Core Insights - The company reported a revenue growth of 23.70% year-on-year in Q3 2025, maintaining a strong growth momentum from Q1 and Q2 2025 [1][2] - The flexible staffing business showed a cumulative dispatch of 153,500 people, reflecting a growth of 21.4%, with an estimated revenue growth matching the number of dispatched personnel [1][2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 93 million yuan, an increase of 89.62%, driven by investment gains from the sale of a subsidiary [1][3] Revenue Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.68 billion yuan, continuing the growth trend seen in Q1 and Q2, which were +25.1% and +30.0% respectively [2] - For the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue reached 10.755 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 26.29% [1] Profitability Metrics - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 2025 was 93 million yuan, marking an increase of 89.62%, while the non-recurring net profit was 61 million yuan, up 26.90% [1][3] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 6.32%, a slight decrease of 0.54 percentage points compared to the previous year [3] Business Segments - The flexible staffing segment accounted for a significant portion of the business, with over 50,900 outsourced personnel registered, a growth of 20.0% [2] - The headhunting business remained stable, with the company successfully recommending 11,516 mid-to-senior level professionals in the first three quarters [2] - The new technology business maintained a growth rate of over 60%, with registered partners and delivered positions increasing by 23% and 109% respectively [2] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on an AI-First strategy, exploring the application of AI technology in recruitment, including the development of the CRE-T1 model for semantic matching [4] - An experimental version of a digital assistant, Mira, has been launched, which includes capabilities for planning, searching, and voice interaction [4] Future Outlook - The company expects revenue to gradually improve due to the recovery of domestic and international businesses, with AI expected to enhance revenue generation and efficiency [1][4] - The revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted upwards, with expected revenues of 14.72 billion, 17.81 billion, and 20.91 billion yuan respectively [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [6][4][22] Core Views - The company achieved a non-GAAP net profit growth of 27% year-on-year in Q3 2025, with total revenue reaching 10.75 billion yuan, a 26.3% increase [2][8] - The company is actively exploring AI applications in recruitment, developing models that enhance semantic matching capabilities [3][20] - The company is expected to return to a rapid growth trajectory in 2025, supported by improved operational efficiency and AI-driven business transformation [4][21] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 3.68 billion yuan, a 23.7% increase, and a net profit of 93.23 million yuan, up 89.6% [2][8] - The flexible employment business saw a 21.4% year-on-year increase in dispatched personnel, totaling 153,500 [13][15] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 6.3%, with a total expense ratio of 3.4%, showing significant improvement in operational efficiency [15][21] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 295 million, 350 million, and 406 million yuan, respectively, with a CAGR of approximately 24% [4][21] - The latest dynamic PE ratios are projected at 19.3, 16.3, and 14.0 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4][21] - The company is positioned as a cyclical stock with significant valuation elasticity, with historical dynamic PE ranging from 14 to 51 [4][21]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][26][27] Core Views - The company is expected to significantly improve operational efficiency in 2024, with a good start in 2025. The revenue for 2024 is projected to be 11.788 billion yuan, representing a 20.5% increase year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 205 million yuan, a 2.4% increase [1][2][8] - The flexible employment business is maintaining high turnover efficiency, and the headhunting business is showing a continued improvement in performance [1][13] - The company is actively developing AI systems to enhance efficiency, with a dividend payout ratio increased to 15.3% in 2024 [2][25] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 3.272 billion yuan, a 25.4% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 70 million yuan, a 44.3% increase [1][8] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 3.303 billion yuan, a 25.1% increase, and a net profit of 58 million yuan, a 42.2% increase, exceeding expectations [2][24] Business Segments - The flexible employment segment generated revenue of 11.136 billion yuan in 2024, a 22.4% increase, while the headhunting segment saw a decline in revenue to 375 million yuan, an 11.6% decrease [13][14] - The company’s domestic revenue reached 9.49 billion yuan, a 28.7% increase, while overseas revenue was 2.3 billion yuan, a 4.39% decrease [13] Cost and Profitability - The gross margin for 2024 was 6.4%, down 1.0 percentage points, primarily due to the increased proportion of low-margin flexible employment business [2][18] - The net profit margin for 2024 was 1.7%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points [2][18] Future Outlook - The company has raised its net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 284 million yuan and 339 million yuan, respectively, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 24% over the next three years [3][26] - The company is expected to return to a rapid growth trajectory in 2025, supported by internal efficiency improvements and AI-driven business transformations [3][26]