公司报告 | 年报点评报告 好太太（603848） 证券研究报告 以旧换新带动更新需求增长 公司发布年报以及一季报 以旧换新政策有望进一步刺激需求 线下渠道继续深耕传统经销商渠道，持续推进"开疆焕新"行动，分城分区 精准招商，通过高管帮扶、多轮培训等方式赋能终端零售，充分把握以旧 换新政策机会抢占市场，提升助力头部市场破局。 25Q1 公司营收 2.6 亿，同减 11%，归母净利 0.3 亿，同减 40%，扣非后归 母净利 0.3 亿，同减 43%； 24A 营收 16 亿，同减 8%，归母净利 2.5 亿，同减 24%，扣非后归母净利 2.4 亿，同减 24%。 24 年线上模式收入 10 亿，同减 2%，毛利率 51%同减 3pct。线下模式收入 5.3 亿，同减 21%，毛利率 45%，同减 2pct。 24 年公司销售同减 9.51%，受全球经济增长放缓、国内消费需求疲软影响， 家居行业承压，消费者购买力及装修需求延迟释放。智能家居赛道竞争白 热化，部分企业通过价格战抢占市场，导致公司产品毛利率承压。 智能家居产品营收同减 7.39%，传统晾衣架产品营收同减 18.87%。公司通 过全域整合思路，加速 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 16.87 CNY, maintaining the rating [4][9]. Core Views - The company has experienced a decline in revenue and net profit in 2024, with a revenue of 1.557 billion CNY, down 7.78% year-on-year, and a net profit of 248 million CNY, down 24.07% year-on-year [2][9]. - Despite the overall market challenges, the company’s smart clothes drying rack sales have seen a year-on-year increase of 19.42% in 2024, driven by new product iterations and effective marketing strategies [3][9]. - The company is expected to benefit from the gradual implementation of national subsidies, which may stimulate demand in the second quarter of 2025 [3][9]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company's gross margin was 47.98%, a decrease of 3.37 percentage points year-on-year, with a significant drop in Q4 to 37.58% [4][8]. - The net profit margin for 2024 was 15.94%, down 3.42 percentage points year-on-year, with Q4 showing a net profit margin of 11.88% [8][9]. - The company’s revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1.719 billion CNY, 1.921 billion CNY, and 2.156 billion CNY, respectively, with expected growth rates of 10.41%, 11.75%, and 12.25% [9][10]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is positioning itself as a leader in the smart home sector, focusing on enhancing its product offerings and expanding its online sales channels [3][9]. - The company is implementing a strategy to reduce reliance on traditional distribution models by transitioning to a direct sales approach [3][9]. - The ongoing development of a provincial operation platform and optimization of engineering channel structures are expected to support stable growth [9][10].

2024 年智能家居产品销量增长19.4%，均价下移影响收入。分产品看，2024年智能家居业务收入13.3 亿/-7.4%，销量153.3 万套/+19.4%，毛利率49.6%/-2.9pct；传统晾衣架产品收入1.7 亿/-18.9%，销量60.8 万套/-21.4%，毛利率43.5%/+0.1pct。公司智能产品销量维持增长，收入下滑主要系受到行业价格竞争 与低价位段产品销售占比提升带来的均价下移影响；传统晾衣架市场同质化严重，量价均受到挤压。 风险提示：原材料价格波动，市场竞争加剧风险，房地产市场调控风险。 线上渠道相对稳健，线下收入下滑。2024 年公司线上渠道收入9.9 亿/-2.0%，毛利率50.7%/-2.6pct； 2024 年线下渠道收入5.3 亿/-20.8%，其中南区收入2.6 亿/-30.9%，北区收入2.6 亿/-7.2%，线下毛利率 45.2%/-1.9pct。公司坚持全渠道布局，线上传统电商渠道稳固，并挖掘新兴电商渠道增量，市占率稳居 行业第一；线下继续深耕传统经销商渠道，持续推进"开疆焕新"行动，推动经销商完成抖音流量转化； 工程渠道与头部房地产商、央国企等达成良好合作，兼顾市 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][27] Core Views - The company is experiencing short-term operational pressure due to weak external demand, with a revenue decline of 7.8% in 2024 and a net profit drop of 24.1% [1][3] - The company aims to improve revenue and profit through a "trade-in" program [1] - Despite the challenges, the company maintains its leading position in the smart home sector and continues to expand its product offerings [3] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 1.56 billion, down 7.8%, and a net profit of 248 million, down 24.1% [4] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 260 million, down 11.4%, and a net profit of 30 million, down 39.7% [1] - The gross margin for 2024 was 48.0%, a decrease of 3.4 percentage points, with a significant drop in Q4 to 37.6% [3][4] Product and Sales Channel Analysis - The smart home product segment generated 1.33 billion in revenue, down 7.4%, but saw a volume increase of 19.4% to 1.533 million units sold [2] - Online sales remained relatively stable at 990 million, down 2.0%, while offline sales dropped significantly by 20.8% to 530 million [2] - The company is focusing on a multi-channel strategy, strengthening its online presence while addressing challenges in offline sales [2] Profitability and Cost Structure - The company's net profit margin for 2024 was 12.9%, a decrease of 6.1 percentage points, primarily due to intensified price competition and increased expenses [3] - The sales, management, and R&D expense ratios increased, indicating higher operational costs impacting profitability [3] Future Earnings Forecast - The company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 300 million, 360 million, and 410 million respectively, reflecting growth rates of 21.8%, 18.3%, and 13.7% [3][4] - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.5 for 2025, indicating a valuation adjustment in light of market conditions [3][4]