9月5日下午，圆通速递股份有限公司（以下简称"圆通速递"）召开2025年半年度业绩说明会，公司副总 裁兼财务负责人王丽秀在回复投资者提问时表示："公司注重业务量和利润之间的平衡，秉持稳中有进 的发展策略，聚焦实现规模增长与业绩提升的协同共振。" 近年来，圆通速递积极推进国际化发展战略，深化新兴市场拓展，国际综合服务能力持续提升。喻会蛟 表示："未来，公司还将继续扩大海外布局范围，延长国际物流服务链条，深化拓展哈萨克斯坦等中亚 国家的全链路快递服务，并依托自有航空及航线网络资源，做精做专中澳、中日、中韩等优质专线；公 司将持续投入国际业务基础建设，强化与航空货运业务的协同融合发展，并继续加大国际化人才的引进 及培养，着力推进数字化赋能，整体提升国际业务运营管理水平。" 半年报显示，2025年上半年，圆通速递业务发展稳健良好，综合实力持续提升。报告期内，公司快递业 务完成量148.63亿件，同比增长21.79%，超出行业平均增速2.5个百分点，业务规模和市场份额稳步提 升。上半年实现营业收入358.83亿元，同比增长10.19%。 对于下半年的业务发展规划，圆通速递董事兼总裁潘水苗表示："下半年，公司将继续坚定深 ...

历经9个月的漫长"恢复"，物流资本市场迎来久违的曙光。 每日经济新闻旗下每经未来商业智库自2021年5月起，定期推出"未来商业-物流产业市值榜"（点击专题 直达）。在我们最新统计的覆盖快递快运、物流科技、即时配送以及同城货运等多维度的25家快递物流 公司中，近八成企业市值收获巨大修复。特别是多家物流科技公司，年内（截至9月4日，下同）市值涨 幅较大。其中，东杰智能（300486）市值涨幅达289.04%，以121亿元市值一跃登上11家物流科技公司 之首。 去年股价持续受挫的极兔速递，年内市值涨幅达55.95%，市值总排名超越京东物流；满帮集团年内市 值涨幅达23.93%，挺进物流企业市值总榜第三，仅次于顺丰、中通。而7月以来，行业"反内卷"蔚然成 风，尽管快递企业披露的2025年半年报普遍"增量不增收"、利润下滑、单票收入下降，但快递公司今年 以来市值普遍增长。 另一方面，"通达系"之首中通快递年内市值下降4.23%；即时配送公司闪送市值跌去63.3%，仅剩15亿 元；百世集团和达达退市，市场出清、业务兼并的步子没有停下。充分竞争的快递物流、即时配送市 场，下半年形势依然严峻。 不过，电商"双11"大促日益临 ...

Core Viewpoint - YTO Express is focusing on enhancing its core express delivery business while expanding its international logistics capabilities and optimizing its service offerings to improve customer experience and operational efficiency [1][3]. Group 1: Business Performance - In the first half of 2025, YTO Express completed a total of 14.863 billion express deliveries, representing a year-on-year growth of 21.79%, which exceeds the industry average growth rate by 2.5 percentage points [2]. - The company achieved a revenue of 35.883 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 10.19% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company was 1.831 billion yuan, with the express delivery segment contributing 1.985 billion yuan to this figure [2]. Group 2: Operational Network - As of June 30, 2025, YTO Express's express service network covers all 31 provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities in China, with a coverage rate of 99.93% in cities above the county level [1]. - The company has 5,027 franchisees and over 77,000 active terminal stores, along with 75 self-operated hub transfer centers and 3,345 sets of automated sorting equipment [1]. - The fleet includes nearly 8,300 line-haul transport vehicles, of which 6,733 are owned, and a self-owned airline fleet consisting of 13 aircraft [1]. Group 3: International Development Strategy - YTO Express is actively deepening its international development strategy, focusing on expanding its international network and optimizing cross-border logistics services [1][3]. - The company aims to enhance its comprehensive service capabilities globally by leveraging its overseas stations, professional teams, and diverse fleet [1][3]. - Future plans include expanding overseas operations, particularly in Central Asia, and enhancing the international logistics service chain [4].

信达证券近日发布交运2025年度半年报总结：二季度行业及龙头件量延续相对高增长。 Q2快递行业实现业务量505.1亿件，同比+17.3%，其中，中通、圆通、韵达、申通、顺丰分 别实现业务量98.5亿件、80.8亿件、66.5亿件、65.4亿件、42.7亿件，从同比增速来看，顺丰 31.2%＞圆通21.8%＞中通16.6%＞申通16.0%＞韵达11.2%。 本期内容提要: 快递：顺丰控股总利润稳健增长，电商快递价格战影响利润下滑。1）件量端：二季度 行业及龙头件量延续相对高增长。Q2快递行业实现业务量505.1亿件，同比+17.3%，其中， 中通、圆通、韵达、申通、顺丰分别实现业务量98.5亿件、80.8亿件、66.5亿件、65.4亿件、 42.7亿件，从同比增速来看，顺丰31.2%＞圆通21.8%＞中通16.6%＞申通16.0%＞韵达 11.2%；从市场份额变化来看，顺丰+0.9pct＞圆通+0.6pct＞中通-0.1pct＞申通-0.2pct＞韵 达-0.7pct。 以下为研究报告摘要： a)直营快递：Q2顺丰归母净利润35.04亿元（+21.0%），扣非归母净利润25.77亿元 （+3.5%），归母净利率 ...

