Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for Nobon Co., Ltd. (603238) with a target price of 27.00 CNY over the next six months, compared to the current price of 19.86 CNY [1]. Core Views - Nobon Co., Ltd. is expected to benefit from continuous optimization of customer and product structure, with promising growth for its proprietary brands [1]. - The company has shown strong revenue growth, with a 33.3% year-on-year increase in revenue for the first half of 2025, driven by increased orders from downstream customers [7][32]. - The report highlights the company's robust performance in both domestic and international markets, despite facing temporary challenges due to tariffs [53][44]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Nobon achieved revenue of 1.34 billion CNY, a 33.3% increase year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 65.3 million CNY, up 48.3% year-on-year [7][32]. - The company's gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 15.7%, an increase of 0.9 percentage points year-on-year, with net profit margin at 4.9%, up 0.5 percentage points [35][32]. Business Segments - The product segments include non-woven materials (rolls) and non-woven products, with the product segment showing a revenue increase of 39.4% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [42][32]. - The company has established stable partnerships with well-known domestic supermarkets and is expanding its overseas market presence, particularly in countries along the Belt and Road Initiative [44][53]. Market Outlook - The report anticipates that Nobon will continue to grow its proprietary brand, "Xiaozhijia," which has seen a revenue increase of 70.0% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [54][32]. - The global market for wet wipes is projected to grow, with a compound annual growth rate of 4.6% from 2025 to 2029, benefiting companies like Nobon that are positioned in this sector [27][32]. Valuation and Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) for Nobon is projected to be 0.74 CNY in 2025, 0.90 CNY in 2026, and 1.08 CNY in 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 27, 22, and 18 respectively [2][62]. - The report assigns a 30x valuation for 2026, leading to a target price of 27.0 CNY, reflecting the company's strong growth potential in the non-woven materials sector [62][64].

Group 1 - Nobon Co., Ltd. reported a stock price of 20.60 yuan on August 27, down 0.82 yuan or 3.83% from the previous trading day [1] - The stock opened at 22.08 yuan, reached a high of 22.20 yuan, and a low of 20.50 yuan, with a trading volume of 57,257 hands and a transaction amount of 1.22 billion yuan [1] - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of water-needle non-woven materials and products, which are widely used in beauty care and medical health sectors [1] Group 2 - According to the company's semi-annual report for 2025, it achieved an operating income of 1.34 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 33.35% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company was 65.328 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 48.33% [1] - Export business grew by 46.12%, with the export proportion increasing to 47.64% [1] Group 3 - The self-owned brand "Xiaozhijia" generated an operating income of 20.9437 million yuan in the first half of the year, marking a year-on-year increase of 69.97% [1] - On August 27, the net outflow of main funds was 6.2074 million yuan, with a cumulative net outflow of 20.602 million yuan over the past five days [1]

Core Insights - The company reported strong financial results for the first half of 2025, with revenue and profit exceeding expectations [1] - The company is a leader in high-end differentiated water-jet non-woven materials, benefiting from a favorable market environment [3] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, revenue reached 1.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.4%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 65 million yuan, up 48.3% [1] - Q2 2025 saw a single-quarter revenue of 730 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.9%, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 35 million yuan, up 48.1% [1] - Operating cash flow for H1 2025 was 260 million yuan, a significant increase of 126% year-on-year, with cash reserves totaling 745 million yuan [1] Business Segmentation - The roll material segment contributed significantly to profit growth, with H1 2025 revenue of 390 million yuan, up 18.9%, and a gross margin of 25.8% [2] - The product segment primarily drove revenue growth, achieving H1 2025 revenue of 930 million yuan, a 39.4% increase, with a gross margin of 11.7% [2] - The company has shifted its marketing strategy to diversify its product offerings and expand into new markets, mitigating the impact of U.S. tariffs [2] Future Outlook - The company maintains a "buy" rating, with profit forecasts for 2025-2027 at 130 million, 160 million, and 190 million yuan, respectively, indicating a CAGR of 26% [3] - Expectations are high for breakthroughs in the smokeless tobacco and proprietary brand businesses [3]

