伐谋-中小盘信息更新 铁流股份（603926.SH） 设立子公司全面进军具身智能，深度合作哈特研究院 2025 年 12 月 12 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/12/12 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 15.99 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 19.11/7.72 | | 总市值(亿元) | 37.53 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 36.91 | | 总股本(亿股) | 2.35 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 2.31 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 125.81 | 中小盘研究团队 哈特研究院在机器人环境感知、智能控制等领域拥有扎实的学术底蕴与前沿的科 研能力，不仅承接过多项国家级重点研发计划项目，更构建了国家级博士后工作 站、国家工业机器人检验检测中心等高端科研平台。 公司具备领先的精密加工能力，账上现金充裕有望通过并购整合先进产业 公司主业以离合器为主，下游覆盖国内部分整车厂，产能规模及市场份额均处于 国内领先地位。2018 年通过收购德国 Geiger 进入高精密零部件领域，在新能源 车电机轴等方面具备领先的技术工艺。公司历史上通过多次并购实 ...

格隆汇12月12日｜爱建股份研报指出，铁流股份估值低于可比公司均值，汽车传动系统业务稳固，新能 源车电机轴等高精密零部件制造业务即将起量，且积极布局切入机器人赛道，首次覆盖，给予"买入"评 级。公司处于汽车零部件行业，主业涵盖汽车传动系统（离合器、液压轴承、液力变矩器、刹车片 等）、高精密零部件制造（发动机高压共轨系统喷油器、新能源车电机轴等）、商用车全车件智慧服务 三大板块。当前汽车产业电动智能化正在加速，并向以人形机器人为代表的具身智能延伸，高精密零部 件或将由此成为核心刚需，成长空间广阔。此外，公司旗下两大商用车全车件供应链企业运通四方和国 联汽配运用线上中配汽车服务平台，全面打造商用车后市场零配件供应链平台经济新模式，或逐步形成 新的增长点。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Tieliu Co., Ltd. is a leading player in the automotive clutch manufacturing sector, with a focus on precision manufacturing and smart services, but it faces challenges in revenue and profitability compared to industry peers [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Tieliu Co., Ltd. was established on November 26, 2009, and listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange on May 10, 2017, with its headquarters in Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province [1]. - The company specializes in the research, production, and sales of automotive clutches and is recognized for its significant market share and production capacity in China [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Tieliu Co., Ltd. reported revenue of 1.767 billion yuan, ranking 38th among 103 companies in the industry, significantly lower than the top competitors Weichai Power (170.571 billion yuan) and Top Group (20.928 billion yuan) [2]. - The net profit for the same period was 72.0946 million yuan, placing it 62nd in the industry, again far behind Weichai Power (10.852 billion yuan) and Top Group (1.969 billion yuan) [2]. Group 3: Financial Ratios - As of Q3 2025, Tieliu Co., Ltd. had a debt-to-asset ratio of 43.14%, which is higher than the industry average of 39.06% and an increase from 42.15% in the previous year [3]. - The gross profit margin was reported at 16.37%, down from 17.90% year-on-year and below the industry average of 21.53% [3]. Group 4: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders decreased by 2.62% to 10,800, while the average number of circulating A-shares held per shareholder increased by 3.28% to 21,300 [5]. Group 5: Future Outlook - Tieliu Co., Ltd. is expected to see net profits of 129 million yuan, 164 million yuan, and 208 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding earnings per share (EPS) of 0.55, 0.70, and 0.88 yuan [5]. - The company is focusing on leveraging its acquisition of German Geiger to enhance its capabilities in high-precision components, particularly in the electric vehicle sector, and aims to continue expanding through strategic acquisitions [5].

Core Insights - The macroeconomic environment shows strong supply but weak demand, indicating a cautious outlook for various sectors [4][11][15] - The report emphasizes the potential for recovery in the ChiNext index, driven by policy support and advancements in battery storage technology [17][24][28] Macroeconomic Overview - Construction activity is showing signs of improvement, with a slight increase in operational rates for key materials like asphalt and cement, although still below historical averages [6] - Industrial production remains robust, with high operational rates in the chemical sector, but automotive sales have seen a decline [6][13] - Demand in the construction sector is weak, with negative year-on-year growth in building materials [6][12] Commodity Prices - International commodity prices are fluctuating, with significant increases in gold prices, while domestic industrial prices are stable [7] Real Estate Market - New housing transactions have turned positive, with a notable increase in sales in first-tier cities due to relaxed policies [8] - The second-hand housing market is showing marginal improvement, with transaction volumes increasing in major cities [8] Export Trends - Exports are projected to grow by approximately 4% year-on-year in early September, supported by favorable tariff conditions [9] Consumer Market - Retail sales growth has slowed, with a year-on-year decline in August, but the "trade-in" policy is expected to boost sales in the coming months [12][32] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment has weakened, particularly in real estate, with a significant year-on-year decline in property development investment [14][34] Automotive Industry - Heavy truck sales have surged, with a year-on-year increase of about 40% in August, indicating a strong recovery in the domestic market [52] - The penetration rate of new energy heavy trucks has reached a record high, driven by supportive policies and market demand [53] Battery and Storage Sector - The new energy storage policy aims to significantly increase installed capacity by 2027, indicating strong future growth potential for the battery sector [25][27] - The battery industry is experiencing improved market conditions, with solid-state batteries and lithium batteries gaining traction [27] Machinery Sector - The development of Tesla's robotic technology, particularly the "dexterous hand," is crucial for achieving mass production, highlighting the importance of advanced robotics in manufacturing [58][59]