Core Viewpoint - The express delivery industry in China is experiencing significant growth, with a notable increase in parcel volume and a trend towards "anti-involution" in pricing competition, which is expected to stabilize the market in the medium to long term [1][4]. Group 1: Industry Performance - In July 2025, the national express delivery volume reached 16.4 billion parcels, a year-on-year increase of 15.1%, while the volume for January to July 2025 totaled 112.05 billion parcels, up 18.7% year-on-year [1][2]. - The express delivery industry's revenue in July 2025 increased by 8.9% year-on-year, while the average revenue per parcel decreased by 5.3%. For the first seven months of 2025, revenue grew by 9.9%, with a 7.4% decline in average revenue per parcel [4]. Group 2: Company Performance - SF Express reported a remarkable business volume growth of 33.7% year-on-year in July 2025, leading the industry, with a 26.9% increase for the first seven months [2]. - Other major express companies such as YTO, Yunda, and Shentong also showed positive growth in July 2025, with year-on-year increases of 20.8%, 7.6%, and 11.9% respectively [2]. Group 3: Market Concentration - The market concentration in the express delivery sector is increasing, with the CR8 (concentration ratio of the top 8 companies) reaching 86.9% for January to July 2025, reflecting a 1.7% year-on-year increase [3]. - In Q2 2025, the market shares of leading companies such as Zhongtong, YTO, Yunda, Shentong, and Jitu increased compared to Q1, indicating a trend towards greater market concentration [3]. Group 4: Pricing and Competition - The decline in average revenue per parcel is narrowing, indicating a reduction in price competition due to the "anti-involution" measures being implemented. This trend is expected to ease competitive pressures in the short term while promoting healthy competition in the long term [4]. - The National Postal Administration has emphasized the need to combat "involution-style" competition, with recent meetings aimed at ensuring stable operations and pricing in the express delivery sector [4]. Group 5: Investment Recommendations - The "anti-involution" measures are anticipated to alleviate competitive pressures, with expectations for profitability recovery in the e-commerce express sector in the latter half of the year. The sustainability of price increases will be crucial for future profitability [5]. - Companies such as SF Express, YTO Express, Zhongtong Express, Jitu Express, and Yunda are highlighted as key investment opportunities due to their strong performance and potential for profit recovery [5].

丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨圆通速递（600233.SH） [Table_Title] Q2 盈利韧性凸显，份额提升趋势延续 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025Q2，公司实现营业收入 188.2 亿元，同比增长 9.8%；实现归母净利润 9.7 亿元，同比下 降 6.8%。二季度公司份额持续提升，竞争加剧单价承压，公司强化成本管控，单票归母净利表 现韧性，环比仅下降 0.01 元。当前快递"反内卷"措施持续落地，全国涨价趋势明朗，旺季公 司盈利弹性可期。公司引领快递数字化变革，综合竞争实力强化，中长期份额有望持续提升， 维持"买入"评级。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 韩轶超 鲁斯嘉 胡俊文 SAC：S0490512020001 SAC：S0490519060002 SAC：S0490524120001 SFC：BQK468 SFC：BWN875 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 圆通速递（600233.SH） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] Q2 盈利韧性凸显，份额提升趋势延续 [T ...

交通运输 | 证券研究报告 — 行业周报 2025 年 9 月 2 日 航运方面，原油运价回调，欧线美线集运运价分化，欧线下跌美线反弹。航 空方面，亿航智能深化合肥政府合作，农银金租与沃兰特航空签署 120 架天 行采购订单。物流与交通新业态方面，韵达股份上半年营收同比增长 6.8%，极兔速递上半年东南亚市占率提升至 32.8%。 强于大市 交通运输行业周报 沃兰特获农银金租 120 架天行采购订单，极兔 速递上半年东南亚市占率提升至 32.8% 核心观点 原油运价回调，欧线美线集运运价分化，欧线下跌美线反弹。8 月 28 日， 上海航运交易所发布的中国进口原油综合指数（CTFI）报 1273.82 点，较 8 月 21 日上涨 10.3%。本周 VLCC 市场先涨后跌，周平均水平上移。周初， 中东航线货量保持稳中有增态势，成交运价跳涨，带动大西洋航线运价跟 涨。下半周，手握正常装期货盘的租家抓住船东倾向寻找中东航线这样的 短航程货盘的心理，逐步占据议价主动权，成交运价小幅回调。美湾航线 受 TCE 收益较中东航线价差较大的影响，加之船东不愿较低价格接货，可 用运力收紧，临近周末运价逆势上涨。欧线方面，本周运 ...

