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中国资产暴涨,背后的“推手”是什么?
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-10-04 23:54
Core Insights - Chinese assets have seen a significant surge, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index rising approximately 3.8% during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays, indicating international capital's recognition of A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [1] - The recent strength of Chinese assets is attributed to the alignment of prices with their underlying value, as highlighted by the cash flow discount model [2] Investment Evaluation - The investment evaluation methods have been influenced by economist Irving Fisher, who emphasized the importance of future cash flows over mere asset prices, distinguishing professional investors from amateurs [3] - Professional investors focus on the income generated by assets, while amateur investors often rely on price appreciation, which can lead to significant losses if not grounded in cash flow realities [3] Comparative Valuation - As of September 30, the Shanghai Composite Index had a dividend yield of 2.48% and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 16.6, while the Hang Seng Index had a dividend yield of 2.24% and a P/E ratio of 12.3. In contrast, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had a dividend yield of 0.56% and a P/E ratio of 32, and the Nasdaq Index had a dividend yield of 0.3% and a P/E ratio of 44 [5] - The increasing dividend payout ratios and share buyback activities of leading A-share companies indicate a growing commitment to returning value to shareholders [5] Share Buyback Trends - A-share companies are beginning to adopt share buyback practices, although they lag behind international counterparts like Apple, which has repurchased 13.5% of its shares since August 2020 [6] - If A-share companies align with international practices and implement consistent buybacks, their current valuations may become more attractive [6] Internal Measurement Perspective - Establishing an internal measurement perspective is crucial for investors, as external capital flows provide only a partial view of asset value [7] - Warren Buffett's investment in a farm exemplifies the importance of understanding intrinsic value and expected returns, which can lead to successful investments without specialized knowledge [7] Behavioral Insights - Successful investing relies on a critical mindset and the ability to maintain confidence in one's investment strategy, as emphasized by Benjamin Graham [8] - The behavior of investors is more significant than their investment methods, highlighting the importance of discipline and courage in achieving stable returns [8]
苹果印度班加罗尔新店9月开业,南亚市场拓展战略再进一步!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-24 02:08
近日,苹果公司宣布了其印度市场扩展计划中的又一重大举措:位于印度班加罗尔的全新官方零售店将 于9月2日正式开门迎客。这家零售店坐落于亚洲凤凰购物中心,标志着苹果在印度迈出了新的重要一 步,成为继孟买与新德里后,印度境内的第三家苹果官方零售店。 苹果公司在印度市场的布局,无疑是对该地区日益增长的经济实力和消费潜力的积极回应。随着印度中 产阶级的不断壮大和消费者对高品质科技产品的需求日益增长,苹果选择此时加大在印度市场的投入, 无疑是一个明智之举。通过开设更多的官方零售店,苹果不仅能够更好地满足印度消费者的需求,还能 进一步提升其品牌知名度和市场份额。 就在本月早些时候,苹果首席执行官蒂姆·库克在财报电话会议中透露了公司对于印度市场的浓厚兴趣 及进一步拓展零售网络的决心。仅仅三周之后,这一蓝图便迅速转化为现实,苹果选择了班加罗尔作为 其在印度的下一个重要据点,这无疑彰显了公司对印度市场巨大潜力的深刻认识。 班加罗尔,这座被誉为"印度硅谷"的城市,不仅是印度信息技术产业的中心地带,更是汇聚了众多高收 入、高技能的IT精英。这里已成为众多国际科技巨头的聚集地,包括微软、惠普等,为苹果提供了极为 有利的市场环境。苹果此 ...
【UNFX课堂】伦敦的握手与北京的数据:华尔街在“脱钩”现实中跳探戈
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-10 07:07
华尔街本周的开场,就像一位穿着燕尾服的窃贼,小心翼翼,步履轻盈,深知一个不慎就可能触发警 报。 美国股市在周一的交易中勉强挤出了一点涨幅,整个过程更像是电影的开场字幕,而不是高潮迭起的主 戏。投资者们似乎集体决定,暂时忽略那些恼人的政策僵局和疲软的宏观数据,转而拥抱一种反重力的 乐观情绪。 毕竟,MSCI世界指数都创下新高了,谁还在乎那些细枝末节? 这种"无惧"模式的默认开启,很大程度上要归功于远在伦敦的一场外交表演。美中贸易特使们在那里进 行了一场被官方形容为"富有成效"的会谈。美国商务部长称赞它"成果丰硕",财政部长也竖起了外交上 的大拇指。甚至连白宫草坪上的特朗普总统都表示"我们与中国做得很好"。 听起来一片祥和,对吧?经验丰富的交易员们心里清楚,"富有成效"通常只是"还没炸锅"的代码。 然而,就在这场礼貌的握手和官方赞美进行的同时,来自中国的五月数据包像一记闷棍,敲醒了那些只 看标题的人。整体出口同比增长4.8%?听起来不错。但仔细一看,对美国的出口竟然暴跌了34.4%!这 是自新冠疫情初期以来最惨烈的跌幅。 与此同时,对世界其他地区的出口却增长了11.4%。这数据像是在用扩音器喊话:嘿,各位,美国消 ...