以下文章来源于笔记财经晨会 ，作者笔记小助手 笔记财经晨会 . 有观点的财经晨会 点击上方 蓝字"笔记财经晨会" 关注我们 今日金曲：南征北战-骄傲的少年 笔友们早上好！点击上方音频收听详细晨会内容，音频末尾放送今日金曲，也可以留言区点歌哦！ 【20251225笔记晨会】 一、权益市场： 商业航天强势反弹，昨天割肉的看傻了 1. 商业航天：短线颠簸不改长期星辰大海 12月25日：中科宇航利剑1号遥12，民营火箭技术试验与迭代； 12月26日：长征八号，验证重复使用技术，冲击性价比新高； 2. 重要消息：购房新政+外贸新高 昨天我们聊了长征12甲的新闻，很多人挺悲观的。 全球航天发射已进入 周更时代 ，今年全球共实施325次发射、入轨航天器4026颗，中国全年发射87次，其中民营商业火箭企业执行23次，成功入 轨324颗卫星。这一变化正在重塑行业： 近期发射日程 " 好戏连台 " 成本大跳水 ：可回收火箭技术让发射成本大幅下降，卫星从"天价奢侈品"变"平价组网商品"； 制造流水线 ：高频发射推动卫星制造工业化量产，效率与标准化升级； 商业闭环落地 ：低成本催生新应用场景，资本涌入形成良性循环，行业从主题投资转向 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent tender announcement for rocket launch services by China is a significant event in the commercial space industry, with expectations for substantial opportunities and market activity leading up to 2025 [1][2]. Summary by Sections Tender Details - On July 21, a tender was announced for the procurement of rocket launch services, aiming to launch 94 satellites over 7 missions with a total budget of 1.336 billion yuan (1336 million) [2][4]. Market Dynamics - The tender is exclusively for commercial rocket companies, with the Long March series not participating, indicating a shift towards commercial players in the market [4][9]. - The tender's structure, separating it into two packages, reflects an invitation for commercial rocket companies to engage in large-scale satellite networks [4]. Pricing Insights - The tender sets a price cap of 55,000 yuan/kg for 950 km orbit and 50,000 yuan/kg for 800 km orbit, leading to a bid price of 154 million yuan for the ten-satellite launch and 240 million yuan for the eighteen-satellite launch [6][11]. - The high costs associated with commercial launch insurance, which can be 15%-20% of satellite value, may impact the feasibility of bids from commercial rocket companies [7][10]. Technical Requirements - The two packages have different requirements: the first package only allows rockets with prior successful launches, while the second package permits rockets that can commit to a successful first flight by 2025 [12][15]. - Specific rockets like Zhuque-2E and YL-1 are potential candidates for the first package, while Zhuque-3, Lijian-2, and Tianlong-3 are contenders for the second package [13][14]. Strategic Implications - The tender emphasizes reliability and delivery capability, pushing companies to prioritize technological maturity over aggressive innovation [17][19]. - Cost management is crucial for commercial viability, with the tender prices setting a benchmark for industry standards [19]. - The mixed launch model proposed in the tender may establish a collaborative framework for future satellite network deployments, highlighting the importance of both state and private sector contributions [19].