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华鑫证券:维持布鲁可“买入”评级 看IP驱动新品与海外进展
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2026-01-12 06:26
Group 1: Industry Overview - The Chinese潮玩 industry is in an upward trend, with the拼搭积木人玩具 segment being a key focus, showing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.5% from 2019 to 2023, and expected to reach a CAGR of 29.0% from 2023 to 2028, with a projected market size of 99.6 billion yuan by 2028 [1] - The Chinese market for拼搭角色类玩具 is expected to grow from 5.8 billion yuan in 2023 to 32.5 billion yuan in 2028, representing a CAGR of 41.3%, indicating strong growth potential [1] Group 2: Company Performance - The company has successfully commercialized 19 IPs with 925 SKUs available for sale, including popular IPs like Minions and Kuromi, with multiple new products expected to launch in 2026, which may drive revenue growth [2] - The company's overseas revenue saw a significant increase of 898.6% year-on-year, reaching 111 million yuan in the first half of 2025, with North America contributing 42.82 million yuan, accounting for 38.6% of total overseas revenue [3] Group 3: Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for the company are projected to be 2.94 billion yuan in 2025, 3.785 billion yuan in 2026, and 4.734 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 2.47 yuan, 3.15 yuan, and 4.24 yuan respectively, indicating a decreasing price-to-earnings (PE) ratio from 26 to 15 times over the forecast period [4]
华鑫证券:维持布鲁可(00325)“买入”评级 看IP驱动新品与海外进展
智通财经网· 2026-01-12 06:24
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese潮玩 industry is in an upward trend, and the company布鲁可 (00325), as a leading player in the building block toy sector, is expected to benefit from industry expansion and continuous new IP collaborations, leading to steady revenue growth. The investment rating is maintained at "Buy" [1]. Group 1: Industry Growth - The building block toy segment is becoming a new focus in the toy market, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.5% from 2019 to 2023, and an expected CAGR of 29.0% from 2023 to 2028. The global market size for building block character toys is projected to reach 99.6 billion yuan by 2028. The Chinese market is leading in growth, with an expected increase from 5.8 billion yuan in 2023 to 32.5 billion yuan in 2028, representing a CAGR of 41.3% [2]. Group 2: Product Launches and Revenue Potential - By the first half of 2025, the company has successfully commercialized 19 IPs with 925 SKUs available for sale, including popular IPs like Minions and Kuromi. Multiple products are expected to launch in 2026, including new IPs (Harry Potter), Eastern IPs (Ultraman, Saint Seiya, Naruto), and original IPs. The new product "Miracle Version Hatsune Miku" debuted on December 30, 2025, and several products are anticipated to be key offerings during the Spring Festival, which could drive revenue growth [3]. Group 3: International Market Expansion - In the first half of 2025, the company's overseas revenue increased by 898.6% to 111 million yuan, with North America contributing significantly at 42.82 million yuan, accounting for 38.6% of total revenue. The appeal of Western IP products (Transformers) and a focus on multi-channel distribution, including online platforms like TikTok and Shopee, have driven this growth. The company is also building a brand marketing matrix on social media, with over one million subscribers on its YouTube channel [4]. Group 4: Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for the company are 2.94 billion yuan, 3.78 billion yuan, and 4.73 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively. The expected earnings per share (EPS) are 2.47 yuan, 3.15 yuan, and 4.24 yuan for the same years, with current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 26, 20, and 15 times [5].
布鲁可(00325):公司动态研究报告:看IP驱动新品与海外进展
Huaxin Securities· 2026-01-11 13:03
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [7] Core Insights - The company is positioned to benefit from the rapid growth of the building block toy market, particularly in the character-based segment, which has a projected CAGR of 29.0% from 2023 to 2028 in China [4] - The company has successfully commercialized 19 IPs with 925 SKUs, and several new products are expected to launch in 2026, which could drive revenue growth [4] - The overseas market, particularly North America, has shown significant growth, with a 898.6% year-on-year increase in overseas revenue in the first half of 2025, contributing to 38.6% of total revenue [5] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 29.40 billion, 37.85 billion, and 47.34 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.47, 3.15, and 4.24 yuan [6] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The building block toy segment is expanding rapidly, with a focus on character-based toys, which are becoming a new market highlight [4] Product Development - The company plans to launch multiple new products in 2026, including both Eastern and Western IPs, which are expected to attract consumer attention and boost sales during the Chinese New Year [4] International Expansion - The company has made significant strides in the overseas market, with a focus on localized products and a robust multi-channel sales strategy [5] Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve substantial revenue growth, with a projected increase in net profit from a loss of 401 million yuan in 2024 to a profit of 1.057 billion yuan by 2027 [6][9]