为贯彻落实工信部《"工业母机+"百行万企产需对接活动实施方案》要求，促进上海市工业母机企业与 上下游企业的深度融合与发展，9月23日第二十五届中国国际工业博览会开展首日，由上海市经济和信 息化委员会牵头、上海电气集团主办的2025"工业母机+"百行万企产需对接活动(上海站)在国家会展中 心(上海)成功举行。上海市政府副秘书长、市经信委主任张英，工业和信息化部装备工业一司副司长郝 立顺，上海电气集团党委副书记、总裁朱兆开出席并致辞。 图为开幕 式活动现场 此次活动共发布100项需求清单与200项供给清单，涵盖航空、航天、航发、新能源汽车、工程机械、机 器人等多场景领域，促进大中小企业融通发展。上海机床厂有限公司、宝钢股份有限公司、上海飞机制 造有限公司等十二家上下游企业代表现场签约，建立上下游企业长期合作机制。本次活动共促成合作项 目超80余项，签约金额超30亿元，以此促进工业母机供需两侧对接，优化产业生态。 张英指出，工业母机是现代化产业体系的核心枢纽和制高点，上海要始终保持战略定力，通过"三项强 化"全力打造具有全国影响力的工业母机产业高地。即强化产业创新质效，构建以企业为主体、产学研 深度融合的协同创新格 ...

Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 270 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.2%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 30 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 28.4% [1] - In Q2 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 140 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 12.7%, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 10 million yuan, down 48.7% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Profitability and Cost Management - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 31.6%, an increase of 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 12.8%, a decrease of 8.8% year-on-year, primarily due to significant increases in sales and R&D expenses, as well as substantial credit impairment provisions [2] - The company's expense ratio for H1 2025 was 17.7%, up 2.4 percentage points year-on-year; R&D expense ratio was 9.8%, up 1.6 percentage points year-on-year; sales expense ratio was 3.4%, down 0.9 percentage points; management expense ratio was 5%, down 0.3 percentage points; financial expense ratio was -0.6%, showing a slight increase due to reduced interest from time deposits [2] Group 3: Industry Outlook and Competitive Position - The company's CNC roller grinding machine business is positioned to benefit from a recovery in the steel industry, which is currently at the bottom of the cycle, with potential performance improvement as the industry recovers [2] - In the humanoid robot sector, the company has achieved breakthroughs in product and order volume, with the screw as a core component accounting for over 20% of costs, and there is strong demand for grinding machines in the domestic market due to limited capacity in planetary roller screws and ball screws [3] - The company has developed a full suite of products for planetary roller screw grinding machines and signed an order for 100 units with Fuliwang, indicating a strong competitive position in a market currently dominated by foreign companies [3] Group 4: Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts operating revenues of 560 million, 700 million, and 910 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with a CAGR of 28% from 2025 to 2027; net profits attributable to shareholders are projected to be 120 million, 160 million, and 210 million yuan for the same period, with a CAGR of 34% [4]

Group 1: Key Recommendations - The report highlights Huachen Equipment (300809) as a leading domestic roll grinding machine manufacturer, with a strategic focus on humanoid robot grinding machines to tap into a blue ocean market [5] - The recommendation logic is based on the company's superior product performance, which has reached international leading levels, and confirmed orders from top humanoid robot manufacturers [5] - The steel industry is expected to recover, which will positively impact the company's short-term performance, as its main revenue comes from CNC roll grinding machines [5] Group 2: Important Insights - The medical device sector is anticipated to see a performance recovery in H2 2025, driven by ongoing bidding recovery and inventory adjustments in high-value consumables [7][8] - The report notes that the market remains cautious about the sustainability of bidding recovery and the impact of high-value consumables procurement on company performance [7] - The long-term growth potential of chain pharmacies is highlighted, with expectations for revenue and profit growth driven by improved management and diversification efforts [8] Group 3: Financial Projections - For Huachen Equipment, projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 558.70 million, 700.90 million, and 914.30 million yuan, with growth rates of 25% for the first two years and 30% for 2027 [6] - The net profit forecast for the same period is 109.70 million, 153.50 million, and 200.50 million yuan, with growth rates of 59%, 40%, and 31% respectively [6] - Earnings per share are expected to be 0.40, 0.60, and 0.80 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 82.50, 58.90, and 45.10 [6] Group 4: Market Strategy - The report suggests maintaining a diversified investment strategy, focusing on banks as a stable foundation while also investing in low-positioned securities and technology growth sectors [9] - It emphasizes the importance of individual stock selection over index performance, especially in the technology sector, given the current market conditions [9] - The outlook indicates limited downside potential in the market, with opportunities for individual stocks to perform well despite potential index corrections [9]

