Group 1 - The report highlights the continuous growth of the ETF market, with a total of 1346 ETFs and an asset scale of 57,038.30 billion yuan as of October 31, 2025, reflecting an increase of 103.75 billion yuan in the past week [5][7][11] - The report emphasizes the comprehensive layout of Guotai Fund in the ETF sector, with 72 non-monetary ETFs totaling 2,699.55 billion yuan as of October 31, 2025, since its first launch in 2011 [11][12][21] - The report outlines the construction of an ETF industry rotation strategy based on anchoring ratios and momentum acceleration, aiming to capture industry momentum trends effectively [16][20][21] Group 2 - The report presents the historical performance of the ETF index combination, which achieved a total return of 9.46% and an annualized return of 2.11% from July 1, 2021, to October 31, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 4.82% on an annualized basis [21][24][27] - The report lists the current ETF combination for November, which includes Guotai SSE Sci-Tech Board Chip ETF (589100), Guotai ChiNext New Energy ETF (159387), Guotai CSI New Energy Vehicle ETF (159806), Guotai CSI Semiconductor Materials and Equipment Theme ETF (159516), and Guotai CES Semiconductor Chip ETF (512760) [25][26][27]

Group 1 - The report focuses on the ETF industry rotation investment strategy based on Guotai Fund's research [2][4] - As of Q2 2025, the total asset size of 2587 non-monetary index funds reached 5.61 trillion yuan, with an increase of 0.64 trillion yuan from the previous quarter [6][4] - By October 31, 2025, there were 1346 ETFs in the market with a total size of 57,038.30 billion yuan, showing an increase of 103.75 billion yuan in the last week [6][4] Group 2 - Guotai Fund has a comprehensive layout in the ETF market, with 72 non-monetary ETFs totaling 2699.55 billion yuan as of October 31, 2025 [10][4] - The report highlights the top five ETFs selected based on a scoring system that combines anchoring ratio and momentum acceleration [19][25] - The selected ETFs for the current month include Guotai SSE Sci-Tech Innovation Board Chip ETF, Guotai ChiNext New Energy ETF, Guotai CSI New Energy Vehicle ETF, Guotai CSI Semiconductor Materials and Equipment Theme ETF, and Guotai CES Semiconductor Chip ETF [25][26] Group 3 - The historical performance of the ETF index combination from July 1, 2021, to October 31, 2025, showed a total return of 9.46% and an annualized return of 2.11% [20][21] - The ETF combination outperformed the CSI 300 index with an annualized excess return of 4.82% [20][27] - In 2025, the cumulative return of the ETF combination reached 42.43%, significantly surpassing the CSI 300's 17.94% [24][27]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.11% to close at 3954.79 points, with a weekly high of 4025.7 points [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.67% to 13378.21 points, reaching a peak of 13700.25 points [1] - The ChiNext Index gained 0.5%, closing at 3187.53 points, with a maximum of 3331.86 points [1] - Global markets saw most major indices rise, with the Nasdaq Composite up 2.24%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 0.75%, and the S&P 500 up 0.71% [1] - In the Asia-Pacific region, the Hang Seng Index fell by 0.97%, while the Nikkei 225 Index surged by 6.31% [1] ETF Market Performance - The median weekly return for stock ETFs was 0.23% [2] - The highest weekly return among scale index ETFs was 2.4% for the Jiashi Zhongchuang 400 ETF [2] - The South China CSI New Energy ETF led industry index ETFs with a return of 5.94% [2] - The highest return in strategy index ETFs was 2.37% for the China Southern CSI All-Share Dividend Quality ETF [2] - The Jiashi CSI Battery Theme ETF achieved the highest return among thematic index ETFs at 7.75% [2] ETF Performance Rankings - The top five stock ETFs by weekly return were: - Jiashi CSI Battery Theme ETF (7.75%) - Huatai-PB CSI Battery Theme ETF (7.56%) -招商中证电池主题ETF (7.52%) - 富国中证电池主题ETF (7.51%) - 浦银安盛中证光伏产业ETF (7.04%) [4][5] - The five stock ETFs with the largest declines were: - 国联安上证科创板芯片设计主题ETF (-5.35%) - 华安上证科创板芯片ETF (-5.11%) - 国泰上证科创板芯片ETF (-5.06%) - 博时上证科创板芯片ETF (-5.05%) - 南方上证科创板芯片ETF (-5.05%) [4][5] ETF Liquidity - Average daily trading volume for stock ETFs increased by 13.3%, with average daily trading volume rising by 46.7% and turnover rate increasing by 0.22% [6] ETF Fund Flows - The top five stock ETFs by fund inflow were: - 华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF (inflow of 5.084 billion) - 华夏上证科创板50成份ETF (inflow of 1.647 billion) - 华夏上证50ETF (inflow of 1.535 billion) - 国泰中证全指证券公司ETF (inflow of 1.353 billion) - 嘉实上证科创板芯片ETF (inflow of 959 million) [9] - The five stock ETFs with the largest outflows were: - 鹏华中证酒ETF (outflow of 351 million) - 华安创业板50ETF (outflow of 334 million) - 汇添富中证电池主题ETF (outflow of 284 million) - 南方中证申万有色金属ETF (outflow of 279 million) - 嘉实中证稀土产业ETF (outflow of 256 million) [10] ETF Financing and Margin Trading - The financing balance for stock ETFs increased from 47.486 billion to 49.145 billion, while the margin balance rose from 2.5678 billion to 2.6069 billion [11] ETF Market Size - The total market size for ETFs reached 5699.032 billion, an increase of 6.878 billion from the previous week [15] - Stock ETFs accounted for 3724.471 billion, representing 65.4% of the total ETF market size [15][17] ETF Issuance and Establishment - No new ETFs were issued last week, but eight new ETFs were established, including 天弘国证港股通科技ETF and 摩根恒生港股通50ETF [18] Institutional Insights - 财通证券 is optimistic about the solid-state battery industry, expecting breakthroughs in technology and increased industrialization by 2025 [18] - 中国银河证券 believes traditional lithium battery equipment manufacturers will maintain their advantages in the solid-state battery market, suggesting a focus on developments in equipment and orders [18]

