本周二（8月12日），粳稻期货主力合约保持不变，截止发稿，粳稻主力报2758.00元/吨。 据外媒报道，农业咨询公司AgRural周一表示，截至上周四，巴西中南部农民已收获2025年第二茬玉米 的88%，比前一周增加7个百分点，但低于去年同期的97%。 巴西2025年8月第1周，共计6个工作日，累计装出玉米176.35万吨，去年8月为606.32万吨。日均装运量 为29.39万吨/日，较去年8月的27.56万吨/日增加6.65%。 美国农业部（USDA）周二凌晨公布的每周作物生长报告显示，截至8月10日当周，美国玉米优良率为 72%，一如市场预期，前一周为73%，上年同期为67%；吐丝率为94%，上一周为88%，上年同期为 93%，五年均值为95%；蜡熟率为58%，上一周为42%，上年同期为58%，五年均值为58%；凹损率为 14%，上一周为6%，上年同期为16%，五年均值为13%。 市场资讯： 韩国媒体11日报道，该国即将进入新米收获期，而市场供应趋紧引发米价上涨。韩国政府决定首次 以"出借"方式向市场投放储备米，以平抑米价。一项最新统计数据显示，截至8月，韩国一袋20公斤装 大米平均零售价为5.8万韩元（ ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Increase" [6] Core Viewpoints - The agricultural sector outperformed the market by 1.93 percentage points during the week of July 21-25, 2025, with the index closing at 2,855.04, reflecting a weekly increase of 3.62% [1][15] - The pig farming sector is experiencing a decline in prices, with the average price of pigs at 14.15 yuan/kg, down 0.84% week-on-week and down 26.15% year-on-year [2] - The report emphasizes the importance of cost control for listed pig farming companies to navigate the pig cycle effectively [4] Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The agricultural sector's index increased by 3.62%, ranking 9th among 31 sectors [1][15] - The breeding sector showed the best performance with a 5.27% increase, followed by planting, fishery, feed, agricultural product processing, and animal health sectors [17] 2. Industry Dynamics 2.1 Pig Farming - The profit from self-breeding pigs is 62.16 yuan/head, down 28.73 yuan/head week-on-week, while the profit from purchased piglets is -71.39 yuan/head, down 52.73 yuan/head [2] 2.2 Poultry - Chicken chick prices have rebounded, with an average price of 1.93 yuan/chick, up 40.88% week-on-week, and white feather chicken prices at 6.70 yuan/kg, up 4.69% [3] 2.3 Agricultural Products - Wheat and rice prices have increased, with wheat at 2,444.56 yuan/ton (up 0.20%) and rice at 2,912.00 yuan/ton (up 0.69%), while soybean meal prices have decreased to 2,964.00 yuan/ton (down 0.07%) [3] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the pig farming sector, particularly companies with strong cost control such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others [4] - For poultry, it recommends looking at integrated industry leaders like Shennong Development and Lihua Stock [4] - In the feed sector, it highlights Haida Group and Hefeng Stock as key players benefiting from the recovery in livestock inventory [4] - For agricultural products, it suggests monitoring Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang [4]

今年，盘锦市粮食播种面积稳定在183万亩以上，到年底高标准农田占比将增至81%以上，切实保 障粮食和重要农产品稳定安全供给。当下，盘锦市以发展现代化大农业为主攻方向，深入挖掘稻田、苇 田、海洋资源潜力，加快建设稻蟹共生、苇田渔业、海洋牧场3个百万亩生产基地，粳稻、大豆2个百亿 级产业集群，新发地区域农产品、中国北方河蟹2个百亿级集散地，积极构建"322"现代农业全产业链体 系，以精致农业引领高质量发展。 盘锦构建现代农业全产业链体系的发展思路引来参会者的广泛关注，集中签约三轮重点项目，涵盖 招商引资、科研合作与贸易三大类。签约商务合同金额43.76亿元，其中，招商引资项目18个，协议金 额10.28亿元；贸易合同51个，协议金额33.48亿元；科研合作项目7个，推动产学研深度融合。盘锦市还 设置专区，开展区县推介、稻蟹产业观摩招商及电商直播，吸引中储粮、益海嘉里等龙头企业深度参 与。开展高端对话助推落地，盘锦市领导一对一接见重点嘉宾，加速项目进程。 7月13日至14日，第七届中国粮食交易大会盘锦分会场暨盘锦乡村振兴产业博览会在盘锦红海滩湿 地科学馆举办。聚焦粮食安全与产业振兴，盘锦全方位展示在粮食全产业链、特 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Increase" for the agricultural sector [6] Core Viewpoints - The agricultural sector outperformed the market by 0.03 percentage points during the week of June 3-6, 2025, with the index closing at 2,682.22, reflecting a weekly increase of 0.91% [1][15] - The pig farming sector is experiencing a downward trend in prices, with the average price of pigs at 14.05 yuan/kg, a week-on-week decrease of 2.43% and a year-on-year decrease of 23.89% [2] - The poultry sector is seeing stable chick prices but weak adjustments in meat chicken prices due to high inventory levels in downstream slaughtering [2] - In the agricultural products segment, wheat and soybean meal prices are weak, while japonica rice prices have increased [3] Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The agricultural sector index rose by 0.91% and ranked 20th among 31 sectors [1][15] - The fishery sector showed the best performance with a 1.34% increase, followed by planting, feed, agricultural product processing, and breeding sectors [1][17] 2. Industry Key Data 2.1 Pig Farming - The average price of pigs is 14.05 yuan/kg, down 2.43% week-on-week and down 23.89% year-on-year [2] - Self-breeding profits are at 33.83 yuan/head, a decrease of 1.82 yuan/head week-on-week, while profits from purchased piglets are at -120.80 yuan/head, down 36.43% week-on-week [2] 2.2 Poultry - The average price of meat chicken chicks is 2.84 yuan/chick, down 1.05% week-on-week, and the price of white feather meat chickens is 7.32 yuan/kg, down 0.68% week-on-week [2] 2.3 Agricultural Products - The average price of wheat is 2,433.61 yuan/ton, down 0.82% week-on-week; japonica rice is at 2,876.00 yuan/ton, up 0.42% week-on-week; and soybean meal is at 2,940.00 yuan/ton, down 0.54% week-on-week [3] 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the aquaculture feed industry due to the upcoming sales peak in summer and rising prices of certain fish species [4] - In pig farming, companies with strong cost control or clear cost reduction paths are recommended, including Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others [4] - For poultry, attention is drawn to integrated