智通财经APP获悉，群智咨询发文称，进入四季度，智能手机面板市场呈现 "整体季度性增长、技术路线分化加剧"的格局。低端面板凭借华南 市场支撑需求高企，FOLED 受益于旗舰机型备货周期实现出货增长，而 LTPS LCD、ROLED 则面临需求挤压，这种分化态势进一步传导至价 格端，推动四季度各技术路线面板价格呈现差异化走向。 Tablet面板 具体分析如下： a-Si LCD：需求韧性支撑，迎小幅涨价窗口 a-Si LCD面板的需求韧性主要有双重支撑：一是其高性价比属性契合下游品牌在低端市场的成本控制需求，成为入门机型的核心选择;二是下 沉市场白牌机型订单稳定，叠加售后维修市场的持续性，形成需求基本盘。而且，部分旧机种的维修规格，有小量的加单需求。#群智咨询 (Sigmaintell)预计四季度a-Si LCD面板(Cell)将在华南市场迎来小幅涨价。 LTPS LCD：供需双减格局下价格维持平稳 当前智能手机市场对 LTPS LCD 面板的供需预期均处于低位：需求端，中低端机型更倾向选择性价比更高的 a-Si LCD，中高端机型则逐步向 OLED切换，导致 LTPS LCD 的应用场景持续收缩;供应端，面板 ...

Core Insights - The global smartphone market is entering a high-end model release cycle in Q3 2025, leading to significant seasonal growth in the panel market, with total smartphone panel shipments reaching 580 million units, a year-on-year increase of approximately 5.2% [1][13]. Market Overview - The market is characterized by a continued differentiation, with flexible OLED leading growth while a-Si LCD remains a solid foundation. In Q3 2025, a-Si LCD smartphone panel shipments reached approximately 330 million units, a year-on-year increase of 6.9% [4]. - LTPS LCD shipments fell sharply by 40.8% year-on-year to about 20.86 million units, as brands accelerate the transition to OLED technology [4]. - Rigid OLED shipments declined by 3.0% year-on-year to approximately 49.3 million units, although some domestic brands may maintain rigid OLED product plans in the short term due to cost control measures [4]. Company Performance - BOE (京东方) maintained its position as the global leader with over 140 million units shipped, although overall shipments declined year-on-year. Flexible OLED shipments reached 38.4 million units, a year-on-year increase of 25.7% [8][9]. - Samsung Display (SDC) ranked second with over 100 million units shipped, benefiting from the release of new Apple models, with flexible OLED shipments reaching 61.4 million units [9][14]. - CSOT (华星光电) shipped approximately 70 million units, with a significant year-on-year increase of 59.2% in a-Si LCD shipments. Flexible OLED shipments were about 19.38 million units, showing fluctuations [10][11]. OLED Market Dynamics - The global OLED smartphone panel shipments reached approximately 230 million units in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.3%, with flexible OLED shipments around 180 million units, up 14.6% [13][14]. - Korean manufacturers saw a quarterly rebound in OLED shipments, totaling about 120 million units, with a market share of 51.8%, temporarily surpassing Chinese manufacturers [14]. - Chinese manufacturers continued to grow, with total OLED shipments around 110 million units, a year-on-year increase of 14.1%, maintaining over 50% market share in flexible OLED [14][15]. Future Outlook - The smartphone panel market is expected to maintain seasonal growth in Q4 2025, driven by holiday stocking demands. The ongoing release of OLED capacity and investments in high-generation lines will intensify market competition [17]. - Rising storage chip prices may lead terminal brands to pass cost pressures upstream to panel manufacturers, potentially intensifying pricing competition and impacting profitability [18].

Core Insights - BYD's domestic power battery installation volume reached 113.42 GWh in the first three quarters, with external supply accounting for over 20% [1][4] - Despite a slight decline in vehicle sales in Q3, BYD's battery usage surged, indicating a shift from self-supply to becoming a global battery supplier [3][6] Group 1: Sales and Market Position - BYD's cumulative vehicle sales reached 3.26 million units, a year-on-year increase of 18.6%, but Q3 sales dropped to 1.1142 million units, down 1.82% year-on-year [3][4] - In contrast, BYD's electric vehicle battery usage in Q3 was 55.1 GWh, ranking second globally and showing a year-on-year growth of 28.4% [3][6] Group 2: External Supply and Partnerships - BYD's external supply volume reached 23.65 GWh, with an external supply ratio of 20.85%, marking a significant transition to a global battery supplier [4][5] - Major external clients include automakers like Tesla, NIO, and Xiaomi, with partnerships involving customized battery solutions and joint ventures for battery production [4][6] Group 3: Strategic Collaborations - BYD's collaboration with FAW includes establishing a battery factory for specific models, while also providing customized "blade batteries" for Tesla's Berlin factory [6] - The partnerships are characterized by deep integration rather than simple battery supply, fostering long-term strategic relationships with major automakers [6]

Core Insights - The release of high-end equipment for 8.6-generation large-size OLED production lines in Chengdu marks a significant breakthrough in China's display equipment sector [1] Industry Summary - Dongguan Securities anticipates that with decreasing costs and terminal demonstration effects, the penetration rate of OLED in mobile phones and IT products is expected to increase further [1] - Chinese manufacturers are continuously increasing their global market share in OLED panels, driven by technological breakthroughs, capacity releases, and active procurement by domestic smartphone manufacturers [1] - BOE and other companies are actively advancing the construction of 8.6-generation OLED factories and expanding into the mid-size OLED sector, which is expected to enhance their global market share [1] Market Performance - According to Minsheng Securities, global OLED panel shipments are projected to grow by 5% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2025, while smartphone panel shipments are expected to increase by 2% quarter-on-quarter but decrease by 2% year-on-year [1] - In contrast, OLED panel shipments for laptops and monitors have achieved double-digit year-on-year growth, with laptop OLED panel shipments increasing by 110% quarter-on-quarter and 95% year-on-year, marking the fastest growth [1] - Monitor shipments grew by 44% quarter-on-quarter and 66% year-on-year, attributed to increased adoption of OLED in gaming and productivity models, along with the impact of the U.S. reciprocal tariff policy [1] - The high tariffs imposed by the U.S. on Chinese laptops, monitors, and components have significantly raised costs, narrowing the price gap between LCD and OLED products, thereby enhancing the price competitiveness of OLED products [1]

