近期英镑/美元走势呈现震荡状态。连续两天上涨后，汇率在盘中出现回落，反映市场在消化前期涨幅 的同时，也在等待新的经济数据和政策信号。分析人士指出，汇率短期波动主要受英国和美国经济数 据，以及央行政策预期影响。 9月17日周三，亚市盘中，英镑/美元在连续两天上涨后出现回落，目前交投于1.3640附近。市场在等待 英国消费者价格指数（CPI）和零售价格指数（RPI）公布之际，英镑出现小幅调整，同时投资者也关 注当天晚些时候美联储（Fed）的政策决定。 英国8月份CPI预计显示，总体通胀率同比从3.8%升至3.9%，月度通胀率则预计从0.1%升至0.3%。如果 通胀压力有所加速，将引发市场对英国央行（BoE）未来货币政策路径的关注。分析人士认为，英国央 行可能在下一次利率决策中维持在4%的水平。 美国方面，经济数据显示消费者支出依然强劲。8月份零售销售环比增长0.6%，好于市场预期的0.2%， 其中零售销售控制组和汽车零售销售均增长0.7%，超过预期的0.4%。这一数据表明，美国消费者在通 胀高企和劳动力市场略显疲软的情况下，仍保持较高的支出水平。 市场对美联储未来政策预期高度关注。摩根士丹利和德意志银行预测，美联 ...

Core Viewpoint - The British pound is experiencing a slight increase against the US dollar, supported by the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook and a decline in US Treasury yields [1] Group 1: Economic Indicators - The GBP/USD exchange rate is reported at 1.3450, with a rise of 0.13% [1] - Initial jobless claims in the US increased more than expected, indicating a slowdown in the labor market [1] - The ADP National Employment Report showed that private sector job growth in the US for August was below expectations [1] Group 2: Market Expectations - Attention is focused on the upcoming non-farm payroll report, which will provide insights into the current state of the labor market [1] - The market anticipates an increase of 75,000 jobs in August, compared to an increase of 73,000 in July [1] - The unemployment rate is expected to rise from 4.2% in July to 4.3% in August [1] Group 3: Bond Market Impact - The two-year and ten-year US Treasury yields have reached their lowest levels since May 1, influenced by expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve [1] - Concerns in the UK bond market have eased, providing further support for the British pound [1] - The UK labor market is facing challenges, with a significant drop in employment numbers reported, complicating the Bank of England's policy decisions [1] Group 4: Technical Analysis - Resistance levels for GBP/USD are identified at 1.3460-65 and 1.3495-00, while support levels are at 1.3400-05 and 1.3335-40 [2] - The trading range during the Asian session was noted between 1.3436-55 [2]