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【食品饮料】低温液态奶头部企业,大单品放量推进全国化——君乐宝招股说明书解读(叶倩瑜/董博文/李嘉祺)
光大证券研究· 2026-01-22 23:07
Core Viewpoint - The company has established a strong presence in the dairy market through diversified product offerings and has become a leading brand in various segments, particularly in low-temperature yogurt and high-end fresh milk [4][6][7]. Product Structure - In Q1-Q3 2025, dairy products accounted for 87% of total revenue, with liquid milk and milk powder contributing 61% and 22% respectively. Low-temperature yogurt and fresh milk made up 27.7% and 14.9% of total revenue [5][6]. Revenue Growth - Low-temperature yogurt and fresh milk showed robust growth, with revenues of 42 billion and 22 billion respectively in Q1-Q3 2025. Low-temperature yogurt experienced a 1% year-on-year increase, while fresh milk revenue grew by 41% [6][7]. Brand Development - The company has successfully developed its core brands, with "Jianchun" becoming the leading brand in low-temperature yogurt, achieving a market share of 7.9% by 2024. "Yuexianhuo" has also emerged as a leader in high-end fresh milk, with a market share of 24% [7]. Sales Channels - The primary sales model is through distribution channels, which accounted for approximately 69% of revenue in Q1-Q3 2025. The company is optimizing its distribution system and has reduced the number of distributors to 5,504 [8][9]. National Expansion - The company is actively expanding its national sales network, with significant growth in core regions such as North China, East China, Central China, and South China. Revenue growth in these regions has been positive, with South China seeing a 57.3% year-on-year increase in Q1-Q3 2025 [10].
君乐宝招股说明书解读:低温液态奶头部企业,大单品放量推进全国化
EBSCN· 2026-01-22 06:13
Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Buy" with expectations of returns exceeding the market benchmark index by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [6]. Core Insights - The report highlights the strong growth potential of low-temperature liquid dairy products, with the company positioning itself as a leading brand in segmented markets. The company has successfully expanded its product matrix and is focusing on nationwide market penetration [1][2][3]. - The company has demonstrated robust single product development capabilities, with its core brands becoming leaders in their respective segments. The introduction of innovative products like "Jianchun" and "Yuexianhuo" has significantly contributed to its market share growth [3][48]. - The company is actively optimizing its distribution channels, with a significant portion of revenue coming from its distribution network. The company is also exploring new retail channels and B2B opportunities to enhance its market presence [4][50]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The dairy product industry in China is experiencing steady growth, with the terminal market size projected to reach 6,535 billion yuan by 2024, growing at a CAGR of 1.8% from 2019 to 2024. Liquid milk accounts for 54% of this market [14][15]. - Low-temperature liquid milk is expected to grow at a faster rate compared to room temperature milk, with a projected market size of 897 billion yuan by 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 3% [15][23]. Company Profile - The company, established in 2000, has diversified its product offerings, including high-end yogurt, infant formula, and fresh milk. It has become a top brand in low-temperature yogurt and high-end fresh milk by 2024 [1][32]. - The company reported a revenue of 198 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 13%. For the first three quarters of 2025, revenue grew by 2% [38][42]. Product and Revenue Breakdown - The company's revenue structure shows that liquid milk and infant formula are the main categories, with low-temperature yogurt being the largest sub-category. In Q1-Q3 2025, liquid dairy products accounted for 87% of total revenue [42][43]. - Low-temperature yogurt and fresh milk revenues showed resilience, with fresh milk revenue growing by 41% year-on-year [2][42]. Market Expansion and Distribution - The company is expanding its national sales network, having acquired regional brands to strengthen its presence in the northwest and southwest markets. Key regions like North China are projected to contribute significantly to revenue [5][57]. - The distribution model is primarily based on a dealer network, which accounted for approximately 69% of revenue in Q1-Q3 2025. The company is also enhancing its online and direct sales channels [4][50]. Financial Performance - The company has shown improved profitability, with adjusted net profits reaching 11.6 billion yuan in 2024, a 92% increase year-on-year. The gross margin has also improved, indicating better operational efficiency [38][40].