Core Viewpoint - Yongxing Co., Ltd. is actively engaged in the waste incineration power generation business and is gradually expanding into biomass treatment, with a significant portion of its revenue derived from project operations [1][2]. Financing Summary - On September 11, Yongxing Co., Ltd. experienced a financing buy-in of 6.81 million yuan, with a net financing buy of 2.02 million yuan, indicating strong investor interest [1]. - The total financing and securities balance reached 93.53 million yuan, with the financing balance accounting for 2.39% of the circulating market value, which is above the 50th percentile of the past year [1]. - The company had a low short-selling balance of 226,600 yuan, indicating limited short-selling activity [1]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, Yongxing Co., Ltd. reported a revenue of 2.065 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.60%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 461 million yuan, up 9.32% year-on-year [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 1.008 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing [2]. Shareholder Structure Summary - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders decreased by 25.45% to 30,400, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 34.14% to 7,894 shares [2]. - Notable institutional investors include ICBC Hongli Dividend Preferred Mixed Fund and E Fund Environmental Theme Mixed Fund, with the latter being a new entrant among the top ten circulating shareholders [2].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Insights - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 3.904 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.1%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.425 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.13% [2][6]. - The environmental protection business continues to grow steadily, with the equipment and EPC segments experiencing a decline due to the revenue recognition schedule [11]. - The cash flow has shown continuous improvement, and the new energy materials project has commenced trial production, indicating potential for future revenue growth [11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 1.894 billion yuan, down 10.04% year-on-year, and a net profit of 709 million yuan, down 0.24% [2][6]. - The company’s total revenue for the first half of 2025 was 3.904 billion yuan, with a gross profit margin of 49.0%, an increase of 3.3 percentage points year-on-year [11]. Business Segments - The company’s waste incineration projects processed 6.8932 million tons of waste in the first half of 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 8.71%, contributing to an environmental operation revenue of 1.711 billion yuan, up 6.2% [11]. - The equipment manufacturing and service segment saw new orders of 3.559 billion yuan, a significant increase compared to 1.213 billion yuan in the same period last year, although revenue from this segment decreased by 12.5% [11]. New Energy Materials - The company’s new energy materials project has begun trial production, with the production of 2,306 tons of nickel-containing products in the first half of 2025 [11]. - The company is actively expanding its lithium battery material production capacity and has invested in a lithium carbonate project in Fujian [11]. Future Outlook - The company expects net profits attributable to shareholders to reach 2.96 billion yuan, 3.47 billion yuan, and 3.97 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11.2x, 9.6x, and 8.3x [11].

Group 1 - The latest stock price of Sanfeng Environment is 8.56 yuan, reflecting an increase of 0.35% compared to the previous trading day [1] - The stock reached a high of 8.58 yuan and a low of 8.47 yuan during the trading session, with a total transaction amount of 0.53 billion yuan [1] - Sanfeng Environment's main business includes waste incineration power generation and environmental equipment manufacturing, making it a significant player in the domestic waste incineration power generation industry [1] Group 2 - The latest announcement indicates that the controlling shareholder, Derun Environment, has cumulatively increased its holdings by 17.8755 million shares, accounting for 1.07% of the total share capital, with an investment amount of 1.51 billion yuan [1] - The share buyback plan initiated in May this year has a total planned investment amount ranging from 1.5 billion to 3 billion yuan [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company Junxin Environmental Co., Ltd. (军信股份) is seeking to go public on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange after three years of being listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, focusing on waste incineration power generation and related services [1][3]. Company Overview - Junxin Environmental, headquartered in Changsha, Hunan, specializes in waste incineration power generation, sludge disposal, sewage treatment, landfill, and ash treatment [1][3]. - The company has a total market capitalization of 11.3 billion RMB as of August 18 [1]. - The company has distributed over 1.2 billion RMB in dividends over the past three years [3]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue has shown a growth trend, with reported revenues of approximately 1.55 billion RMB in 2022, 1.84 billion RMB in 2023, and 2.41 billion RMB in 2024 [10]. - Net profits for the same years were approximately 587 million RMB, 653 million RMB, and 686 million RMB, respectively [10]. - The gross profit margin has fluctuated, decreasing from 55.9% in 2022 to 41.5% in 2024, before rising to 53.9% in the first quarter of 2025 [11]. Business Segments - The company’s revenue sources include electricity sales, waste disposal fees, and service fees from various waste management projects [5]. - The proportion of electricity sales revenue decreased from 42.7% in 2022 to 29.4% in the first quarter of 2025, while waste disposal service revenue also declined from 51.9% to 32.9% during the same period [5][6]. Market Dynamics - The waste incineration power generation market in China is expected to grow, with an estimated compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7% from 2025 to 2029, reaching over 300 million tons by 2029 [11]. - The market for kitchen waste treatment and resource utilization is projected to grow at a CAGR of 20.1% from 2025 to 2029, reaching 63.9 billion RMB by 2029 [13]. Competitive Landscape - The company ranks fourth in national waste incineration capacity and third in kitchen waste treatment capacity, with the highest oil recovery rate in the country [14]. - The industry is characterized by low concentration, with the top ten companies holding only 30% of the market share [13][15]. Risks and Challenges - The company faces high customer concentration risk, with over 93% of revenue generated from five major clients, primarily local government agencies and power grid companies [9]. - The company has seen a rising trend in trade receivables, which may pose liquidity risks if clients fail to meet payment obligations [9][16]. - The company plans to expand internationally, with projects in Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan, but faces potential risks related to local policies and currency fluctuations [16].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Sanfeng Environmental Group, has made significant strides in green development through its waste incineration power generation projects, achieving substantial environmental benefits and technological advancements [2][3]. Group 1: Environmental Impact - Since its establishment in 1998, the company has processed over 124 million tons of waste, resulting in a reduction of approximately 43.36 million tons of carbon dioxide emissions and the planting of 1.48 billion trees [2]. - The company has provided a total of 44.5 billion kilowatt-hours of green electricity [2]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - The company has introduced advanced waste incineration technology and has been a pioneer in domesticating these technologies, contributing to the reduction, resource utilization, and harmless treatment of waste [2]. - It has developed a simulation system for waste incineration power generation operations and participated in the formulation of 21 national and industry standards [2]. Group 3: Pollution Control - The company employs advanced pollution prevention technologies and adheres to strict pollution control standards, positioning itself as one of the leading waste incineration power plants globally [3]. Group 4: Educational Initiatives - The company has established modern environmental education bases across various locations in China, engaging over 450,000 members of the public through educational initiatives [3]. Group 5: Growth and Expansion - As of the end of last year, the company has invested in 57 waste power generation projects across 16 provinces, with a designed waste processing capacity exceeding 61,000 tons per day [3]. - Its original technologies and equipment have been applied in 260 waste incineration projects and 419 incineration lines, with a total designed waste processing capacity of over 230,000 tons per day [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the environmental protection industry [1] Core Views - The report emphasizes the importance of the recent price law revision, which is expected to enhance ROE and cash flow, particularly in the water pricing sector. The marketization of water prices is seen as a potential turning point for cash flow, similar to the previous developments in waste incineration [1][11] - The report identifies a cash flow turning point in water operations, suggesting that companies like Xingrong and Shou Chuang will see significant reductions in capital expenditures starting in 2025, leading to substantial increases in free cash flow [1][22] - The report highlights the strengthening of environmental inspections as a driving force for the industry, indicating a shift from policy-driven to governance-driven demand for environmental services [10] Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The environmental protection industry is transitioning towards a governance-driven model, with a focus on long-term, systematic management rather than temporary fixes [10] - The report notes a significant increase in the sales of new energy sanitation vehicles, with a year-on-year growth