Group 1 - The report highlights the growth of the ETF market, with a total of 1,325 ETFs and a total asset size of 56,267.83 billion yuan as of September 30, 2025, with A-share ETFs and cross-border ETFs leading in size at 36,897.29 billion yuan and 9,048.33 billion yuan respectively [4][8] - Guotai Fund has established a comprehensive presence in the ETF market since launching its first ETF in 2011, currently managing 72 non-monetary ETFs with a total size of 2,550.65 billion yuan as of September 30, 2025 [6][11] - The report introduces a monthly selection strategy based on a composite momentum factor derived from normalized anchoring ratios and momentum acceleration indicators, identifying the top five indices for investment [4][17] Group 2 - The historical performance of the ETF portfolio from July 1, 2021, to September 30, 2025, shows a total return of 13.93% and an annualized return of 3.11%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by an annualized excess return of 5.89% [18][22] - The report lists the current ETF portfolio, which includes Guotai's Science and Technology Innovation Board Chip ETF, New Energy ETF, Artificial Intelligence ETF, and CES Semiconductor Chip ETF, with respective weights of 23.06%, 21.31%, 17.67%, and 22.59% [25][27]

Core Viewpoint - The ETF market has experienced significant growth in 2023, with industry and thematic ETFs seeing their combined scale increase from less than 600 billion to over 1 trillion yuan, marking a growth of over 77% [1][2]. ETF Market Overview - As of September 30, there are 483 thematic ETFs and 84 industry ETFs, with total scales of 774.79 billion yuan and 287.63 billion yuan respectively, surpassing 1 trillion yuan in total scale [2]. - The combined scale of these ETFs has increased by 462.77 billion yuan this year, compared to a much smaller increase of 330 billion yuan for broad-based ETFs [2]. Fund Flow Dynamics - The shift in investor behavior is evident, with some investors buying more of underperforming ETFs while others take profits from those that have performed well [1][4]. - Notably, the coal ETF, despite a decline of 5.65%, saw its scale grow from 2.8 billion yuan to 11.4 billion yuan, a nearly 300% increase [1][7]. Performance of ETFs - 16 industry and thematic ETFs have seen gains exceeding 80% this year, with 150 products yielding over 50% returns [4]. - The top-performing ETF, the Guotai Chuangye Board AI ETF, has surged by 121.53%, while other notable performers include the Guotai Zhongzheng All Index Communication Equipment ETF and the Yongying Zhongzheng Hong Kong Gold Industry ETF, with increases of 96.19% and 87.3% respectively [4][5]. Sector Analysis - The top-performing ETFs are primarily from two sectors: technology, represented by AI, communication, and chips, and gold stocks [5]. - Conversely, the worst performers include energy and coal ETFs, with declines exceeding 6% [6]. Fund Size and Performance Correlation - Among ETFs with scales exceeding 10 billion yuan, the top three in terms of scale are the Guotai Fund's Securities ETF, the Jiashi Fund's Sci-Tech Chip ETF, and the Huabao Fund's Broker ETF [7]. - The Jiashi Fund's Sci-Tech Chip ETF leads in annual returns at 75.1%, while the only declining product among the large-scale ETFs is the Penghua Fund's Wine ETF, which has dropped over 4% [7][8]. Investment Strategies - The trend of "buying the dip" is evident, with significant inflows into ETFs that have underperformed, while some investors are also taking profits from high-performing ETFs [8]. - The top three ETFs in terms of scale increase this year are the Guotai Fund's Securities ETF, the Huaxia Fund's Robotics ETF, and the Jiashi Fund's Sci-Tech Chip ETF, indicating a mix of strategies among investors [8].

Group 1 - The semiconductor chip concept has weakened, leading to a decline in multiple ETFs by over 1% [1] - The following ETFs experienced significant drops: Bosera CSI Semiconductor Industry ETF down 1.98%, China Merchants CSI Semiconductor Industry ETF down 1.88%, Guotai CSI Sci-Tech Innovation Board Chip ETF down 1.87%, Huaan CSI Sci-Tech Innovation Board Chip ETF down 1.82%, and Bosera CSI Sci-Tech Innovation Board Chip ETF down 1.82% [1]