Core Viewpoint - CICC has raised its adjusted EBITDA forecasts for Galaxy Entertainment for 2025 and 2026 by 5% and 3% to HKD 14.524 billion and HKD 15.330 billion respectively, due to better-than-expected performance from the Capella hotel [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Galaxy Entertainment reported 2Q25 net revenue of HKD 12.044 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8%, recovering to 91% of the 2Q19 level [2] - Adjusted EBITDA for 2Q25 was HKD 3.569 billion, up 12% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter, reaching 82% of the 2Q19 level, aligning closely with market expectations of HKD 3.540 billion [2] Group 2: Management Insights - The company declared an interim dividend of HKD 0.70 per share, corresponding to a payout ratio of approximately 60%, and plans to maintain this payout ratio [3] - The high-end mass gaming segment continues to outperform the standard mass segment, driven by the opening of the Capella hotel, which has increased customer daily theoretical win and spending levels [3] - Management anticipates capital expenditures of HKD 7 billion for 2025, with HKD 3 billion spent in the first half of 2025, while maintaining daily operating costs at the same level as in 1Q25 despite the opening of the Capella hotel [3] - The company is focusing on transitioning the StarWorld Hotel towards mass gaming, emphasizing electronic gaming machines, with 100 out of 250 gaming tables relocated to the Galaxy Macau property [3] - Management expects the StarWorld Hotel to benefit from the retention demand of satellite casinos, which are set to close by the end of 2025 [3] - The company is interested in investing in a resort in Bangkok, Thailand, and will monitor potential changes in the external environment [3]

Q2 & Interim Results 2025 12 August, 2025 Mr. Francis Lui Yiu Tung, Chairman of GEG said: "Today I am pleased to report solid performance for the Macau market and GEG in Q2 and the first half of 2025. Despite global tariff disruptions, continued economic slowdown and regional competition, Macau remained resilient in Q2 2025 with Gross Gaming Revenue ('GGR') growing 8% year- on-year and 6% quarter-on-quarter to $59.3 billion. GEG delivered solid results and growth in market share under competitive market con ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 47.25, representing a potential upside of 48.11% from the current stock price of HKD 31.90 [1]. Core Insights - The company's Q4 2024 performance met expectations, with a year-to-date low double-digit growth forecast. The net revenue for Q4 was HKD 11.29 billion, recovering to 87.1% of the 2019 level, with a year-on-year increase of 9.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.9% [2][3]. - The introduction of smart gaming tables and the launch of new products, particularly the Capella Hotel and Resort, are expected to enhance market share. The company has a strong balance sheet with net cash of HKD 27.1 billion, the strongest in the industry [2][3]. Financial Summary - Total net revenue is projected to grow from HKD 35.68 billion in 2023 to HKD 55.18 billion by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.3% [2][3]. - EBITDA is expected to increase from HKD 9.96 billion in 2023 to HKD 16.89 billion in 2027, with an EBITDA margin improving from 27.9% to 30.6% over the same period [2][3]. - Net profit is forecasted to rise from HKD 6.83 billion in 2023 to HKD 12.62 billion in 2027, with a net profit margin increasing from 19.1% to 22.9% [2][3]. Operational Highlights - The company reported a strong performance in its flagship properties, with net revenues for Galaxy Macau and StarWorld Hotel increasing by 12% and 3% year-on-year, respectively [2]. - The occupancy rates for Galaxy Macau and StarWorld Hotel were reported at 98% and 100%, respectively, indicating robust demand [2]. - The company is advancing its development projects, including the introduction of the Capella Hotel and Resort in mid-2025 and the ongoing construction of the fourth phase of Galaxy Macau, expected to be completed by 2027 [2][3].