of 90.56% in the first half of 2025, indicating a growing market for environmentally friendly equipment [31] Water Operations - The report predicts that the water operations sector will experience a cash flow turning point, with companies like Xingrong and Shou Chuang expected to reduce capital expenditures significantly starting in 2025, leading to increased free cash flow [1][22] - The report recommends companies such as Xingrong Environment, Yuehai Investment, and Hongcheng Environment for their strong dividend potential and market positioning [23][24] Waste Incineration - The report discusses the expected decline in capital expenditures for waste incineration, which will enhance free cash flow and dividend payouts. Companies like Junxin and Green Power are highlighted for their strong dividend performance [18][20] - The report identifies new trends in waste incineration, including partnerships with data centers to enhance profitability and ROE [21] Policy Developments - The report outlines the implications of the price law revision, which aims to enhance market pricing mechanisms and improve cash flow for public utilities, particularly in water and waste management sectors [11][14] - The report emphasizes the importance of environmental inspections in driving industry growth and ensuring compliance with new regulations [9][10] Recommendations - The report recommends a focus on companies with strong operational capabilities and cash flow potential, such as Xingrong Environment, Yuehai Investment, and Hongcheng Environment, while suggesting attention to emerging players in the waste management and renewable energy sectors [23][24][25]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [1]. Core Views - The company is positioned for multi-faceted growth through environmental protection, energy, digital technology, and equipment manufacturing, with a strong focus on expanding its business model since its establishment in 2009 [8][13]. - The company has experienced rapid revenue and profit growth, with total revenue projected to reach 2,766 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 39.34% [1][19]. - The company is actively expanding its project operations, with a significant increase in both engineering and franchise orders, indicating a robust pipeline for future revenue [8][42]. Summary by Sections 1. Environmental Protection as a Source of Growth - The company has evolved from a core business in landfill leachate treatment to a diversified model encompassing energy, digital technology, and equipment manufacturing [8][13]. - Revenue has grown from 550 million yuan in 2020 to an expected 2,766 million yuan in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 53.05% from 2023 to 2024 [1][19]. 2. Abundant Environmental Orders and Accelerated Project Operations - The company has a strong order backlog, with engineering orders increasing from 322 million yuan in 2021 to 460 million yuan in 2024, while franchise orders surged from 806 million yuan to 3,672 million yuan in the same period [42][46]. - The company is shifting its focus from water treatment to solid waste management, particularly in the garbage incineration sector, which is becoming a new growth driver [48][53]. 3. New Growth Curves in Energy, Digital, and Equipment - The company is strategically investing in high-quality renewable energy projects, including a 2GW photovoltaic project, with 1GW already under construction [8][49]. - The company is also responding to the national "East Data West Computing" strategy by optimizing its computing power resource layout across various regions [8][39]. 4. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 500 million yuan, 608.81 million yuan, and 749.05 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 50%, 21.71%, and 23.04% [1][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the municipal environmental protection sector [4]. Core Viewpoints - The industry is entering a period of stock operation with significant capital expenditure reduction, leading to positive free cash flow for companies. By the end of 2023, the national urban domestic waste harmless treatment rate reached 99.98%, and the water supply coverage rates for cities, counties, and rural areas were 99.4%, 98.3%, and 87.5% respectively, indicating a balanced urban water supply capacity [5][4]. - The decline in Hong Kong interest rates is expected to lead to a revaluation of dividend assets, particularly in public utilities such as electricity and municipal environmental protection [5][4]. - The report suggests focusing on public utility assets based on cash flow improvement expectations, dividend performance, and dividend yield as screening criteria, recommending companies such as China Everbright International, Tianjin Chuangye Environmental Protection, and others [5][4]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The report highlights the stable profitability of waste incineration power generation and water companies, which follow a permitted return model. The average reasonable profit level for water supply companies has been set at a net asset return rate of 8-10% since 1998 [5][4]. Cash Flow and Dividend Insights - Companies in the waste incineration and water sectors are expected to see improved cash flow as they transition to positive free cash flow. The report notes that historical issues with high accounts receivable are being addressed, with local government debt resolution expected to accelerate accounts receivable collection in 2024 [5][4]. Recommendations - The report recommends several companies based on their dividend rates and expected yields for 2025, including: - China Everbright International: projected dividend yield of 5.9% - Green Power Environmental: projected H-share dividend yield of 8.4% - Beikong Water Group: projected dividend yield of 6.8% - Guangdong Investment: projected dividend yield of 6.4% - Tianjin Chuangye Environmental Protection: projected H-share dividend yield of 5.6% [5][4].