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银轮股份(002126):2025年三季度利润同比提升,服务器液冷、机器人等新领域持续拓展
Guoxin Securities· 2025-11-05 05:13
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [7][39]. Core Insights - The company has shown significant revenue growth, with a 27% year-on-year increase in Q3 2025, driven by the recovery in passenger and commercial vehicle sales, as well as rapid growth in digital energy [2][11]. - The company is expanding into new fields such as server liquid cooling and robotics, which are expected to contribute to future growth [5][31]. - The company has a robust order backlog, with new orders expected to generate approximately 9.073 billion yuan in annual sales once fully realized [4][33]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 11.06 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.1%, and a net profit of 670 million yuan, up 11.2% year-on-year [2][11]. - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.89 billion yuan, a 27.4% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 230 million yuan, reflecting a 14.5% year-on-year growth [2][11]. - The gross margin for Q1-Q3 2025 was 19.3%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 7.0%, down 0.5 percentage points year-on-year [3][20]. Business Segments - The passenger vehicle segment saw sales of 25.49 million units of new energy vehicle thermal management products in 2024, accounting for 42% of total revenue [2][12]. - The commercial vehicle segment benefited from policies promoting the replacement of old trucks, with domestic sales reaching 990,000 units in Q3 2025, a 20.2% year-on-year increase [2][12]. - The company is actively developing its digital energy and robotics businesses, with significant progress in product development and patent applications [5][36]. Future Outlook - The company maintains its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 1.089 billion yuan, 1.385 billion yuan, and 1.625 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [5][39]. - The expected earnings per share for the same years are projected to be 1.29 yuan, 1.64 yuan, and 1.93 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 30, 23, and 20 [5][39]. - The company is enhancing its production capacity and localization efforts, with new facilities in Mexico and Poland expected to contribute to revenue growth [4][28].