Core Viewpoint - Huachen Equipment (300809) showcased its new products at the "High Precision and High Efficiency, Innovation and Win" launch event, highlighting significant technological breakthroughs in high-end equipment manufacturing [2][3]. Group 1: Product Launch and Innovation - The company introduced several new products, including precision CNC linear guideway grinding machines, ultra-precision surface grinding machines, precision "internal and external" thread grinding machines, and micro-movement grinding machines, demonstrating its advancements in high-end equipment manufacturing [2]. - The new products incorporate multiple independent core technologies, aiming to break the long-standing foreign monopoly in strategic fields such as semiconductors, humanoid robots, industrial mother machines, and aerospace [2]. - The launch event resulted in sales orders signed with Chengdu Haoneng Aerospace Technology Co., Ltd., Chengdu Chenglin CNC Tool Co., Ltd., and Xinxin Linear (Suzhou) Co., Ltd. [2]. Group 2: Strategic Vision and Industry Impact - The chairman, Cao Yuzhong, emphasized the company's mission to transition from "Made in China" to "Created in China," focusing on reducing reliance on imported high-end equipment and establishing industry influence through independent innovation [3]. - The company has consistently prioritized technological innovation, building an advanced intelligent manufacturing management platform and a scientific quality control system [3]. - The co-founder, Liu Xiangxiong, noted that the development of the equipment manufacturing sector, particularly the industrial mother machine industry, requires long-term experience and technological accumulation [3]. Group 3: Future Development and Industry Position - The company aims to continue driving innovation as its core, facilitating collaborative upgrades across the industrial chain to support China's transition from a "manufacturing giant" to a "manufacturing power" [3]. - The president of the China Machine Tool Industry Association, Mao Yufeng, highlighted that the new products not only showcase the company's R&D capabilities but also reflect its keen market insight and forward-looking strategy [3].

Summary of Grinding Machine Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The global grinding machine market is approximately 6 billion RMB, with China accounting for 20% or about 1.2 billion RMB [1][4] - Domestic grinding machines hold a 52% market share in China, but there is a significant net import gap of 590 million USD, indicating reliance on imports for high-end markets [1][4] - China's grinding machine exports account for about 26%, which is significantly lower than Germany (80%) and Japan (56%), highlighting the need for improvement in global competitiveness, especially in high-precision grinding machines [1][6] Market Structure and Dynamics - The grinding machine industry can be classified by processing method and precision. Basic models, including external, internal, and surface grinders, contribute 70% of sales value [2] - The market concentration for the top five companies (CR5) in the grinding machine sector is only 30%, indicating a highly fragmented market, except for surface grinders, which have a higher concentration of 20%-30% [12] - The demand for thread grinding machines may see a potential elasticity gain of 50% when humanoid robots reach mass production of 1 million units [2][17] Key Components and Technology Barriers - The main costs in grinding machines are structural components, CNC drive systems, and spindles, with spindle costs being the highest and presenting the most significant technical barriers [1][8] - The slow progress in the localization of CNC systems in the grinding machine industry is primarily due to reliance on foreign brands like Siemens, Fanuc, and Mitsubishi [10] - Key components such as ball screws, worktables, and linear guides are mostly sourced externally, which impacts the consistency and yield rates of the machines [11] Company Highlights - **Qinchuan Machine Tool**: Focuses on rolling functional components and grinding machine integration, with several subsidiaries and a strong position in various machine tool sectors [18] - **Rifa Precision**: Transitioned from bearing grinding to thread grinding, achieving a revenue of 530 million RMB in 2023 with a net profit margin of 13% [19] - **Huachen Equipment**: Specializes in CNC roller grinding machines, with a revenue of 380 million RMB in 2024 and a gross margin of 28.4% [20][21] - **Tsinshang Machine Tool**: Established in 2013, it has been actively participating in the market with significant investments in new technologies [22] Future Trends and Capital Operations - The capital operation in the grinding machine industry has been slow, but there is a shift as downstream customers begin to acquire companies to integrate components and equipment [13] - The industry is moving towards high-end equipment manufacturing, with significant attention from the capital market on companies' developments in this area [27] Conclusion - The grinding machine industry in China is characterized by a significant reliance on imports for high-end products, a fragmented market structure, and ongoing challenges in technology localization. However, key players are making strides in innovation and market positioning, indicating potential growth opportunities in the future.

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance is under short-term pressure, but the export business is progressing smoothly [2] - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 446 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.92%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 62 million yuan, down 47.36% year-on-year [2] - The decline in revenue is primarily due to longer installation and debugging cycles for some orders, which have not yet been recognized as revenue [2] - The company is increasing R&D investment to expand new products, with a focus on internal/external thread grinding machines and semiconductor precision grinding [3] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's gross margin was 28.54%, a decrease of 5.76 percentage points year-on-year, while the gross margin for Q1 2025 was 34.4%, an increase of 2.6 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The net profit margin for 2024 was 14.41%, down 11.20 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to increased R&D expenses and asset/credit impairment losses [3] - As of the end of 2024, the company's contract liabilities were 248 million yuan, an increase of 3.65% year-on-year, indicating a good order backlog [4] Business Development - The company is entering the screw processing equipment field and has signed a contract to provide 100 precision internal/external thread grinding machines to a partner [5] - A joint venture is planned with a partner to engage in ultra-precision optical component grinding and semiconductor precision machining services [5] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for the company is maintained at 99 million yuan for 2025 and 144 million yuan for 2026, with an expected net profit of 219 million yuan in 2027 [5] - The current market value corresponds to P/E ratios of 106, 73, and 48 times for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5]