Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong performance in Q4 2025, with net revenue increasing by 22.5% year-on-year and 13.7% quarter-on-quarter, reaching HKD 13.83 billion, driven primarily by "Galaxy Macau" [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - VIP gaming revenue surged by 182.6% year-on-year and 52.1% quarter-on-quarter, recovering to 48.1% of 2019 levels, partly benefiting from a higher net win rate [1] - Mass gaming revenue grew by 15.0% year-on-year and 5.8% quarter-on-quarter, reaching 136.6% of 2019 levels [1] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by 32.7% year-on-year and 28.6% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 4.3 billion, recovering to 99.6% of 2019 levels, with an EBITDA margin of 31.1%, up 2.4% year-on-year and 3.6% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The market share during the period was estimated at 22%, and the overall performance met expectations [1] - The company maintained a strong balance sheet with net cash of HKD 35 billion, the strongest in the industry [1] Group 2: Segment Performance - "Galaxy Macau" and StarWorld Hotel reported net revenues of HKD 11.8 billion and HKD 1.3 billion, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 28.8% and a slight decrease of 1.1%, and quarter-on-quarter growth of 16.7% and 1.0% [2] - Adjusted EBITDA for "Galaxy Macau" and StarWorld Hotel was HKD 4.0 billion and HKD 360 million, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 41% and a decrease of 2%, and quarter-on-quarter growth of 31% and a decrease of 3.5% [2] - The EBITDA margins for "Galaxy Macau" and StarWorld Hotel were 34.1% and 27.9%, respectively [2] - Hotel occupancy rates were 99% for "Galaxy Macau" and 100% for StarWorld Hotel [2] Group 3: Future Developments and Market Outlook - The opening of the new hotel brand, Capella Hotels and Resorts, in February 2026 is expected to drive growth, with ongoing construction of the fourth phase of "Galaxy Macau" projected to be completed by 2027 [2] - The fourth phase will cover approximately 600,000 square meters and introduce several high-end hotel brands, along with various non-gaming facilities [2] - The company has stabilized its promotional expenses and has increased its dividend payout ratio three times over the past three years to 61% [3] - The target price is set at HKD 51.05, equivalent to 13 times the 2026 EV/EBITDA, reflecting confidence in the company's long-term growth prospects [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 51.05, representing a potential upside of 29.63% from the current stock price of HKD 39.38 [2][4]. Core Insights - The company reported a 33% year-on-year growth in EBITDA for Q4 2025, with a payout ratio increased to 61% [2]. - The overall performance for Q4 2025 met expectations, driven by increased foot traffic, improvements in high-end and VIP business, and the relaxation of visa policies [4]. - The company has a strong balance sheet with net cash of HKD 35 billion, positioning it as one of the strongest in the industry [4]. Financial Summary - Total net revenue for 2024 is projected at HKD 43,432 million, increasing to HKD 61,854.3 million by 2028, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.8% [3][5]. - EBITDA is expected to grow from HKD 12,188 million in 2024 to HKD 18,753.5 million in 2028, with an EBITDA margin projected to improve from 28.1% to 30.3% over the same period [5]. - Net profit is forecasted to rise from HKD 8,759.2 million in 2024 to HKD 13,935.4 million in 2028, indicating a robust growth trajectory [3][5]. Operational Highlights - The company achieved a net revenue of HKD 13.83 billion in Q4 2025, a 22.5% year-on-year increase, with VIP gaming revenue soaring by 182.6% [4]. - The occupancy rates for the "Galaxy Macau" and the StarWorld Hotel were reported at 99% and 100%, respectively, indicating strong demand [4]. - The company is advancing the construction of the fourth phase of "Galaxy Macau," expected to be completed by 2027, which will introduce several high-end hotel brands and additional facilities [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 51.05, representing a potential upside of 29.63% from the current stock price of HKD 39.38 [2][4]. Core Insights - The company reported a 33% year-on-year growth in EBITDA for Q4 2025, with a payout ratio increased to 61% [2]. - The overall performance for Q4 2025 met expectations, driven by increased foot traffic, improvements in high-end and VIP business, and the relaxation of visa policies [4]. - The company has a strong balance sheet with net cash of HKD 35 billion, positioning it as one of the strongest in the industry [4]. Financial Summary - Total net revenue for 2024 is projected at HKD 43,432 million, increasing to HKD 61,854.3 million by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.8% [3][5]. - EBITDA is expected to grow from HKD 12,188 million in 2024 to HKD 18,753.5 million in 2028, reflecting a CAGR of 12.1% [3][5]. - Net profit is forecasted to rise from HKD 8,759.2 million in 2024 to HKD 13,935.4 million in 2028, with a CAGR of 11.9% [3][5]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from HKD 2.0 in 2024 to HKD 3.2 in 2028 [3][5]. Operational Highlights - The company’s market share is estimated to reach 22%, with significant contributions from the "Galaxy Macau" and the StarWorld Hotel, which reported net revenue growth of 28.8% and a slight decrease of 1.1% respectively [4]. - The EBITDA margin for "Galaxy Macau" is reported at 34.1%, while the StarWorld Hotel's EBITDA margin stands at 27.9% [4]. - The company is continuing to develop its fourth phase of "Galaxy Macau," expected to be completed by 2027, which will introduce several high-end hotel brands and additional facilities [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 50.06, representing a potential upside of 30.36% from the current stock price of HKD 38.40 [3]. Core Insights - The company's Q3 2025 performance met expectations, with net revenue increasing