Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 8.45 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 37.8%, with a net profit of 1.29 billion RMB, up 45.7% year-on-year [2]. - The overseas demand remains strong, with a 49% year-on-year increase in transformer exports, and the company achieved a revenue of 2.86 billion RMB from overseas markets, up 88.9% year-on-year [3]. - The company is expected to exceed its 2025 operational targets, with a projected revenue of 18.5 billion RMB, a 20% increase year-on-year, and a net profit forecast of 2.75 billion RMB, up 34% year-on-year [4][5]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 5.27 billion RMB, a 50.2% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 0.85 billion RMB, up 61.5% year-on-year, aligning with expectations [2]. Operational Analysis - The domestic power grid investment reached 291.1 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, a 15% increase year-on-year, with significant growth in equipment bidding due to unexpected demand in the northwest power grid [3]. - The company has seen a substantial increase in its non-grid business, with new installations in wind and solar power reaching 51 GW and 212 GW respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 99% and 107% [3]. Profitability and Growth - The company's gross margin improved to 31.9%, a 0.2 percentage point increase year-on-year, driven by higher profitability from ultra-high voltage equipment and an increased share of overseas revenue [4]. - The automotive electronics business saw a remarkable revenue growth of 216.6% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, indicating the effectiveness of the company's second growth curve strategy [4]. Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.75 billion RMB, 3.48 billion RMB, and 4.34 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 34%, 27%, and 25% [5]. - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 25, 19, and 16 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, suggesting a favorable valuation [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company has set ambitious operational targets for 2025, aiming for a 25% year-on-year growth in new contract orders, reaching 268 billion yuan (excluding tax), and a 20% increase in revenue to 185 billion yuan [6] - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 15.458 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.06%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.049 billion yuan, up 31.42% [5][9] - The company is focusing on consolidating its domestic market share while expanding into key overseas markets and investing in product development and technological innovation [6] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 5.051 billion yuan, a 30.20% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 558 million yuan, up 35.73% [5] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.227 billion yuan, a 21.41% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 446 million yuan, up 22.91% [5] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 31.25%, an increase of 1.75 percentage points year-on-year [5] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 18.680 billion yuan, 22.416 billion yuan, and 26.899 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of 2.769 billion yuan, 3.360 billion yuan, and 3.663 billion yuan [7][9] - The expected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 20.2, 16.7, and 15.3 respectively [7]

公司点评 25 年经营目标彰显信心，订单目标同比高速增长 | 投资评级：买入（维持） | | | --- | --- | | 报告日期： | 2025-05-04 | | 收盘价（元） | 71.97 | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（元） | 81.81/59.66 | | 总股本（百万股） | 778 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 606 | | 流通股比例（%） | 77.89 | | 总市值（亿元） | 560 | | 流通市值（亿元） | 436 | 公司价格与沪深 300 走势比较 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 04-30 05-31 06-30 07-31 08-31 09-30 10-31 11-30 12-31 01-31 02-28 03-31 04-30 思源电气 沪深300 分析师：张志邦 执业证书号：S0010523120004 邮箱：zhangzhibang@hazq.com 分析师：郑洋 执业证书号：S0010524110003 邮箱：zhengyang@hazq.com 思源电气（002028） 主要观点： 业绩 公司公布 2024 年年报及 2025 年 ...