Core Insights - The global smartphone terminal market is experiencing stable demand, with brand competition focusing on pricing and channel strategies. However, market growth is shrinking due to increased inventory and strong cost-reduction demands from terminal brands [1][2]. Panel Demand Analysis - **a-Si LCD**: Demand remains high due to stable needs from white-label customers and the repair market, but price sensitivity in the low-end market leads to slight price reductions from suppliers [1]. - **LTPS LCD**: Both supply and demand are expected to remain low, with manufacturers shifting capacity to mid-size products, resulting in stable prices for LTPS LCD smartphone panels [1][4]. - **ROLED**: Prices for rigid OLED panels have slightly decreased, but demand has not significantly increased due to more brands shifting towards FOLED [2]. - **FOLED**: Demand is expected to grow in the third quarter, but intense competition during project bidding has led to a disconnect between demand growth and price reductions [2]. Tablet Panel Market - In the domestic market, tablet sales exceeded expectations during the "618" promotion, but demand is adjusting post-promotion, leading to reduced panel procurement by some brands. Ongoing tightening of national subsidies is further suppressing consumer purchasing intent [3]. - In North America, overall consumer demand remains weak despite cost transfers from supply chain shifts not yet impacting end prices [3]. Supply Side Overview - **a-Si LCD**: Demand related to tablets remains stable, with prices holding steady [4]. - **LTPS Production Lines**: Despite pressure on smartphone panel demand, strong demand for mid-size products keeps production lines operating at high utilization rates, maintaining stable prices [4].

Core Viewpoint - Huike Co., Ltd. is facing increased uncertainty in its second attempt to go public (IPO) due to being selected for a site inspection, despite its leading position in the global semiconductor display industry [2][3]. Group 1: Company Performance and Financials - Huike's revenue from 2019 to mid-2022 showed significant fluctuations, with revenues of 105.77 billion, 184.64 billion, 357.09 billion, and 133.14 billion respectively, while net profits were -12.77 billion, 4.15 billion, 54.06 billion, and 2.5 billion [5]. - For the period from 2022 to 2024, Huike's projected revenues are 271.34 billion, 357.97 billion, and 403.1 billion, with net profits of -14.28 billion, 25.66 billion, and 33.39 billion [5]. - The company has a high asset-liability ratio, with a debt ratio of 68.78% as of the end of 2024, and total assets amounting to 1,007.28 billion [9]. Group 2: R&D Investment - Huike's R&D expenses from 2022 to 2024 were 14.31 billion, 13.21 billion, and 14.11 billion, with a compound annual growth rate of -0.69%, indicating stagnant investment in R&D [6]. - The R&D expense ratio decreased from 5.27% to 3.5% over the same period, falling below the industry average of 5.31% and 5.5% [6]. Group 3: Market Position and Valuation - Huike ranks third in global TV panel shipments, fourth in monitor panel shipments, and third in smartphone panel shipments, with market shares exceeding 10% [7]. - The company's valuation has significantly increased, reaching 610.69 billion by December 2024, up approximately 2.37 times from 181.26 billion in February 2020 [8]. Group 4: IPO Plans and Funding - Huike plans to raise 85 billion through its IPO, with up to 10 billion allocated for debt repayment [2][3]. - The company has received multiple rounds of capital injections from state-owned enterprises, contributing to its rising valuation [8].

Group 1 - The global flat panel display market is expected to grow by 11% year-on-year in 2024, driven by various product categories, with televisions and tablets contributing the most to the growth [1] - Television panel revenue is projected to increase by 19% in 2024, primarily due to rising demand in the large-size segment, which also improves the overall average selling price [1] - The smartphone remains the largest application area for flat panel displays in 2024, but its growth is expected to be flat, aligning with downstream shipment trends [1] Group 2 - The display and PC panel revenue is anticipated to achieve double-digit growth in 2024 after hitting a low at the end of 2023, with future growth expected to maintain mid-single-digit levels [4] - The AR/VR panel revenue is declining due to a drop in device shipments, but growth is expected to resume in the next couple of years, particularly with the integration of AI technologies [4] - The automotive sector is becoming a significant growth driver for panel revenue, with increasing demand for larger and more precise displays in cockpit infotainment systems [4]

Core Viewpoint - Sharp is selling its second factory at the Kameyama plant to its parent company, Hon Hai Precision Industry, in response to deteriorating profitability in the liquid crystal panel business due to increased production by Chinese companies and falling panel prices [1]. Group 1 - The Kameyama plant was previously known for producing televisions that enhanced the Sharp brand's visibility [1]. - The second factory's operating rate has decreased to about 80% of its original capacity as of June 2024 [1]. - Sharp aims to improve the profitability of its liquid crystal panel business by divesting from less profitable facilities [1]. Group 2 - The Kameyama plant currently focuses on producing small to medium-sized panels for smartphones, tablets, and personal computers [1]. - The decision to sell the second factory is part of Sharp's strategy to restructure its liquid crystal panel operations and enhance overall performance [1].