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中国资产暴涨,背后的“推手”是什么?
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-10-04 23:54
Core Insights - Chinese assets have seen a significant surge, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index rising approximately 3.8% during the National Day and Mid-Autumn Festival holidays, indicating international capital's recognition of A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [1] - The recent strength of Chinese assets is attributed to the alignment of prices with their underlying value, as highlighted by the cash flow discount model [2] Investment Evaluation - The investment evaluation methods have been influenced by economist Irving Fisher, who emphasized the importance of future cash flows over mere asset prices, distinguishing professional investors from amateurs [3] - Professional investors focus on the income generated by assets, while amateur investors often rely on price appreciation, which can lead to significant losses if not grounded in cash flow realities [3] Comparative Valuation - As of September 30, the Shanghai Composite Index had a dividend yield of 2.48% and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 16.6, while the Hang Seng Index had a dividend yield of 2.24% and a P/E ratio of 12.3. In contrast, the Dow Jones Industrial Average had a dividend yield of 0.56% and a P/E ratio of 32, and the Nasdaq Index had a dividend yield of 0.3% and a P/E ratio of 44 [5] - The increasing dividend payout ratios and share buyback activities of leading A-share companies indicate a growing commitment to returning value to shareholders [5] Share Buyback Trends - A-share companies are beginning to adopt share buyback practices, although they lag behind international counterparts like Apple, which has repurchased 13.5% of its shares since August 2020 [6] - If A-share companies align with international practices and implement consistent buybacks, their current valuations may become more attractive [6] Internal Measurement Perspective - Establishing an internal measurement perspective is crucial for investors, as external capital flows provide only a partial view of asset value [7] - Warren Buffett's investment in a farm exemplifies the importance of understanding intrinsic value and expected returns, which can lead to successful investments without specialized knowledge [7] Behavioral Insights - Successful investing relies on a critical mindset and the ability to maintain confidence in one's investment strategy, as emphasized by Benjamin Graham [8] - The behavior of investors is more significant than their investment methods, highlighting the importance of discipline and courage in achieving stable returns [8]
苹果印度班加罗尔新店9月开业,南亚市场拓展战略再进一步!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-24 02:08
Core Insights - Apple has announced the opening of a new official retail store in Bangalore, India, set to open on September 2, marking its third official retail location in the country after Mumbai and New Delhi [1] - The decision to expand in India reflects Apple's recognition of the significant potential in the Indian market, as highlighted by CEO Tim Cook during a recent earnings call [1] - Bangalore, known as the "Silicon Valley of India," is a hub for the IT industry and high-income professionals, providing a favorable market environment for Apple to target affluent consumers [1] Market Strategy - Apple's expansion in India is a strategic response to the growing economic strength and consumer potential in the region, particularly with the rising middle class and increasing demand for high-quality tech products [3] - By opening more official retail stores, Apple aims to better meet the needs of Indian consumers while enhancing its brand visibility and market share [3]
【UNFX课堂】伦敦的握手与北京的数据:华尔街在“脱钩”现实中跳探戈
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-10 07:07
华尔街本周的开场,就像一位穿着燕尾服的窃贼,小心翼翼,步履轻盈,深知一个不慎就可能触发警 报。 美国股市在周一的交易中勉强挤出了一点涨幅,整个过程更像是电影的开场字幕,而不是高潮迭起的主 戏。投资者们似乎集体决定,暂时忽略那些恼人的政策僵局和疲软的宏观数据,转而拥抱一种反重力的 乐观情绪。 毕竟,MSCI世界指数都创下新高了,谁还在乎那些细枝末节? 这种"无惧"模式的默认开启,很大程度上要归功于远在伦敦的一场外交表演。美中贸易特使们在那里进 行了一场被官方形容为"富有成效"的会谈。美国商务部长称赞它"成果丰硕",财政部长也竖起了外交上 的大拇指。甚至连白宫草坪上的特朗普总统都表示"我们与中国做得很好"。 听起来一片祥和,对吧?经验丰富的交易员们心里清楚,"富有成效"通常只是"还没炸锅"的代码。 然而,就在这场礼貌的握手和官方赞美进行的同时,来自中国的五月数据包像一记闷棍,敲醒了那些只 看标题的人。整体出口同比增长4.8%?听起来不错。但仔细一看,对美国的出口竟然暴跌了34.4%!这 是自新冠疫情初期以来最惨烈的跌幅。 与此同时,对世界其他地区的出口却增长了11.4%。这数据像是在用扩音器喊话:嘿,各位,美国消 ...