by 14.0% year-on-year and 1.0% quarter-on-quarter, reaching HKD 12.16 billion, recovering to 95.7% of the same period in 2019 [3]. - The VIP gaming table turnover increased by 46.28% year-on-year and 16.6% quarter-on-quarter, while mass gaming revenue grew by 12.8% year-on-year and 7.4% quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The adjusted EBITDA for the group grew by 13.6% year-on-year but decreased by 6.4% quarter-on-quarter to HKD 3.34 billion, recovering to 81.3% of the same period in 2019 [3]. - The company holds a strong balance sheet with net cash of HKD 34.8 billion, the strongest in the industry [3]. Financial Summary - Total net revenue is projected to grow from HKD 35,683.6 million in 2023 to HKD 55,764.5 million by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.5% [2][4]. - EBITDA is expected to increase from HKD 9,955.0 million in 2023 to HKD 16,439.8 million in 2027, with an EBITDA margin improving from 27.9% to 29.5% over the same period [2][4]. - Net profit is forecasted to rise from HKD 6,828.0 million in 2023 to HKD 12,317.4 million in 2027, indicating a CAGR of 9.6% [2][4]. - The company plans to maintain a dividend payout, with dividends per share expected to increase from HKD 0.5 in 2023 to HKD 1.6 in 2027, resulting in a dividend yield of 4.3% by 2027 [2][4]. Operational Highlights - The performance of "Galaxy Macau™" and the StarWorld Hotel showed a net revenue increase of 20% and a decrease of 6% year-on-year, respectively, with hotel occupancy rates at 98% and 99% [3]. - The company is progressing with the construction of the fourth phase of "Galaxy Macau™," expected to be completed in 2027, which will introduce several high-end hotel brands and a theater with 5,000 seats [3]. - The company hosted approximately 260 entertainment, sports, arts, and cultural events from January to September 2025, leading to a 41% year-on-year increase in visitor traffic to "Galaxy Macau™" [3].

Core Viewpoint - CICC has raised its adjusted EBITDA forecasts for Galaxy Entertainment for 2025 and 2026 by 5% and 3% to HKD 14.524 billion and HKD 15.330 billion respectively, due to better-than-expected performance from the Capella hotel [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Galaxy Entertainment reported 2Q25 net revenue of HKD 12.044 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 8%, recovering to 91% of the 2Q19 level [2] - Adjusted EBITDA for 2Q25 was HKD 3.569 billion, up 12% year-on-year and 8% quarter-on-quarter, reaching 82% of the 2Q19 level, aligning closely with market expectations of HKD 3.540 billion [2] Group 2: Management Insights - The company declared an interim dividend of HKD 0.70 per share, corresponding to a payout ratio of approximately 60%, and plans to maintain this payout ratio [3] - The high-end mass gaming segment continues to outperform the standard mass segment, driven by the opening of the Capella hotel, which has increased customer daily theoretical win and spending levels [3] - Management anticipates capital expenditures of HKD 7 billion for 2025, with HKD 3 billion spent in the first half of 2025, while maintaining daily operating costs at the same level as in 1Q25 despite the opening of the Capella hotel [3] - The company is focusing on transitioning the StarWorld Hotel towards mass gaming, emphasizing electronic gaming machines, with 100 out of 250 gaming tables relocated to the Galaxy Macau property [3] - Management expects the StarWorld Hotel to benefit from the retention demand of satellite casinos, which are set to close by the end of 2025 [3] - The company is interested in investing in a resort in Bangkok, Thailand, and will monitor potential changes in the external environment [3]

Q2 & Interim Results 2025 12 August, 2025 Mr. Francis Lui Yiu Tung, Chairman of GEG said: "Today I am pleased to report solid performance for the Macau market and GEG in Q2 and the first half of 2025. Despite global tariff disruptions, continued economic slowdown and regional competition, Macau remained resilient in Q2 2025 with Gross Gaming Revenue ('GGR') growing 8% year- on-year and 6% quarter-on-quarter to $59.3 billion. GEG delivered solid results and growth in market share under competitive market con ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 47.25, representing a potential upside of 48.11% from the current stock price of HKD 31.90 [1]. Core Insights - The company's Q4 2024 performance met expectations, with a year-to-date low double-digit growth forecast. The net revenue for Q4 was HKD 11.29 billion, recovering to 87.1% of the 2019 level, with a year-on-year increase of 9.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 5.9% [2][3]. - The introduction of smart gaming tables and the launch of new products, particularly the Capella Hotel and Resort, are expected to enhance market share. The company has a strong balance sheet with net cash of HKD 27.1 billion, the strongest in the industry [2][3]. Financial Summary - Total net revenue is projected to grow from HKD 35.68 billion in 2023 to HKD 55.18 billion by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.3% [2][3]. - EBITDA is expected to increase from HKD 9.96 billion in 2023 to HKD 16.89 billion in 2027, with an EBITDA margin improving from 27.9% to 30.6% over the same period [2][3]. - Net profit is forecasted to rise from HKD 6.83 billion in 2023 to HKD 12.62 billion in 2027, with a net profit margin increasing from 19.1% to 22.9% [2][3]. Operational Highlights - The company reported a strong performance in its flagship properties, with net revenues for Galaxy Macau and StarWorld Hotel increasing by 12% and 3% year-on-year, respectively [2]. - The occupancy rates for Galaxy Macau and StarWorld Hotel were reported at 98% and 100%, respectively, indicating robust demand [2]. - The company is advancing its development projects, including the introduction of the Capella Hotel and Resort in mid-2025 and the ongoing construction of the fourth phase of Galaxy Macau, expected to be completed by 2027 [2][3].