碳化硅和氮化镓器件

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华源晨会精粹20250903-20250903
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-09-03 13:59
证券研究报告 晨会 风险提示:1)数据来源和数据处理偏误风险;2)行业政策变化风险;3)信用风险 事件扰动风险。 海外/教育研究 降息预期仍在摇摆,上诉法院裁定关税违法——海外科技周报:本周 市场围绕降息预期,美联储理事库克起诉特朗普,美国政府入股上市公司等议题进 行交易,周线层面纳斯达克微跌标普微跌,都是在周五晚上明显回吐了上半周的涨 幅。短中期债券跟随降息预期收益率有所下行,但 30 年国债收益率进一步上升体现 了投资人对长久期风险的定价,弱势的美元指数也给了贵金属进一步上涨的理由, 黄金接近新高。我们认为尽管不断放鸽,但是通胀风险仍在,进入降息通道的预期 暂时可能不理性,而上诉法院裁定关税不合法又对未来增加了一层不确定性,在这 种非稳态下我们继续看好黄金,vix。 风险提示:大模型技术发展不及预期、PC/手机等终端需求复苏不及预期、美国联邦 基金利率剧烈波动。 汽车 海外 Robotaxi 支付意愿或较强,国内关注 To-B RoboX 放量——汽车行业双 周报:Robotaxi 在高购买力市场支付意愿或强于网约车/出租车:Waymo 在北美较 之 uber/lyft 有较高溢价;且较之网约车/出租车更 ...
华润微(688396):25Q2稼动率保持高位,产品矩阵持续丰富
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-09-02 23:43
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company has maintained a high operating rate in Q2 2025, with a continuous expansion of its product matrix [5] - The semiconductor market is experiencing a mild recovery, contributing to the company's revenue growth [6] - The company is actively expanding production and maintaining high capacity utilization while implementing cost reduction and efficiency improvement measures [6] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 5.218 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.62% [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for H1 2025 was 339 million yuan, up 20.85% year-on-year [6] - For Q2 2025, revenue reached 2.863 billion yuan, representing an 8.28% year-on-year increase and a 21.61% quarter-on-quarter increase [6] - The net profit attributable to the parent company in Q2 2025 was 256 million yuan, a 3.42% year-on-year increase and a 207.12% quarter-on-quarter increase [6] Product and Market Development - The product matrix is continuously enriched, with significant contributions from various sectors: 44% from the new energy sector, 38% from consumer electronics, and 9% each from industrial equipment and communication devices [6] - The company's MOSFET products are expanding in automotive electronics, industrial control, and AI server markets, with rapid market adoption of the latest generation products [6] - The sales of IGBT products in industrial control and automotive electronics account for over 70% of total sales, with stable supply to leading customers [6] - Sales of third-generation wide bandgap semiconductors, including silicon carbide and gallium nitride devices, have seen rapid growth [6] Manufacturing and Services - The advanced technology platform continues to develop, with significant revenue contributions from wafer manufacturing and packaging testing segments [6] - The company has achieved risk production for multiple technology platforms, including 0.11μm ULL e-Flash and 0.15μm DB BCD [6] - The packaging business has seen a substantial increase in capacity utilization, with a year-on-year growth of 27% [6] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 959 million yuan, 1.205 billion yuan, and 1.650 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 25.80%, 25.63%, and 36.91% [6] - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected to be 72, 58, and 42 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6]