| 应用别 | ਮਿਕੇ | 分辨率 | 出货型态 | | | 液晶显示屏价格下旬预测 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 作 | 高 | 均价 | 与前月差异(%) | | | 电视 | es"W | 3840x2160 | Open-Cell | 167 | 176 | 173 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 22", | 3840x2160 | Open-Cell | 118 | 127 | 124 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 43"W | 1920x1080 | Open-Cell | 62 | ୧୧ | ୧୯ | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 32"W | 1366x768 | Open-Cell | 34.0 | 36.0 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | 桌上显示器 | 27"W (IPS) | 1920x1080 | LED | 57.6 | 65.8 | 63.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 23.8"W (IPS) | 1920x1080 ...

10月7日，TrendForce集邦咨询发布10月上旬面板价格预测。具体来看：电视、显示器面板价格 预估与上月保持一致，笔电面板部分尺寸价格则预计有小幅度下跌。 | 发表日期: | 2025.10.07 | | | | | | TrendForce | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | (单位:美元/片) | | | | | | | | | | 应用别 | R4 | 分辨率 | 出货型态 | | | 液晶显示屏价格下旬预测 | | | | | | | | TE | 高 | 均价 | 与前月差异(%) | | | 电视 | es"W | 3840x2160 | Open-Cell | 167 | 176 | 173 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 55"W | 3840x2160 | Open-Cell | 118 | 127 | 124 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 43"W | 1920x1080 | Open-Cell | 62 | ୧୧ | 64 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 32''W | 13 ...

， 2025年10月， 电视与显示器面板价格预估不变，部分尺寸笔电面板价格预计有小幅度下调 。 具体 内容如下： | 应用别 | ਮਿਕੇ | 分辨率 | 出货型态 | | | 液晶显示屏价格下旬预测 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 促 | 高 | 均价 | 与前月差异(%) | | | 电视 | 65"W | 3840x2160 | Open-Cell | 167 | 176 | 173 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 55"W | 3840x2160 | Open-Cell | 118 | 127 | 124 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 43"W | 1920x1080 | Open-Cell | 62 | ୧୧ | 64 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 32"W | 1366x768 | Open-Cell | 34.0 | 36.0 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | 桌上显示器 | 27"W (IPS) | 1920x1080 | LED | 57.6 | ...

智通财经APP获悉，10月7日，根据TrendForce集邦咨询显示器研究中心最新调研数据，2025年10月，电视与显示器面板价格预估 不变，部分尺寸笔电面板价格预计有小幅度下调。 具体内容如下： | 应用别 | ਸਕ | 分辨率 | 出货型态 | | | 液晶显示屏价格下旬预测 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | E | 高 | 均价 | 与前月差异(%) | | | 电视 | 65"W | 3840x2160 | Open-Cell | 167 | 176 | 173 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 25"W | 3840x2160 | Open-Cell | 118 | 127 | 124 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 43"W | 1920x1080 | Open-Cell | 62 | ୧୧ | ୧4 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 32"W | 1366x768 | Open-Cell | 34.0 | 36.0 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | 桌上显示器 ...

以下文章来源于TrendForce集邦 ，作者TrendForce TrendForce集邦 . TrendForce集邦咨询是一家全球高科技产业研究机构，研究领域横跨存储器、AI服务器、集成电路与半 导体、晶圆代工、显示面板、LED、AR/VR、新能源（含太阳能光伏、储能和电池）、AI机器人及汽车 科技等，提供前瞻性行业研究报告、产业分析 | 应用别 | RT | 分辨率 | 出货型态 | | | 液晶显示屏价格下旬预测 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 155 | 高 | 均价 | 与前月差异(%) | | | 电视 | es"W | 3840x2160 | Open-Cell | 167 | 176 | 173 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 55"W | 3840x2160 | Open-Cell | 118 | 127 | 124 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 43"W | 1920x1080 | Open-Cell | 62 | 66 | 64 | 0.0 | 0.0% | ...

人民财讯10月7日电，根据TrendForce集邦咨询显示器研究中心《TrendForce2025面板价格预测月度报 告》最新调研数据，2025年10月，电视与显示器面板价格预估不变，部分尺寸笔电面板价格预计有小幅 度下调。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The global panel market experienced a price stabilization in Q3 2025, with TV panel prices halting their decline, while monitor and laptop panel prices remained stable. This stability was influenced by manufacturers' capacity control strategies and brand preparations for the year-end sales season, although uncertainties remain for Q4 due to ongoing supply-demand dynamics [2][18]. TV Panels - The TV panel market reversed its previous downward trend in Q3, driven by seasonal stocking demands from brands for the year-end promotional season [3][14]. - In July, demand was weak, leading to price declines for various sizes of TV panels, with 32-inch and 43-inch panels dropping by $1, 50-inch and 55-inch by $2, and 65-inch and 75-inch by $3 [5][6]. - By August, demand increased as brands began stocking for promotions, resulting in stable prices across all sizes of TV panels [6][8]. - September saw continued price stability, supported by brand stocking activities and manufacturers planning production cuts for October to address potential demand slowdowns [8][14]. Monitor Panels - Unlike TV panels, monitor panel prices remained stable throughout Q3, despite a slight 4.7% decrease in demand [8][9]. - The lack of price decline was attributed to manufacturers' reluctance to lower prices due to existing losses on mainstream monitor panel sizes, leading to reduced supply to support price stability [9][14]. - Both brands and manufacturers reached a consensus to maintain price stability, avoiding strong demands for price reductions [9][14]. Laptop Panels - The laptop panel market showed strong demand in Q3, with a 5.1% increase in demand compared to the previous quarter, but prices remained stable [10][12]. - The stability in prices was primarily due to competition among manufacturers, who avoided price increases to maintain customer relationships and market share [12][13]. - Manufacturers anticipated a potential demand decline in Q4, leading them to prefer price stability to solidify customer relations [13][14]. Key Factors Influencing Price Trends - The primary demand driver in Q3 was the seasonal stocking by brands for year-end promotions, which helped stabilize TV panel prices [14][15]. - Manufacturers' capacity control strategies, including production adjustments and planned reductions, played a crucial role in preventing further price declines [14][15]. - Competitive dynamics in the laptop panel market limited price increases despite strong demand, as manufacturers focused on maintaining long-term customer relationships [15][18]. Outlook for Q4 - The price stability achieved in Q3 is expected to face challenges in Q4, with anticipated declines in procurement momentum for TV panels as brands complete their stocking [16][18]. - Manufacturers plan to reduce production rates in October, which may impact price stability for TV panels [16][18]. - The monitor panel market may see continued price stability for mainstream sizes, but higher-end models could face downward price pressure [16][18]. - There is a high risk of price declines for laptop panels in Q4, as demand is expected to weaken, shifting bargaining power towards brand customers [17][18].

