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宝信软件(600845):AI大模型赋能钢铁智造,国产大型PLC持续突破
Guotou Securities· 2025-07-21 01:04
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 29.82 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 24.49 CNY as of July 18, 2025 [4]. Core Insights - The company has made significant advancements in AI technology, particularly with its "Steel Big Model," which has been recognized in the SAIL Awards TOP30, affirming its leadership in the digital transformation of the steel industry [1]. - The successful production of the "1550 Acid Washing and Rolling Mill Unit" at the Guangxi Hongwang project marks a critical milestone, showcasing the application of the company's domestic large PLC control systems and setting a new benchmark for high-end metallurgical equipment [1][3]. - The company is actively integrating AI into the steel industry, developing a comprehensive "AI + Steel" solution that combines platform, data, computing power, models, and scenarios, and has initiated over 100 "AI+" application instances [2]. Financial Performance and Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 143.13 billion CNY, 154.81 billion CNY, and 163.92 billion CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits expected to be 24.57 billion CNY, 28.41 billion CNY, and 30.72 billion CNY during the same period [7]. - The revenue growth rate is expected to be 4.9% in 2025, 8.2% in 2026, and 5.9% in 2027, while net profit growth rates are projected at 8.5%, 15.6%, and 8.1% respectively [9][10]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is expected to increase from 0.85 CNY in 2025 to 1.07 CNY in 2027, reflecting a positive growth trajectory [10]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company is positioned as a leader in the domestic large PLC market, with its products being integral to the operational efficiency of key production lines, such as the Guangxi Hongwang project, which has a designed annual capacity of 1.5 million tons and a maximum operating speed of 1580 m/min [3]. - The company is also focusing on the development of humanoid robots integrated with AI for industrial applications, aiming to establish a robust ecosystem in the steel and related industries [2].
宝信软件(600845):AI赋能钢铁革新,工业机器人落地生根
Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Buy" for the company [1] Core Views - The company is a leader in the industrial software industry, actively promoting AI-enabled innovations in the steel industry and building a self-controlled industrial software system through its self-developed platform [1][17] - The company is expected to achieve revenue growth from 2025 to 2027, with projected revenues of 147.38 billion, 163.47 billion, and 183.68 billion yuan respectively [3][12] - The report highlights the company's focus on AI applications in the steel industry, integrating vast amounts of data and expertise to create comprehensive AI solutions [7][22] Financial Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 12,916 million yuan, with a slight decline of 1.8% from the previous year, followed by a growth of 5.6% in 2024 [3][26] - Net profit for 2023 is expected to be 2,554 million yuan, with a significant increase of 16.8% from the previous year, but a decline of 11.3% is anticipated in 2024 [3][26] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.84 yuan, with a projected increase to 1.18 yuan by 2027 [3][12] Revenue Breakdown - Software development business is the main revenue source, expected to generate 99.11 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 72.64% of total revenue [7][11] - Service outsourcing business is projected to contribute 36.56 billion yuan in 2024, representing 26.80% of total revenue [8][11] - System integration equipment business is a non-core segment, expected to generate only 0.65 billion yuan in 2024 [9][11] Growth Drivers - The company is leveraging AI to drive innovation in the steel industry, with over 100 AI application instances developed [7][22] - The industrial robot market is expected to grow at an annual rate of over 15%, with the company actively developing humanoid robots for various applications [40] - The report emphasizes the importance of self-controlled industrial automation as a core guarantee for development [39] Valuation Analysis - The report uses both PE and PS valuation methods, estimating a reasonable valuation of 969.99 billion yuan, corresponding to a target price of 33.64 yuan per share [12][14] - The company is expected to maintain a competitive edge in the market due to its strong self-developed platform and strategic positioning in AI and industrial robotics [14][22]
宝信软件:2024年年度报告点评:营收实现稳健增长,AI驱动转型升级-20250410
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-04-10 08:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [4][6]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 13.644 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.64%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 11.28% to 2.265 billion yuan [1][4]. - The company is focusing on AI-driven transformation in the steel industry, with a research and development expenditure of 1.461 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.50% year-on-year [2]. - The company has made significant advancements in developing domestically produced PLC products and is progressing with the construction of its cloud computing center [3]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2024: 13.644 billion yuan, up 5.64% from 2023 [7]. - Net profit for 2024: 2.265 billion yuan, down 11.28% from 2023 [7]. - Operating cash flow for 2024: 1.671 billion yuan, down 35.94% year-on-year [1]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 14.635 billion, 15.533 billion, and 16.396 billion yuan, respectively [4]. - Net profit projections for 2025-2027 are 2.546 billion, 2.756 billion, and 2.968 billion yuan, respectively [4].
