Core Insights - The Hong Kong stock market saw a net inflow of 98.32 billion HKD from northbound trading on November 4, with 52.02 billion HKD from the Shanghai Stock Connect and 46.31 billion HKD from the Shenzhen Stock Connect [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - The most bought stocks included CNOOC (00883), Xiaomi Group-W (01810), and China Mobile (00941) [1] - The most sold stocks were Alibaba-W (09988), SMIC (00981), and Tencent (00700) [1] Group 2: Detailed Stock Transactions - Alibaba-W had a buy amount of 19.40 billion HKD and a sell amount of 25.26 billion HKD, resulting in a net outflow of 5.86 billion HKD [2] - Xiaomi Group-W saw a net inflow of 9.08 billion HKD, with a buy amount of 15.64 billion HKD and a sell amount of 6.56 billion HKD [2] - CNOOC had a net inflow of 10.46 billion HKD, supported by OPEC+'s decision to pause production increases [5] - China Mobile received a net inflow of 7.52 billion HKD, with a strategic share transfer to China National Petroleum Corporation [5] Group 3: Sector Insights - The semiconductor sector showed mixed results, with Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347) receiving a net inflow of 3.29 billion HKD, while other stocks faced net outflows [6] - Bubble Mart (09992) gained a net inflow of 1.27 billion HKD, driven by seasonal sales trends and new product launches [7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Pop Mart (9992.HK) [5][12] Core Views - The company reported a significant revenue growth of 245-250% year-on-year for Q3 2025, with China revenue increasing by 185-190% and overseas revenue by 365-370% [5][10] - The upcoming Q4 is expected to be a strong sales season due to events like Halloween, Black Friday, and Christmas, which will drive demand for gifts and trendy toys [10][11] - The company is expanding its international presence and new product lines, aiming for overseas revenue to exceed 50% of total revenue by 2025 [11][12] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is expected to accelerate growth, with Q2 2025 revenue growth estimated at 241% and Q3 2025 at 245-250% [7][10] - In China, Q3 2025 revenue growth is projected at 185-190%, with online sales growing by 300-305% [8][9] International Market Performance - Overseas revenue growth for Q3 2025 is expected to be 365-370%, with a slight deceleration compared to previous quarters [8][9] - Specific regional growth includes Asia-Pacific at 170-175%, the Americas at 1265-1270%, and Europe at 735-740% [9] Future Outlook - The company plans to open 100 stores overseas in 2025, with a focus on the U.S. and European markets [11] - New product categories are being introduced, and the company aims to maintain a streamlined SKU strategy [11] Financial Projections - Revenue growth rates are projected at 172% for 2025, 38% for 2026, and 36% for 2027, with net profit growth rates of 251%, 42%, and 39% respectively [12][15] - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 8.16, 11.59, and 16.16 CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 [12][15]