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [10] Core Views - Yongxing Co., Ltd. is the sole investment and operation entity for waste incineration power generation projects in Guangzhou, with a total operational capacity of 32,090 tons/day as of the end of 2024. The company has no ongoing construction projects, and its revenue from construction has significantly declined to 0.15 million in 2023, with no contributions expected in 2024. The quality of revenue and profit is high [3][7][25]. - The company benefits from a favorable project location, low national subsidy ratio, high calorific value, and large individual project sizes, leading to excellent cash flow performance. The cash collection ratio for 2024 is 100%, and the net cash ratio is 232% [8][13][70]. - The company operates under a government procurement service model, which is akin to perpetual operation, providing a stable revenue stream. The majority of its projects are located in Guangzhou, ensuring a steady supply of waste [13][60]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Yongxing Co., Ltd. was established in 2009 and is controlled by the Guangzhou Environmental Investment Group. It focuses on waste incineration power generation and has expanded into biomass processing since 2021. The company operates 14 waste incineration projects and 4 biomass processing projects, with a total operational capacity of 32,090 tons/day for incineration and 2,590 tons/day for biomass [7][18][25]. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 35.36 billion in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 7.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.35 billion, up 2.7%. For 2024, the projected revenue is 37.65 billion, with a growth of 6.4%, and a net profit of 8.21 billion, reflecting an 11.7% increase [25][26]. Competitive Advantages - The company has several competitive advantages over its peers, including: - High-quality project locations with low national subsidy ratios and high calorific values, leading to superior cash flow performance [8][60]. - A government procurement service model that ensures stable operations and revenue [13][60]. - Strong support from its major shareholder, which guarantees sufficient waste collection and enhances operational efficiency [13][60]. - Opportunities for growth in waste processing volume due to population inflow and expansion of waste sources [13][60]. Profitability Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to see a steady increase in net profit from 9.0 billion in 2025 to 11.0 billion in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 16.0x, 14.1x, and 13.2x. The "Buy" rating reflects the company's perpetual operation characteristics and location advantages that support earnings per share growth [9][10].

Group 1: Water Supply and Wastewater Projects - The company is currently constructing several water supply and wastewater projects, including Chengdu Water Plant Phase III (remaining capacity of 400,000 tons/day), Xiwayan Reclaimed Water Plant, and the second phase of Chengdu's Fifth and Sixth Reclaimed Water Plants, which are in debugging or trial operation stages [2][3]. Group 2: Waste Incineration Power Generation Projects - The Chengdu Wanxing Environmental Power Plant Phase III is under construction, with a household waste processing capacity of 800 tons/day, sludge co-processing capacity of 5,100 tons/day, and kitchen waste processing capacity of 800 tons/day, expected to be operational by 2026 [3]. Group 3: Accounts Receivable Management - As of the end of 2024, the company's accounts receivable balance is approximately 4 billion yuan, reflecting an increase due to market expansion. The company emphasizes accounts receivable management and has integrated collection efforts into performance assessments [3]. Group 4: Market Expansion Strategy - The company aims to be a national water and environmental service provider, focusing on expanding its market presence in Chengdu and surrounding areas while actively exploring resource integration and niche markets nationwide [3]. Group 5: Capital Expenditure and Dividend Policy - The company has significant capital expenditures due to multiple ongoing water supply and waste projects, which are expected to be operational within 1-2 years, leading to a gradual decrease in capital spending. The company is committed to increasing cash dividend ratios as major projects come online and generate capacity [3].