of December 31, 2024, the five-year annualized investor return gaps for higher-risk products like equity-focused funds are -2.17%, -2.65%, and -3.59%, while lower-risk products like conservative mixed funds and fixed-income funds show gaps of -0.86% and -0.62% respectively [3]. - Despite higher fund returns in aggressive equity funds, investor returns lag significantly due to high volatility associated with these products [3][4]. Behavioral Insights - Investors often overlook potential risks due to blind chasing of high returns, leading to lower investor returns compared to fund returns, particularly in sector funds that attract significant follow-on investments during market upswings [4]. - When sectors face downturns, investors may panic and sell at low points, missing out on potential rebounds [4]. Sector-Specific Analysis - The report highlights the investor return gaps in the healthcare and consumer sectors, with five-year annualized gaps of -7.70% and -7.11% for healthcare, and -5.16% and -5.36% for consumer sectors [5]. - The surge in demand during 2020-2021 was followed by a decline in growth, leading to net outflows from these sectors [5]. Recommendations for Investors - Investors are advised to carefully assess their risk tolerance and select funds that align with their risk preferences, emphasizing the importance of a diversified investment portfolio to mitigate risks [5][6]. - The report advocates for a long-term holding strategy, encouraging investors to avoid short-term timing and emotional decisions to enhance long-term asset appreciation [6].
投资者实际收益不及基金回报,如何避免高买低卖?
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-05-22 12:20
Core Insights - The Chinese public fund industry has experienced explosive growth over the past decade, yet investors often realize lower actual returns compared to the fund's performance due to poor timing decisions [1] - Morningstar's report highlights the disparity between investor returns and fund returns, emphasizing the need for practical advice to help investors improve their returns [1] Investor Return Disparity - As of December 31, 2024, the five-year annualized investor return disparities for higher-risk products like equity-focused funds are -2.17%, -2.65%, and -3.59% for actively managed non-sector stocks and sector funds, respectively [2] - Lower-risk products such as conservative mixed funds and fixed-income funds show smaller investor return disparities of -0.86% and -0.62% [2] - Investors often overlook potential risks of funds due to blind chasing of trends, leading to significant losses during market downturns, particularly in sector funds [2] Recommendations for Investors - Investors should carefully assess their risk tolerance and select funds that align with their risk preferences, have experienced research teams, stable investment strategies, and robust risk controls [3] - A diversified investment portfolio with funds of varying risk-return characteristics can help mitigate risks during market fluctuations [3] - Emphasizing a long-term holding strategy can reduce the impact of poor timing decisions and enhance the potential for long-term asset appreciation [3]
晨星中国“劝告”基民:应规避短期择时和情绪化决策
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-05-22 11:30
Core Insights - The report highlights the disparity between fund returns and investor returns in the Chinese mutual fund market, emphasizing the impact of timing decisions on investor outcomes [1][2] - It identifies the phenomenon of "investor return gap," primarily caused by poor timing strategies leading to "buy high, sell low" behaviors [1][3] Group 1: Investor Return Gap Analysis - As of December 31, 2024, the five-year annualized investor return gaps for high-risk products like equity-focused funds are -2.17%, -2.65%, and -3.59% for actively managed equity funds and sector funds, while lower-risk products like conservative mixed funds and fixed-income funds show gaps of -0.86% and -0.62% respectively [2] - Despite high returns from actively managed and equity funds over the past five years, investor returns in these categories lag significantly due to high volatility and the tendency of investors to chase performance [2][3] Group 2: Sector-Specific Insights - The report provides examples from the pharmaceutical and consumer sectors, showing five-year annualized investor return gaps of -7.70% and -7.11% for pharmaceutical funds, and -5.16% and -5.36% for consumer funds, highlighting the risks associated with sector-specific investments [3] - The influx of capital into these sectors during periods of high demand led to significant returns, but subsequent downturns resulted in substantial losses for investors who sold at low points [3] Group 3: Recommendations for Investors - The report advises investors to carefully assess their risk tolerance and select funds that align with their risk preferences, emphasizing the importance of a diversified investment portfolio to mitigate risks [4] - It encourages a long-term holding strategy and the avoidance of emotional decision-making, suggesting that investors utilize time to smooth out market fluctuations and reduce the investor return gap [4]