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广汽集团 | 2025Q1:销量盈利承压 静待改革成果显现【民生汽车 崔琰团队】
汽车琰究· 2025-04-28 00:48
利润端: 2025Q1扣非归母净利润为-8.9亿元,同比/环比分别为-229.9%/-64.0%。利润转负主要受影响于汽车销量下滑、市场竞争加剧、促销投入加大、政府补助同 比减少等综合所致。 费用端: 2025Q1销售/管理/研发/财务费用率分别为6.3%/5.6%/-1.4%/1.9%,同比分别为0.4pts/0.9pts/-1.1pts/0.2pts,环比分别为3.4pts/2.0pts/-1.0pts/-0.5pts。 01 事件概述 公司发布2025Q1业绩:2025Q1营业总收入为198.8亿元,同比/环比为-7.8%/-39.8%;2025Q1归母净利润-7.3亿,同比/环比转负;2025Q1扣非归母净利润为-8.9亿 元,同比转负,环比减亏64.0%。 ► 营收短期承压 单车ASP有所上升 收入端: 2025Q1营业总收入为198.8亿元,同比/环比分别为-7.8%/-39.8%。 ► 合资整体承压 自主小幅下滑 公司2025Q1批发合计37.1万辆,同比-9.4%。分品牌来看,合资品牌方面,广汽本田205Q1批发9.3万辆,同比-20.7%;广汽丰田2025Q1批发16.2万辆,同比+3.6% ...
广汽集团(601238):系列点评十一:2025Q1销量盈利承压,静待改革成果显现
Minsheng Securities· 2025-04-27 11:26
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price of 8.04 CNY per share, corresponding to a PB of 0.7 for the years 2025-2027 [6][3]. Core Views - The company reported a total revenue of 19.88 billion CNY in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 7.8% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 39.8%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was -730 million CNY, indicating a significant decline compared to the previous year [1][2]. - The company is facing short-term revenue pressure, but the average selling price (ASP) per vehicle has increased. The decline in profits is attributed to decreased vehicle sales, intensified market competition, increased promotional spending, and reduced government subsidies [1][2]. - The company is focusing on smart driving technology as a core strategy and is expanding its battery swap station network in collaboration with CATL. This dual approach aims to drive the company out of its current operational downturn [3][2]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In Q1 2025, the total revenue was 19.88 billion CNY, down 7.8% year-on-year and 39.8% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit attributable to shareholders was -730 million CNY, with a non-recurring net profit of -890 million CNY, marking a year-on-year decline of 229.9% [1][2]. - The sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios were 6.3%, 5.6%, -1.4%, and 1.9%, respectively, showing year-on-year changes of 0.4pts, 0.9pts, -1.1pts, and 0.2pts [1]. Sales Performance - The total wholesale volume in Q1 2025 was 371,000 vehicles, a decrease of 9.4% year-on-year. The breakdown shows that GAC Honda sold 93,000 vehicles (-20.7%), GAC Toyota sold 162,000 vehicles (+3.6%), GAC Trumpchi sold 69,000 vehicles (-19.0%), and GAC Aion sold 47,000 vehicles (-3.6%) [2][3]. Strategic Initiatives - The company has launched several new electric vehicle models and is enhancing its product matrix to better position itself in the new energy and intelligent vehicle sectors. This includes the introduction of various electric SUVs and sedans [2]. - The strategic partnership with CATL aims to implement battery swap standards across more models and expand the battery swap station network, which is expected to support the company's recovery [3]. Financial Forecast - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 124.69 billion CNY, 144.15 billion CNY, and 167.35 billion CNY, respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 875 million CNY, 1.15 billion CNY, and 2.37 billion CNY for the same years [5][9].