Overall Industry Investment Rating - The transportation sector is expected to see revenue and profit growth in H1 2025, with a revenue increase of 1.8% year-on-year and a net profit increase of 4.3% year-on-year [2][20]. Core Insights - The transportation sector's revenue for H1 2025 reached 1.7351 trillion yuan, driven by significant revenue increases in the aviation and express delivery segments [2][27]. - The express delivery segment experienced a substantial volume increase of 19.3% year-on-year, although profits were impacted by price wars, leading to a 1% decline in net profit for Q2 2025 [3][38]. - The aviation sector saw a recovery with a 71% increase in net profit for H1 2025, supported by a 6% increase in domestic passenger volume and a 25% increase in international passenger volume [4][32]. - The shipping sector maintained a stable outlook, with a slight revenue increase of 2.8% year-on-year, although net profit decreased by 2.8% [5][46]. - The port sector benefited from a 2.5% increase in cargo throughput, resulting in a 5% revenue increase and a 10% net profit increase for H1 2025 [6][48]. Summary by Sections Transportation Overview - The transportation sector's revenue for H1 2025 was 1.7351 trillion yuan, up 1.8% year-on-year, with a net profit of 949 billion yuan, up 4.3% year-on-year [2][20][27]. - In Q2 2025, the sector's revenue was 898.1 billion yuan, remaining flat year-on-year, while net profit increased by 6.3% to 477 billion yuan [2][20][32]. Express Delivery and Logistics - The express delivery segment's revenue for H1 2025 was 700 billion yuan, up 10.1% year-on-year, with a volume of 957 billion parcels, up 19.3% year-on-year [3][38]. - The logistics sector faced a 2% revenue decline in H1 2025, with net profit remaining flat [3][60]. Aviation and Airports - The aviation sector's revenue increased by 7% year-on-year in H1 2025, with net profit soaring by 71% [4][32]. - Airport revenues grew by 6% year-on-year, with net profit increasing by 26% [4][32]. Shipping and Ports - The shipping sector's revenue increased by 2.8% year-on-year in H1 2025, while net profit decreased by 2.8% [5][46]. - The port sector's cargo throughput increased by 2.5%, leading to a 5% revenue increase and a 10% net profit increase [6][48]. Road and Rail - The road sector saw a 3.03% revenue decline in H1 2025, but net profit increased by 3.4% [6][60]. - The railway sector's revenue was 778 billion yuan, up 0.4% year-on-year, but net profit decreased by 11.2% [7][60]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the logistics and aviation sectors, highlighting companies like SF Holding and Hai Chen Co. for their growth potential [8].

Core Viewpoint - The report from Huayuan Securities indicates that YTO Express experienced a decline in net profit for the first half of the year, but it shows strong growth in business volume and capital expenditure, positioning itself well in the competitive landscape [1] Financial Performance - YTO Express reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.831 billion yuan for the first half of the year, a year-on-year decrease of 7.90% [1] - In Q2 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 974 million yuan, down 6.76% year-on-year, with express delivery net profit at 1.038 billion yuan, reflecting a 9.07% decline [1] Business Growth and Strategy - The company demonstrated impressive growth in business volume in Q2, maintaining an increasing market share [1] - Capital expenditure for the first half of the year reached 4.43 billion yuan, representing a 64% year-on-year increase, indicating rapid capacity expansion [1] - YTO Express is implementing a proactive competitive strategy, leveraging its comprehensive service capabilities to achieve notable business volume growth compared to peers in the "Tongda" system [1] Technological Advancements - The company is investing in AI tools such as "YTO-GPT" to enhance operational efficiency, including features like AI assistants, smart routing, digital twins, and intelligent customer service [1] - These technological advancements aim to promote digitalization and standardization across the network, improving management efficiency and overall competitiveness [1] Industry Outlook - The industry is gradually moving towards "anti-involution," which is expected to benefit leading companies like YTO Express significantly [1] - The report maintains a "buy" rating for YTO Express, reflecting confidence in its future performance [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that YTO Express has shown resilience in profitability despite a competitive environment, with significant growth in business volume and capital expenditure [1][3] - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 35.883 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.19%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.831 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.90% [1] - In Q2 2025, the company completed a volume of 8.084 billion parcels, a year-on-year increase of 21.84%, and maintained a market share of 16.0%, up 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [1] Group 2 - The company has maintained strong cost control, with the core cost per parcel in Q2 2025 at 0.59 yuan, a decrease of 0.07 yuan (or -9.2%) year-on-year [2] - The company is leveraging AI and smart technologies to enhance operational efficiency, with applications like AI assistants and smart routing contributing to improved management effectiveness [2] - In Q2 2025, the net profit per parcel was 0.12 yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.04 yuan (or -23.5%), indicating strong operational resilience despite pricing pressures [3] Group 3 - The company is expected to benefit significantly from the industry's gradual shift away from intense competition, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 at 4.571 billion, 5.835 billion, and 6.695 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 13.93%, 27.64%, and 14.73% respectively [3] - The current price-to-earnings ratios for the projected years are 12.68, 9.94, and 8.66 times, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [3]