industry leaders like Shengnong Development and Lihua Stock for their stable expansion and cost advantages [4] - In the feed sector, companies like Haida Group and Hefeng Stock are highlighted for benefiting from the recovery in livestock inventory [4] - For agricultural products, companies like Suqian Agricultural Development and Beidahuang are recommended for their focus on food security [4]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The records focus on the pig farming industry in China, specifically the market dynamics of pork prices and related agricultural products [1][5]. Key Points and Arguments - **Pork Prices**: As of the fourth week of May, the price of white strip pork was 14.7 yuan/kg, a decrease of 12.6% month-on-month. The average slaughter weight was 91.9 kg, down by 0.2 kg [1]. - **Poultry Prices**: Chick prices rose to 2.9 yuan each, while the price of broiler chickens increased to 7.4 yuan/kg. However, chicken meat prices fell to 8.85 yuan/kg [1][3]. - **Grain Market**: Corn prices increased by 0.2% to 2,380 yuan/ton, while wheat prices decreased by 0.4% to 2,453 yuan/ton. The price of japonica rice remained stable at 2,864 yuan/ton [1][3]. - **Soybean Market**: The soybean market showed weakness, with the CBOT soybean closing down by 2.4 points, and soybean meal prices fell by 1.7% to 2,975 yuan/ton [1][3]. - **Palm Oil and Sugar**: Domestic palm oil prices rose by 0.3% to 8,628 yuan/ton, while Malaysian palm oil increased by 1.3% to 3,878 ringgit/ton. Domestic sugar prices remained stable at 6,160 yuan/ton, while international sugar prices fell by 1.2% to 17.1 cents/pound [1][4]. Market Outlook - The pig market in 2025 is expected to differ from previous downturn cycles, with stable prices and ongoing profitability. The self-breeding and self-raising model remains profitable, albeit at lower levels [5]. - The actual downward pressure on prices is less severe than anticipated, although the futures market remains pessimistic due to expected increases in production capacity and weight [5]. - The breeding sow population shows little fluctuation, indicating rational management in response to future uncertainties and the effects of scale [5]. Investment Recommendations - Despite overall weak profitability in the industry, leading companies such as Muyuan, Wens Foodstuffs, and Shennong have significant cost advantages, with costs just above 12 yuan/kg, below the industry average of approximately 14.5 yuan/kg [3][6]. - It is suggested to focus on stocks of these leading companies during the off-season, as they present potential for valuation reassessment and good cost-performance ratios [7]. Additional Insights - The trend of increasing weight since 2023 has constrained price expectations, but a decline in weight is anticipated as summer approaches, which could positively impact future prices [2][5]. - Enhanced regulation on secondary fattening practices may also help improve supply-demand relationships in the market [2][5].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage of the agriculture sector with an "Overweight" rating, indicating a favorable outlook for the industry due to stable demand and strong policy support [3][5]. Core Views - The agriculture sector is seen as a defensive investment option amidst a complex external environment, with many meat protein and agricultural product prices currently in a recovery phase, suggesting potential for stable growth in leading companies [3]. - The report highlights that low costs are a core competitive advantage for listed pig farming companies, recommending a focus on firms with strong cost control or clear cost reduction paths [3]. - The report suggests monitoring specific companies across various segments, including pig farming, poultry, feed, and agricultural products, indicating a diversified investment approach [3]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The agriculture sector underperformed the market by 1.02 percentage points during the week of May 6-9, 2025, with the index closing at 2,619.30, reflecting a 0.99% increase [14]. - Among sub-sectors, the fishery sector performed best with a 3.87% increase, while the breeding sector saw a slight decline of 0.19% [16][18]. Key Industry Data Pig Farming - As of May 9, 2025, the average price of live pigs was 14.82 CNY/kg, down 0.13% from April 30, 2025, and down 0.74% year-on-year [1]. - The profit from self-breeding was 84.33 CNY per head, while the profit from purchasing piglets increased by 9.92 CNY to 58.46 CNY per head [1]. Poultry - As of May 9, 2025, the average price of broiler chicks was 2.91 CNY per chick, up 0.34% week-on-week, while the price of white feather broilers was 7.45 CNY/kg, down 0.40% [2]. Agricultural Products - As of May 9, 2025, the average prices for key crops were as follows: wheat at 2,460.67 CNY/ton (up 0.19%), japonica rice at 2,864.00 CNY/ton (up 0.21%), corn at 2,292.86 CNY/ton (up 1.78%), and soybean meal at 3,300.00 CNY/ton (down 5.08%) [2]. Company Announcements - Muyuan Foods reported selling 6.573 million pigs in April 2025, a year-on-year increase of 51.80%, with an average selling price of 14.66 CNY/kg [35][36]. - Shennong Development achieved a sales revenue of 1.533 billion CNY in April 2025, a year-on-year increase of 0.68% [37].