Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company announced a forecast for the first half of 2025, expecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 967 million yuan, which represents a year-on-year increase of about 9.00%. Excluding one-time past income of approximately 130 million yuan, the year-on-year increase is about 27.71% [2][4]. - The second quarter is expected to show an organic growth rate of approximately 16.8% after excluding the impacts of mergers and one-time factors, indicating continuous improvement in operational efficiency [2][4]. - The completion of the privatization of Yuefeng Environmental on June 2 is expected to enhance the company's operational scale and efficiency, with a projected increase in net profit from this acquisition [4][9]. - The company has signed agreements for four new heating projects in the first half of 2025, with a total of 29 incineration projects now under contract, indicating a strong growth trajectory in external heating services [4][9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 967 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of approximately 9.00%. After excluding one-time past income, the increase is about 27.71%. The net profit excluding one-time items is projected at 906 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of about 3.94% [2][4]. - The second quarter's net profit is expected to be 547 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.05%, with an organic growth rate of approximately 16.8% after excluding merger impacts [4][9]. Operational Efficiency - The company has implemented cost reduction and efficiency enhancement measures, resulting in improved operational efficiency. The first quarter saw a 58.91% year-on-year increase in external heating services, with a total of 482,300 tons and revenue growth of 62.02% [4][9]. - The company’s gross profit margin improved by 2.43 percentage points to 32.3% in the first quarter, driven by increased power generation efficiency [4][9]. Strategic Developments - The completion of the privatization of Yuefeng Environmental is expected to increase the company's waste incineration capacity by 1.17 times to 97,590 tons per day, facilitating resource integration and operational synergies [4][9]. - The company is actively expanding into overseas markets, with ongoing projects in Southeast Asia, including a waste-to-energy project in Bangkok [4][9]. Dividend Policy - The company has committed to a dividend growth of no less than 10% from 2024 to 2026, with a projected dividend yield of 3.63% for 2025 if the payout ratio remains at the 2024 level [4][9].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the environmental protection industry [1]. Core Views - The report highlights that the environmental protection sector is entering a mature phase, leading to improved free cash flow and increased dividends due to reduced capital expenditures. The focus is on enhancing operational efficiency through heat supply and IDC collaborations, which are expected to boost ROE and valuations [12][14]. Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The environmental protection sector is experiencing a shift towards maturity, with capital expenditures decreasing and free cash flow turning positive in 2023, continuing to improve in 2024. This trend is expected to enhance dividend payouts significantly [12][14]. - The report notes that the waste incineration segment is seeing a decline in capital expenditures, which is positively impacting free cash flow and dividend distributions [12][14]. Company Insights - Huanlan Environment is expanding its heat supply business, leveraging existing waste incineration projects to improve operational efficiency and cash flow. The company has signed multiple heat supply agreements and is expected to increase its heat supply volume significantly in the coming years [9][10][11]. - The report emphasizes the strong dividend potential of several companies, including Junxin Co. with a cash dividend of 507 million yuan in 2024, Green Power with 418 million yuan, and Huanlan Environment with a proposed dividend of 652 million yuan [12][13][14]. Market Developments - The report indicates that the water services sector is also showing stable growth, with a projected revenue of 655 billion yuan in 2024, despite a slight decline due to one-time gains. The sector is expected to benefit from ongoing water price reforms, which will enhance profitability and valuation [16][18][19]. - The report highlights the increasing penetration of new energy sanitation vehicles, with sales growing by 73% in the first five months of 2025, indicating a shift towards more sustainable practices in the industry [26][32]. Future Outlook - The report suggests that the environmental protection industry is poised for a new phase of growth driven by market reforms and operational efficiencies. Companies that can effectively manage their cash flows and adapt to changing market conditions are expected to see significant valuation increases [20][24].