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科博达(603786):收购智能科技,预计智驾域控将成为新增长点
Orient Securities· 2025-11-15 13:39
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 87.32 CNY, based on an average PE valuation of 37 times for comparable companies in 2025 [3][6]. Core Insights - The acquisition of intelligent technology is expected to create new growth points, particularly in the intelligent driving domain controller segment [2]. - The company forecasts EPS of 2.36, 2.85, and 3.49 CNY for 2025-2027, reflecting adjustments in revenue, gross margin, and expense ratios [3]. - The company is experiencing significant revenue growth, with projected revenues of 7,679 million CNY in 2025, representing a 28.7% year-on-year increase [5]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue**: Expected to grow from 4,625 million CNY in 2023 to 10,952 million CNY in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 36.7%, 29.0%, 28.7%, 20.7%, and 18.2% respectively [5]. - **Operating Profit**: Projected to increase from 694 million CNY in 2023 to 1,718 million CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 23.1%, 29.9%, 29.2%, 20.5%, and 22.5% [5]. - **Net Profit**: Expected to rise from 609 million CNY in 2023 to 1,409 million CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 35.3%, 26.8%, 23.7%, 20.5%, and 22.4% [5]. - **EPS**: Forecasted to grow from 1.51 CNY in 2023 to 3.49 CNY in 2027 [5]. - **Gross Margin**: Expected to slightly decline from 29.6% in 2023 to 28.5% in 2027 [5]. - **Net Margin**: Projected to stabilize around 12.4% to 12.9% from 2025 to 2027 [5]. - **ROE**: Expected to improve from 13.8% in 2023 to 19.3% in 2027 [5]. Market Position and Strategy - The company is expanding its global footprint and has secured new orders, indicating a strong push towards globalization [9]. - The integration of intelligent technology is anticipated to enhance the company's product offerings and market competitiveness, particularly in the automotive sector [11]. - The company plans to issue convertible bonds to fund the expansion of production capacity and enhance its technological capabilities [11].
科博达(603786):2025Q3智能科技并表驱动成长,全球化与域控布局开启新篇:——科博达(603786):公司动态研究
Guohai Securities· 2025-11-03 06:01
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][4] Core Insights - The report highlights that the company achieved revenue of approximately 1.733 billion yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.76%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was about 218 million yuan, a slight decrease of 0.12% year-on-year. For the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue reached approximately 4.997 billion yuan, up 16.46% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was around 646 million yuan, an increase of 14.21% year-on-year [2][3] - The company's growth is driven by globalization and smart technology integration, with significant contributions from overseas revenue, which reached 1.753 billion yuan in Q1-Q3 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 21.69% [2][3] - The integration of smart technology into the company's operations has led to a substantial increase in revenue from high-value domain control systems, with a reported revenue of 425 million yuan, marking a dramatic growth of 2003.76% year-on-year [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of approximately 1.733 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 11.76%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was about 218 million yuan, showing a slight decline of 0.12% year-on-year. For the first three quarters, total revenue was approximately 4.997 billion yuan, up 16.46% year-on-year, and net profit was around 646 million yuan, an increase of 14.21% year-on-year [2][3] Business Development - The company has successfully integrated its smart technology business, increasing its stake in KEBODA Smart Technology from 20% to 80%. This integration is expected to enhance the company's product matrix towards high-value and high-barrier complex domain control systems [2][3] - The company plans to issue convertible bonds not exceeding 1.49 billion yuan to support the expansion of its smart technology automotive central computing platform and domain control capacity, as well as to enhance its R&D and information technology infrastructure [2][3] Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to achieve total revenue of 7.254 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 22%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 925 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 20% [3][4]