由于受到大摩报告的激励，面板双虎9月25日股价强势表态。其中群创早盘一度亮灯涨停，终场则大涨 4.2%、收14.8元新台币；友达盘中也差一档涨停，终场大涨3.6%、收14.1元新台币，双双攀升本波股价 反弹以来的波段高峰。 相较于下游厂商第二季度的谨慎拉货态度，大摩预期出货动能改善，将有助于面板厂提升议价能力，缓 解价格压力。展望未来，预期电视面板价格应已接近短期底部，但反弹时点可能取决于即将到来的促销 活动的最终需求。 尽管大摩预期第三季度电视面板价格将季减约 2%，因此暂时仍给予面板双虎"中立"评级，不过大摩认 为面板股情绪在电视面板价格见底之际已转向正面，有助于驱动股价正向表态。 由于受到外资摩根士丹利（大摩）证券预期电视面板价格已接近短期底部并蓄势反弹的激励，面板双虎 9月25日股价逆势强涨，其中群创盘中一度亮灯涨停、友达也逼近涨停，成为市场投资人追捧的亮点。 大摩证券指出，包括32英寸、43英寸、55英寸、65英寸与75英寸主流电视面板价格9月与8月持平，符合 预期。随电视品牌厂自8月开始为年终促销活动调整採购，预计电视面板出货量将较8月增长中个位数百 分比。 ...

Group 1: Currency and Economic Outlook - Barclays reports that despite recent negative events, the US dollar has remained resilient, with no significant decline observed since May, even amid weak economic data and challenges to the Federal Reserve's credibility [1] - Goldman Sachs predicts that the US economy will recover in the coming months, which may support the dollar's continued strength [1] Group 2: Oil and Emerging Markets - Goldman Sachs states that a complete ban on Russian oil imports by the EU is unlikely due to reliance from certain member states like Hungary and Slovakia, and any potential ban would only redistribute oil flows rather than reduce global supply [2] - Goldman Sachs expects emerging market stocks and currencies to rise by the end of the year, raising the MSCI Emerging Markets Index target from 1,370 to 1,480 points, indicating a potential 10% upside [2] Group 3: Domestic Market Insights - Dongfang Jincheng forecasts stable and ample market liquidity by year-end, with potential for a new round of reserve requirement ratio cuts and government bond purchases [4] - CITIC Securities highlights the long video industry benefiting from favorable policies, which may enhance production capacity and efficiency for content creators [6][10] - CITIC Securities notes a recovery in the restaurant industry, with August seeing a year-on-year increase in dining revenue, suggesting structural opportunities for leading companies with strong compliance and quality [8] Group 4: Sector-Specific Developments - CITIC Securities indicates that the carbon fiber industry is in a recovery phase, with strong demand in wind energy and aerospace sectors, recommending attention to high-quality companies with international exposure [9] - China Galaxy Securities observes a slight increase in cement prices due to seasonal demand, with expectations for further price support from rising coal prices [11][12] - China Galaxy Securities also reports positive signals in panel procurement ahead of the overseas promotional season, indicating a potential peak in TV demand [13] Group 5: Electronic Materials - Huatai Securities emphasizes the importance of electronic cloth in the PCB-CCL supply chain, predicting a supply shortage for various specialty electronic cloth products until 2026, and recommends companies with rapid capacity expansion [14][15]

机构观点 中国银河证券：海外下半年促销旺季即将到来，面板采购呈现积极信号：面板采购量是电视需求的前瞻 指标。上半年韩国品牌销售较差，面板一度大力去库存，影响面部采购需求，当前去库存结束迎来转 机。奥维睿沃数据，25年8月全球电视面板出货量达22.3百万片，同比+7.6%、环比+4.9%，延续了7月 以来的积极态势，反应了市场周期性的库存回补需求，全球电视品牌商正为下半年海外黑五、圣诞促销 旺季积极备货。从全球角度看，下半年海外电视需求走向短期高峰，或将平抑国内国补退坡的部分影 响。 中信证券：通过复盘2010年以来影视剧行业面临的政策，以及其对于内容制作公司和平台的业绩影响， 中信证券认为广电总局《进一步丰富电视大屏内容促进广电视听内容供给的若干举措》有望在多方面给 长视频行业带来实质性利好。看好后续长视频平台及优质内容制作公司提高产能、提升内容周转效率和 资金使用效率以及剧集IP商业化空间打开带来的业绩改善和增长潜力。 华泰证券：电子布是PCB-CCL产业链的关键增强材料，AI产业趋势推动高端PCB及其相关上游材料升 级，特种电子布有三大产品升级趋势。市场担忧龙头公司大规模扩产造成特种电子布供给格局恶化，但 ...