转自：成都日报锦观 美伊新一轮谈判今日举行 美国同时重兵集结中东 是谈还是打 背后是怎样的盘算 以色列媒体报道，11架美军F-22战斗机24日飞抵以南部一处空军基地。前一天，美国海军"福特"号航空 母舰现身东地中海区域的希腊克里特岛进行补给，美军在中东地区即将完成"双航母"部署。 美伊定于26日在瑞士日内瓦举行新一轮谈判。与此同时，媒体报道美国总统特朗普有意对伊朗先进 行"有限打击"，然后视情升级军事行动规模。特朗普政府到底是谈还是打？美军部署透露怎样的盘算？ 美军有哪些可能的打击方式，后果将会如何？ 2003年以来最大规模军事部署 "福特"号航母被视为美国对伊军事部署的"最后一块拼图"。据多家媒体和智库公布的信息，美军目前在 中东及附近地区已集结重兵。 沙特媒体分析，基于现有部署，美国已能与以色列联手发动一场烈度超过2025年6月针对伊朗实施的军 事行动。 两大目标与三种打法 媒体和专家认为，美国大规模军事集结主要有两大目标。 一是谈判前的极限施压。特朗普称，伊朗必须与美国达成"有意义的协议"，否则"将会发生不好的事"。 结合美方表态和美军动向，美国正谋求以武力威胁迫使伊朗在26日的谈判中作出重大让步。 二 ...

新华社北京2月25日电 题：美国重兵集结中东，背后是怎样的盘算 以色列媒体报道，11架美军F-22战斗机24日飞抵以南部一处空军基地。前一天，美国海军"福特"号航空 母舰现身东地中海区域的希腊克里特岛进行补给，美军在中东地区即将完成"双航母"部署。 美伊定于26日在瑞士日内瓦举行新一轮谈判。与此同时，媒体报道美国总统特朗普有意对伊朗先进 行"有限打击"，然后视情升级军事行动规模。特朗普政府到底是谈还是打？美军部署透露怎样的盘算？ 美军有哪些可能的打击方式，后果将会如何？ 2003年以来最大规模军事部署 "福特"号航母被视为美国对伊军事部署的"最后一块拼图"。据多家媒体和智库公布的信息，美军目前在 中东及附近地区已集结重兵。 海军方面，此次部署以"林肯"号和"福特"号航母打击群为核心，两艘航母搭载近百架F-35、F-18战机， 并配属多艘驱逐舰。其中"林肯"号已先期部署至阿拉伯海海域。美国智库战略与国际问题研究中心评 估，美海军在中东地区将实现两艘航母、14艘水面舰艇的军力部署。 空军方面，除了在以色列部署F-22战机外，美军已在卡塔尔、约旦等地区国家部署30余架F-35战机、30 余架F-16战机、20余架F ...

来源：胡锡进观察 美伊气氛陡转。随着美国向中东调遣空中打击力量接近完成，华盛顿重新露出凶狠的獠牙。几乎所有美 国主流媒体在最近两天都发出警告，美国发动对伊朗远超去年6月 "12天战争"规模的军事打击，已经迫 在眉睫，最快的战争爆发时间被预测为本周六。 Axios新闻网18日援引消息人士的话称，美国在伊朗的军事行动很可能是一场大规模、持续数周的战 役，看起来更像是一场全面战争，而不是上个月在委内瑞拉的精准打击行动。 同一天，《以色列时报》同样援引消息人士称，美伊战争可能迫在眉睫。以色列国防军前军事情报局局 长阿莫斯·亚德林表示，美以之间距离爆发冲突"比以往任何时候都更近"。 《纽约时报》18日报道称，美国政府和五角大楼官员表示，美国在中东迅速集结兵力，已经发展到特朗 普最早可在本周末对伊朗采取军事行动的地步。美国哥伦比亚广播公司（CBS）则说，国家安全高级官 员已告知特朗普，军方已做好准备，最早可能于本周六（2月21日）对伊朗发动袭击。 白宫新闻秘书莱维特周三表示，特朗普仍然希望通过外交途径解决德黑兰的核计划问题。 《华尔街日报》表示，如果美国能够如愿以偿，伊朗的核计划将被彻底终止，地区代理人部队将被解 散，弹 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the U.S. military's large-scale strike against Venezuela, highlighting the buildup of military forces in the region and the subsequent actions taken by President Trump to authorize military operations against Venezuelan targets [1] Military Deployment - The U.S. has deployed significant naval assets, including the "Ford" aircraft carrier, 2 missile cruisers, 5 missile destroyers, 1 amphibious assault ship, and 2 dock landing ships in the vicinity of Venezuela [1] - Additionally, transport aircraft for special forces, such as the CV-22 Osprey and C-17 transport planes, have been repositioned to the area [1] Military Action Authorization - President Trump approved military strikes against Venezuela, with discussions among military officials about potential actions as far ahead as December 25, 2025, but initial plans were delayed due to weather conditions [1] - The strikes were ultimately ordered on the morning of the 3rd, targeting multiple sites within Venezuela, including military facilities [1] Intelligence Operations - The CIA has been actively tracking Venezuelan President Maduro's movements, with prior authorization from Trump for the agency to conduct covert operations within Venezuela [1] Venezuelan Government Response - The Venezuelan government condemned the U.S. strikes, stating that the attacks targeted both civilian and military objectives in Caracas, Miranda, Aragua, and La Guaira states [1] - The government claims that these actions violate the United Nations Charter, particularly concerning national sovereignty and the prohibition of the use of force [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the escalating tensions between the United States and Venezuela, highlighting the potential for military action while also indicating a willingness for dialogue between President Trump and President Maduro [3][4][5]. Group 1: Military Actions and Strategies - The U.S. has recently sunk over 20 vessels allegedly involved in drug trafficking, resulting in over 80 deaths, and has increased its military presence around Venezuela, deploying advanced naval assets including the USS Ford aircraft carrier [5]. - Trump has authorized the CIA to conduct covert operations within Venezuela, with potential military actions including sabotage, cyber warfare, and psychological operations being considered [5]. - The U.S. has designated the Venezuelan "Sun Group" as a "foreign terrorist organization," claiming it is led by Maduro, which may provide a pretext for further military actions [7]. Group 2: Diplomatic Efforts - Reports indicate that Trump is planning to engage in direct dialogue with Maduro, although the specifics of the discussions remain unclear and are still in the planning stages [4]. - The U.S. military's recent activities in the Caribbean, including visits by military leaders, suggest a dual approach of military readiness alongside diplomatic overtures [7]. Group 3: Impact on Aviation and International Relations - The U.S. Federal Aviation Administration has warned airlines about the risks of flying in Venezuelan airspace due to increased military activities, leading to several airlines from Brazil, Colombia, Portugal, and Spain canceling flights to Venezuela [8]. - Venezuela has demanded that airlines that canceled flights resume operations within 48 hours or face restrictions on entering its airspace [9].

