Core Viewpoint - YTO Express is focusing on enhancing its core express delivery business while expanding its international logistics capabilities and optimizing its service offerings to improve customer experience and operational efficiency [1][3]. Group 1: Business Performance - In the first half of 2025, YTO Express completed a total of 14.863 billion express deliveries, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.79%, which exceeds the industry average growth rate by 2.5 percentage points [2]. - The company achieved a revenue of 35.883 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 10.19% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company was 1.831 billion yuan, with the express delivery segment contributing 1.985 billion yuan to this figure [2]. Group 2: Operational Network - As of June 30, 2025, YTO Express's express service network covers all 31 provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities in China, with a coverage rate of 99.93% in cities above the county level [1]. - The company has 5,027 franchisees and over 77,000 active terminal stores, along with 75 self-operated hub transfer centers and 3,345 sets of automated sorting equipment [1]. - The fleet includes nearly 8,300 line-haul transport vehicles, of which 6,733 are owned, and a self-owned airline fleet consisting of 13 aircraft [1]. Group 3: International Development Strategy - YTO Express is actively deepening its international development strategy, focusing on expanding its international network and optimizing cross-border logistics services [1][3]. - The company aims to enhance its comprehensive service capabilities globally by leveraging its overseas stations, professional teams, and diverse fleet [1][3]. - Future plans include expanding overseas operations, particularly in Central Asia, and enhancing the international logistics service chain [4].

Core Viewpoint - Shentong Express has shown significant stock performance with an 82.23% increase year-to-date, despite a recent decline of 3.52% over the last five trading days [1] Company Overview - Shentong Express Co., Ltd. is located in Qingpu District, Shanghai, and was established on November 1, 2001. The company was listed on September 8, 2010. Its main business includes domestic express delivery, general freight, cargo transportation agency, warehousing services, and unloading services [1] - The revenue composition of the company is as follows: paid delivery 57.95%, transit income 36.62%, information services 4.34%, and other income 1.10% [1] Financial Performance - For the period from January to March 2025, Shentong Express achieved operating revenue of 11.999 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 18.43%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 236 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 24.04% [2] - Since its A-share listing, Shentong Express has distributed a total of 1.614 billion yuan in dividends, with 131 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Shareholder Information - As of March 31, 2025, the number of shareholders for Shentong Express was 38,200, a decrease of 19.32% from the previous period. The average circulating shares per person increased by 23.94% to 39,050 shares [2] - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 62.934 million shares, an increase of 2.6301 million shares compared to the previous period [3] Market Activity - On August 27, Shentong Express's stock price rose by 2.00%, reaching 18.34 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 359 million yuan and a turnover rate of 1.36%. The total market capitalization is 28.075 billion yuan [1] - The company has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" once this year, with the most recent appearance on July 25, where it recorded a net purchase of 14.1143 million yuan [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for ZTO Express [4][3]. Core Views - The company reported a business volume of 8.54 billion pieces in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 19.1%, but market share decreased by 0.4 percentage points to 18.9% [1]. - The focus for 2025 will shift towards increasing market share, with a target business volume of 40.8 to 42.2 billion pieces, representing a year-on-year growth of 20-24% [1]. - The company experienced a decline in single-ticket revenue, dropping from 1.36 CNY in Q1 2024 to 1.25 CNY in Q1 2025, primarily due to increased subsidies and a decrease in single-ticket weight [2]. - Operating expenses significantly decreased to 283 million CNY in Q1 2025 from 735 million CNY in Q1 2024, largely due to government subsidies and tax refunds [2]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with a strategy shift back to prioritizing market share, which may lead to slower profit growth in the short term [3]. Financial Projections - The projected net profit for 2025 is 9.52 billion CNY, with corresponding P/E ratios of 10.9X, 9.2X, and 8.2X for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 38.42 billion CNY in 2023 to 49.90 billion CNY in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 12.68% [8]. - The net profit margin is projected to be 19.24% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 15.94% [8].

公 司 研 究 中通快递-W（02057.HK）：价格战导致 收入端承压，份额增长依旧是经营重心 事件：公司发布 2025 一季报，公司单季完成业务量 85.40 亿件，同比增长 19.1%，市场份额下降 0.4pct 至 18.9%。公司调整后净利润 22.59 亿元，同比 增长 1.6%。 业务量增速回升，但略低于行业均值，25 年重点提升份额：24 年 Q1-Q4，中 通业务量增速分别为 13.9%、10.1%、15.9%和 11.0%，可以看到 24 年整体 业务量增速偏低。25 年公司将工作重心转向提升市场份额，Q1 业务量增速提 升至 19.1%，但还略低于行业增速的 21.6%，主要系低价件整体维持了较快增 长，导致行业整体增速较高。公司维持 25 年业务量 408-422 亿件，同比增长 20-24%的指引不变，按照指引，预计后续几个季度公司业务量增速较 Q1 有所 提升。 单票收入下降 0.11 元，主要系增量补贴提升：Q1 行业竞争较为激烈，导致公 司单票收入由 24Q1 的 1.36 元降至 25Q1 的 1.25 元。其中单票增量补贴增加 导致单票收入下降 0.16 元，以及单票重量下 ...