Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent initiation of two Section 232 investigations by the U.S. government concerning "drone systems and their components" and "polysilicon and its derivatives," highlighting the potential implications for national security and domestic industry protection [1][2]. Group 1: Investigations Overview - The investigations began on July 1 and are currently in the public comment phase, with stakeholders able to submit opinions until August 4 [2][7]. - The U.S. Department of Commerce is focusing on the domestic production capabilities of drone systems and polysilicon, assessing whether they can meet current and future demands [7][8]. - The investigations aim to evaluate the risks associated with foreign supply chains and the concentration of imports from a limited number of suppliers [7][8]. Group 2: Implications for Domestic Industry - The investigations indicate a shift in U.S. policy from upstream basic materials to downstream high-tech applications, which may signal a broader trend of protectionism [3][4]. - The products under investigation lack comparative advantages for the U.S., suggesting that any tariffs imposed could harm domestic supply chains [4][8]. - The article notes that previous Section 232 investigations, such as those on steel and aluminum, followed a similar logic, where tariffs were used to protect domestic markets and stimulate local production [9][10]. Group 3: Broader Context of Section 232 Investigations - A total of 11 products are currently under Section 232 investigations, including steel, aluminum, automotive products, semiconductors, and more [12]. - The U.S. has already implemented significant tariffs, such as a 50% tariff on steel and aluminum and a 25% tariff on automotive products valued at $153 billion [13]. - The investigations are framed within a national security context, where economic security is equated with national security, reflecting concerns over industrial decline and its socio-political ramifications [16][18].

管健表示，本次调查显示出美国该类调查已从产业链上游的基础材料延伸至下游的高科技应用及衍生 品，需引起警惕。 当地时间14日，美国披露了两项新的232调查，分别是针对"无人机系统及其零部件"以及"多晶硅及其衍 生品"。 具体而言，上述两项调查均已在7月1日开始，目前都已在美国《联邦公报》上刊登通知，公开征求上述 产品对美国国家安全影响的调查意见。 美国针对无人机、多晶硅232调查 国内的需求，人机系统及其零部件的外国供应链在满足美国需求方面的作用，美国无人机系统及其零部 件进口集中于少数供应商的情况及相关风险等。 北京广问律师事务所合伙人管健对第一财经记者表示，本次调查显示出美国该类调查已从产业链上游的 基础材料延伸至下游的高科技应用及衍生品，需引起警惕。 同时，值得注意的是，此次美方针对发起调查的行业和产品，均不具备产业比较优势，如执意加征关 税，也会伤害其国内产业链。 管健对记者解释道，美方认为，上述产业由于受到了外部冲击无法做大，且冲击了国家安全，为此美方 需要采取措施进行保护，促进国内生产，摆脱对国外依赖，"至少表面上美方逻辑是如此。" 他还表示，未来比起所谓"对等关税"，更要关注的是301调查以及美方 ...

Group 1 - Gold prices experienced volatility, with spot gold rising to $3350 per ounce after a turbulent trading session on Monday, where it reached a three-week high before closing lower [1] - The U.S. Department of Commerce initiated two import investigations on drone systems and polysilicon, which may lead to tariffs, raising concerns about a potential trade war impacting the global economy [3] - U.S. Treasury yields rose, with the 30-year yield reaching nearly 5% and the 10-year yield at 4.447%, increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold [3] Group 2 - Upcoming U.S. inflation data is expected to influence gold prices, with a forecasted rise in June CPI from 2.4% to 2.7% and core CPI expected to reach 3%, which could strengthen expectations for sustained high interest rates [4] - Political pressure on the Federal Reserve regarding interest rates has created market unease, particularly concerning the future of Fed Chair Jerome Powell amid calls for lower rates from the Trump administration [4] - Technical analysis indicates that gold is likely to experience a range-bound trading pattern, with resistance at $3365 and support levels identified at $3341 and $3334-30 [5]