Company Overview - Nobon Co., Ltd. was established in 2002, specializing in the R&D, production, and sales of differentiated and personalized water-jet non-woven materials and products [2] - The company's revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders are projected to have a CAGR of 17.7% and 2.8% respectively from 2015 to 2024 [2] - In 2024, the company is expected to achieve revenue of 2.24 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.8%, and a net profit of 95.23 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.2% [2] - In Q1 2025, revenue and net profit are expected to grow by 39.1% and 48.6% year-on-year respectively [2] - The revenue share of water-jet non-woven materials and products in 2024 is projected to be 31.7% and 67.5% respectively, with year-on-year changes of -1.2% and +27.8% [2] Industry Situation - Water-jet non-woven products are widely used in high-demand disposable consumer goods markets such as wet wipes and beauty care products due to their breathable, soft, lightweight, and antibacterial properties [3] - The production of water-jet non-woven fabric reached 1.51 million tons in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18.6% from 2018 to 2023 [3] - The penetration rate of non-woven fabric in the market has been gradually increasing, reaching 18.6% in 2023, an increase of 7.7 percentage points compared to 2018 [3] - The market size for wet wipes in China is projected to be 12.92 billion yuan in 2024, with a CAGR of 5.0% from 2024 to 2029, particularly for makeup wipes and wet toilet paper [3] Competitive Advantages - The company has a complete and advanced production line for roll materials, with outstanding technological innovation capabilities, being the only company in China capable of mass-producing dispersible materials for supply to the U.S. [4] - The company is steadily increasing the proportion of differentiated and dispersible material production, completing a technical transformation project for differentiated production lines in 2024 [4] - The subsidiary Guoguang is one of the most comprehensive manufacturers of wet wipe products in China, with a revenue growth of 26.6% in 2024 and over 40% in Q1 2025 [4] - Guoguang is deepening cooperation with major clients such as Walmart and actively exploring new customers, leading to steady growth in orders [4] - The self-owned brand "Xiaozhijia" is rapidly expanding, with a revenue increase of 80.6% year-on-year in 2024 [4]

Summary of Nobon Co., Ltd. Conference Call Company Overview - Nobon Co., Ltd. specializes in differentiated water-jet non-woven materials and products, established in 2002. The main business segments include water-jet non-woven materials, non-woven products, and proprietary brands. The company aims for significant growth in its proprietary brand "Xiaozhijia" from 15 million in 2023 to 60 million in 2025 [2][3][7]. Business Segments - **Conventional Materials**: Accounts for 30% of the business but is not profitable [2][4]. - **Differentiated Custom Materials**: Represents 35% of the business with varying gross margins [2][5]. - **Manufacturable Carbon Fiber Materials**: Also 35% of the business, recognized as a global leader and certified by the highest U.S. production standards [2][5]. Outsourcing and Brand Development - The outsourcing business, managed by a subsidiary of Guoguang Electric, is projected to generate approximately 1.4 billion in sales for 2024, with clients including Walmart and Sam's Club [2][6]. - The proprietary brand "Xiaozhijia" is expected to grow significantly, focusing on online and offline channels to transition towards a consumer-oriented model [2][7][19]. Future Focus and R&D - Nobon plans to concentrate on water-based non-woven materials, particularly manufacturable carbon fiber materials, and aims to launch a biodegradable material production line, targeting a 50% share [2][8][9]. - The company is committed to expanding its outsourcing business and enhancing operational quality to improve profit margins [2][9]. Industry Dynamics - The non-woven fabric industry has experienced overcapacity post-pandemic, with a projected balance of supply and demand by the end of 2024, although profit margins have decreased compared to pre-pandemic levels [2][10][11]. - The water-jet non-woven fabric capacity is estimated at 6 to 7 million tons, with water-jet accounting for about 20% of this capacity, which has more than doubled since before the pandemic [11]. Competitive Advantages - Nobon holds a competitive edge in the non-woven materials sector through technological and product differentiation, with a focus on quality and performance [4][13]. - The company invented the dispersible technology in 2013, which is now commercially applied exclusively by Nobon in China, despite several companies claiming similar capabilities [14]. Financial Performance - Nobon reported a turning point in profitability in Q3 2024, with increased orders and a full production capacity leading to better performance compared to the first half of the year [12]. - The company’s overall export ratio has decreased, with domestic outsourcing growth outpacing international sales [18]. Product Development and Market Trends - Nobon is developing a new dispersible sanitary napkin product, which has undergone multiple iterations to improve user experience and functionality [20][21]. - The company is also exploring the oral care market with promising developments in the smokeless tobacco segment, which is expected to contribute significantly to profits [23]. Consumer Insights - Nobon's disposable hygiene products, such as wet wipes and cotton soft towels, are gaining popularity due to their convenience and comfort, which aligns with consumer demand for high-quality living standards [15]. Conclusion - Nobon Co., Ltd. is strategically positioned in the non-woven materials industry with a focus on innovation, quality, and market expansion. The company is navigating post-pandemic challenges while aiming for sustainable growth through differentiated products and enhanced operational efficiency [2][10][12].