Core Points - The USS Ford aircraft carrier has arrived in the Caribbean and is conducting a large-scale military buildup near Venezuela [1][5] - The U.S. Navy announced that the presence of the USS Ford and other warships marks a critical phase in what they describe as "anti-drug operations" [5] - Since early September, the U.S. has launched 20 attacks on small drug trafficking vessels in the Caribbean and Eastern Pacific, resulting in at least 80 deaths [5] - The deployment of the USS Ford has brought the total naval force in the region to nearly 12 ships and approximately 12,000 sailors and Marines [5] - This military action is also seen as a means to increase pressure on Venezuela, with the aircraft carrier serving as a deterrent against other nations [5] - Experts have noted that the USS Ford may not be suitable for targeting drug trafficking organizations [5]

Group 1 - The U.S. Navy's "Ford" aircraft carrier and the accompanying "Bainbridge" destroyer passed through the Strait of Gibraltar on November 4, heading towards the Caribbean [1] - The "Ford" carrier's speed during the passage was approximately 15 knots (27.78 km/h), with an expected arrival in the Southern Command's area of responsibility around mid-November [1] - The remaining vessels of the "Ford" carrier strike group are currently deployed across Europe and the Middle East [2]

Group 1: Economic Indicators - The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 3% year-on-year in September, marking the highest level since June 2024, and a month-on-month increase of 0.3%, which was lower than the expected 0.4% [1] - The CPI report is significant as it is the only official economic data released during the U.S. federal government shutdown, which has lasted four weeks [1] - The White House indicated that inflation data might not be released next month due to the government shutdown, emphasizing the potential disastrous consequences of missing economic data [1] Group 2: Market Reactions - Following the release of the CPI data, major U.S. stock index futures saw an increase, with the Dow Jones futures rising by 1.02%, S&P 500 futures by 0.77%, and Nasdaq 100 futures by 1.04% [1] - Traders have increased bets on the Federal Reserve potentially lowering interest rates two more times within the year [2] Group 3: Geopolitical Developments - A special representative from Russia confirmed arrival in the U.S. to continue dialogue, emphasizing the importance of understanding and respecting Russia's national interests [4] - The U.S. military is deploying the "Ford" aircraft carrier strike group to Latin American waters, aimed at combating transnational crime and drug terrorism [6][7] Group 4: Economic Forecasts - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) raised its economic growth forecast for the Asia-Pacific region to 4.5% for 2025, an increase of 0.6 percentage points from previous predictions [10] - The IMF noted that Asia will remain a crucial engine for global growth, contributing approximately 60% to global growth over the next two years [11] Group 5: Stock Market Trends - The A-share market has shown renewed upward momentum, with major indices reaching new highs, driven by policy direction and easing U.S.-China trade tensions [13] - Analysts suggest that the market's upward trend is supported by government policies aimed at boosting consumption and investment, particularly in technology and advanced manufacturing sectors [13][14] - Small-cap stocks are outperforming large-cap stocks, reflecting a shift in market risk appetite, influenced by expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [16][17]

Core Viewpoint - The deployment of the USS Gerald R. Ford, the only active Ford-class aircraft carrier of the U.S. Navy, is significant amid the unstable situation in the Middle East, potentially positioning it near Israel [1][3]. Group 1: Deployment Details - The USS Ford departed from its base in Virginia on October 24, 2023, and is expected to be deployed in the European theater, including the Mediterranean coast near Israel [1][3]. - This deployment marks the third aircraft carrier strike group the U.S. has sent to the Middle East following the outbreak of the latest Israel-Palestine conflict on October 7, 2023 [3]. - The strike group commander, Rear Admiral Paul Lanzilotta, stated that the fleet has high mobility, capable of advancing over 700 miles in a single day [3]. Group 2: Military Actions - U.S. bombers conducted airstrikes on three targets within Iran on the night of October 21, 2023, in coordination with Israeli military actions [3]. - The USS Ford strike group had previously been deployed to the Eastern Mediterranean to participate in operations near Israel and has intercepted missiles and drones launched by Houthi forces in the Red Sea [3]. Group 3: Carrier Specifications - The USS Ford is the first ship of a new generation of aircraft carriers, designed to carry a wider variety of aircraft while requiring fewer crew members [4]. - Approximately 4,500 U.S. military personnel are part of the strike group, which also includes several guided-missile destroyers and multiple fighter squadrons [4].