证券研究报告 | 季报点评 gszqdatemark 2025 11 07 年 月 日 众信旅游（002707.SZ） -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 2024-10 2025-03 2025-06 2025-10 众信旅游 沪深300 业绩短期承压，长期零售业务打开空间 事件：公司发布 2025 年三季报，2025Q1-Q3 实现营收 52.41 亿元、同比 +10.96%，归母净利润 0.67 亿元、同比-45.73%，扣非归母净利润 0.62 亿元、同比-47.90%。其中，2025Q3 实现营收 23.66 亿元、同比+12.35%， 归母净利润 0.27 亿元、同比-48.64%，扣非归母净利润 0.26 亿元、同比 -48.69%。 2025Q3 收入稳健增长。分业务来看，1）旅游批发业务是公司收入基本盘。 据航班管家 DAST 统计，2025Q3 我国民航国际航线航班量 17.8 万架次， 同比增长 11.7%，环比增长 6.1%，同比 2019 年下降 12.2%，三季度民 航国际市场整体恢复率达 87.8%。2）旅游零售业务通过加盟模式快速扩 张。截至 2025 年 8 月 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company reported a significant recovery in revenue and net profit for 2024, with operating income reaching 6.455 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 95.7%, and a net profit of 106 million yuan, up 228.2% year-on-year [3] - The wholesale business showed a rapid recovery, with revenue of 4.793 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 136.43%, while the retail business also performed well with a revenue of 746 million yuan, up 59.83% year-on-year [4] - The company is focusing on expanding its retail business, which has a higher gross margin compared to wholesale, and is expected to become a major profit contributor [6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an operating income of 6.455 billion yuan and a net profit of 106 million yuan, with a gross margin of 13.0% and a net margin of 1.64% [3] - For Q1 2025, the company reported an operating income of 1.165 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.74%, but a net profit decline of 32.39% to 19 million yuan due to rising sales and management expenses [5] Business Segmentation - The wholesale business revenue for 2024 was 4.793 billion yuan, while the retail business generated 746 million yuan, indicating strong growth in both segments [4] - The company has over 2,000 retail stores across more than 20 provinces, enhancing its market presence and service experience [4] Future Projections - The revenue forecast for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 8.438 billion yuan, 12.106 billion yuan, and 14.019 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profit estimates of 147 million yuan, 232 million yuan, and 329 million yuan [7] - The expected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is projected to be 0.15 yuan, 0.24 yuan, and 0.34 yuan, respectively, with a PE ratio of 56, 35, and 25 times [7]