宝信软件(600845):2024年年度报告点评:营收实现稳健增长,AI驱动转型升级
Guoyuan Securities· 2025-04-10 06:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [4][6]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 13.644 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.64%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 11.28% to 2.265 billion yuan [1]. - The company is focusing on AI-driven transformation in the steel industry, with a research and development expenditure of 1.461 billion yuan, a 0.50% increase year-on-year [2]. - The company has made significant advancements in large-scale PLC products, launching the Tianxing series of fully autonomous T3 and T4 PLC products [3]. - The long-term growth potential of the company is considered broad, with projected revenues of 14.635 billion yuan, 15.533 billion yuan, and 16.396 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's operating income was 13.644 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 5.64%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.265 billion yuan, down 11.28% from the previous year [1][7]. - The company’s gross profit margin for software development and engineering services was 31.14%, while the service outsourcing segment had a gross profit margin of 44.93% [1]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.88 yuan, 0.96 yuan, and 1.03 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 30.92, 28.57, and 26.52 [4][7].
宝信软件(600845):AIDC领军企业 国产智能制造生态布局齐备
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-04 06:51
Core Insights - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 13.644 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.64%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.265 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.28% [1] - The overall gross margin declined to 34.77%, down 2.15 percentage points, primarily due to the impact of the outsourcing service business [1] - The company is accelerating the implementation of "AI+" applications in the industrial sector, with over 100 application instances formed [1] Financial Performance - The net cash flow from operating activities was 1.671 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 35.94% [1] - The gross margin for the outsourcing service business was 44.93%, down 5.33 percentage points [1] - The company expects total revenues of 15.499 billion, 17.804 billion, and 20.379 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 13.59%, 14.88%, and 14.46% [3] Business Development - The company has developed a complete product matrix for industrial robots, covering payloads from 1KG to 500KG, and is expanding into new sectors such as new energy and metal processing [2] - The company is promoting the localization of large PLCs and core industrial software, with the launch of the Tianxing series of fully controllable PLC products [3] - The company is exploring "humanoid robot + AI" applications in various industries, achieving large-scale applications in steel, non-ferrous metals, and 3C electronics [2]
计算机行业研究:再谈工业AI:立足跨模型架构AI中台,落地垂类Agent场景
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-03-07 11:48
Investment Rating - The report suggests a positive outlook on the industrial AI sector, highlighting potential breakthroughs in deployment, reliability, and cost-effectiveness [1]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the application of AI in industrial settings may progress faster than market expectations, with significant advancements in multi-modal large models and the integration of AI agents [1][6]. - It identifies three core application modes of industrial AI: recognition applications, data modeling and optimization applications, and knowledge reasoning and decision-making applications [25][26]. - The report indicates that the cost of AI token inputs has significantly decreased, while labor costs in the manufacturing sector have been rising, suggesting a potential tipping point for "machine replacement" [27][28]. Summary by Sections 1. Industrial AI - The report discusses the challenges of high data complexity, low tolerance for errors, and high cost sensitivity in industrial AI applications [6]. - It highlights the evolution of multi-modal large models, which are expected to reduce the difficulty of processing unstructured data in industrial scenarios [7][9]. - The integration of large models for guidance and small models for execution is proposed as a collaborative approach to enhance reliability in production processes [22][23]. 2. Industrial AI Middleware - The report notes that industrial AI middleware is in its early penetration phase, addressing the need for seamless iteration between model and data sides [1][2]. - It outlines the commercial progress of industrial AI middleware, with significant contracts awarded, such as a project worth 48.67 million yuan for AI middleware capabilities [39][41]. - The middleware is expected to have high construction barriers, requiring capabilities in computing power integration, model management, and industrial data governance [2][3]. 3. Industrial AI Applications - The report identifies that the maturity of AI applications in production control is leading, with over 57% of applications focused on this area [1][3]. - It highlights specific use cases, such as the AI+PCB solution by Saiyi Information, which automates the entire process from parameter analysis to cost query and quote generation [21]. - The report also mentions the emergence of vertical agent applications in various sectors, indicating a shift towards subscription-based models in industrial AI [22][39]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on key players in the industrial AI sector, such as Zhongkong Technology, Saiyi Information, and Zhongwang Software, as they are expected to benefit from the ongoing developments in industrial AI applications [1][2].