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 25Q3业绩前瞻:关注底部基本面变化,线下和出海重点推荐
 ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-10-09 09:01
 Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [4]   Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of changes in the bottom-line fundamentals, with a focus on offline retail and overseas expansion as key investment opportunities [1] - The travel sector is experiencing a recovery, with significant growth in domestic travel preferences shifting from "going to see" to "going to experience" [2] - The online travel agency (OTA) sector is benefiting from overall market growth, maintaining a stable competitive landscape despite new entrants [2] - The offline retail sector is undergoing transformation, with supermarkets expected to see profit improvements due to supply chain changes and store renovations [4][6] - The hotel industry is anticipated to reach a bottom cycle, with leading companies expected to improve operational efficiency and profitability [7] - Cross-border e-commerce is facing profit differentiation due to external factors, but platform-based companies are expected to perform steadily [8][9] - The mother and baby retail sector is benefiting from policy support and store adjustments, leading to a recovery in same-store sales [10][11]   Summary by Sections  Travel and Tourism - National holiday travel data met expectations, with a year-on-year increase of 7% in cross-regional travel [2] - Scenic spots saw a surge in visitors, with notable increases in tourist numbers during the holiday period [3]   Offline Retail - Supermarkets are undergoing renovations, which are expected to enhance customer attraction and profitability [4] - The competitive landscape in offline retail is improving, with a shift towards quality retail [4][6]   Hotel and Restaurant - The hotel sector is projected to see a recovery in RevPAR as supply stabilizes and operational efficiencies improve [7] - The restaurant sector is under pressure, but specific segments like wedding banquets are expected to perform better [7]   E-commerce - Cross-border e-commerce is experiencing increased competition, but platform-based companies are expected to maintain stable performance [8][9] - The overall e-commerce sector is seeing a reduction in competitive pressure, with a focus on optimizing user experience and enhancing sales through instant retail [15][16]   Mother and Baby Retail - The sector is benefiting from supportive policies and adjustments in store formats, leading to improved sales performance [10][11]
 2025旅游真相:老外涌入中国,AI帮你规划
 2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-09-14 01:06
在服贸会主题论坛之一的2025世界旅游合作与发展大会上,世界旅游城市联合会专家、联合国旅游组织 大使伊什特万·乌伊海伊发布了《世界旅游城市发展报告(2024—2025)》(以下简称《报告》)。 《报告》称,2024年以来,全球旅游业迎来里程碑式复苏。 服贸会上,旅游企业谈的最多的也是AI。 9月10日到9月14日,2025年服贸会在北京的工业旅游地首钢园举行。从泡泡玛特、52TOYS文创产品, 到PICO(字节跳动旗下XR品牌)沉浸式体验,文旅服务展馆吸引了诸多观众打卡。 联合国旅游组织数据显示,2025年一季度,国际游客总数突破3亿人次,同比增长5%。亚太市场增速领 跑全球,中国是世界上最大的旅游支出国,其出境支出同比增长30%。 "数智化"、"助力入境旅游"是本次服贸会文旅专题旅游展的核心亮点。21世纪经济报道记者注意到,入 境游、旅游AI助手等话题,也是文旅类论坛嘉宾提及最多的关键词,针对中国入境游人数的增加,从 机场到在线旅游平台都推出了系列服务;AI方面,中国的互联网社交平台小红书、OTA(在线旅游) 平台去哪儿以及美团旅行等,都在服贸会上披露了AI应用的最新进展。 去哪儿副总裁任芬分享了一组入境游 ...