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing accelerated growth in its main business, driven by the expansion of major clients and the rapid growth of its own brand, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 2.237 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.8%, with net profit attributable to shareholders of 95 million yuan, up 15.2% [1] - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 608 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.1%, with net profit attributable to shareholders of 30 million yuan, up 48.6% [1] - The company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 133 million, 160 million, and 187 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.75, 0.90, and 1.05 yuan [1] Group 2: Business Segments - The product business continues to grow, with revenue from rolled materials and products in 2024 at 709 million and 1.509 billion yuan, respectively, showing a decline of 1.2% and an increase of 27.8% [1] - The subsidiary Hangzhou Guoguang generated revenue of 1.393 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 26.6%, due to the company's efforts to expand into the domestic market [1] - The own brand "Xiaozhijia" saw significant growth, with revenue of 30 million yuan in 2024, up 80.6% [1] Group 3: Operational Efficiency - In 2024, the company's gross margin and net profit margin were 14.80% and 4.26%, respectively, showing a slight decline due to an increase in low-margin client revenue [2] - In Q1 2025, the gross margin and net profit margin improved to 15.73% and 5.00%, respectively, with a decrease in the expense ratio to 7.51% [2] - The company's inventory at the end of Q1 2025 was 311 million yuan, up 21.7%, with inventory turnover days reduced to 48.8 days [2]

Core Viewpoint - Nobon Co., Ltd. (603238) reported significant growth in its 2024 annual report and 2025 Q1 report, with a goal to double revenue for its self-owned brand "Xiaozhijia" by 2025 and plans for a new factory in Malaysia to commence production by mid-2025 [1] Financial Performance - In 2024, Nobon achieved operating revenue of 2.236 billion yuan and net profit of 95.23 million yuan, representing year-on-year growth of 16.80% and 15.22% respectively [1] - In Q1 2025, the company reported total operating revenue of 608 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.14%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 30.43 million yuan, up 48.56% year-on-year [1] Market Position and Brand Development - Nobon has established a high-end product image in both domestic and international markets, receiving accolades such as "Famous Trademark of Zhejiang Province" and "Zhejiang Brand Product" [1] - The self-owned brand "Xiaozhijia" saw revenue of 29.85 million yuan in 2024, marking an 80.62% increase, with a notable 116% growth during the Double 11 shopping festival [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company has focused on high-end product development to navigate industry price wars, successfully securing large orders from overseas clients [2] - Nobon invested 77.73 million yuan in R&D in 2024, resulting in 150 technical documents and a total of 274 authorized patents, including 72 invention patents, positioning it as a leader in the industry [2] Production and Capacity Expansion - Nobon is upgrading its production lines to enhance efficiency and sustainability, with plans for a new wet production line expected to be the largest in the country [2] - To meet increasing order demands, the company has improved production efficiency by over 30% and added more than 20 new production lines for dry and wet wipes [4] Future Outlook - Nobon aims to expand its OEM business and strengthen R&D capabilities at its subsidiaries, ensuring a diverse range of high-performance, eco-friendly wipe products [4]