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BEN share price at $13: here’s how I would value them
Rask Media· 2025-09-14 20:38
Group 1: Company Overview - Bendigo & Adelaide Bank Ltd (ASX: BEN) shares are currently priced around $12.60, with a focus on determining their true value for investors seeking dividend income [1][11] - The bank operates in a competitive environment dominated by a few large players, with a preference among Australian investors for bank shares due to their dividend potential and franking credits [2][3] Group 2: Valuation Methods - The Price-Earnings (PE) ratio is a common valuation tool, with BEN's current PE ratio calculated at 14.5x, compared to the banking sector average of 19x, leading to a sector-adjusted valuation of $16.92 [6] - A Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is highlighted as a more effective valuation method for banks, with BEN's share price estimated at $13.32 using a blended growth and risk rate, and $13.75 using an adjusted dividend payment [11][12] - Considering fully franked dividends, the valuation based on a gross dividend payment of $0.93 results in a share price estimate of $19.64 [12] Group 3: Growth and Risk Considerations - The analysis includes various growth and risk rate scenarios, indicating that a 6% risk rate with a 2% growth rate yields a valuation of $16.25, while a 10% risk rate with a 4% growth rate results in a valuation of $10.83 [13] - Investors are encouraged to assess the bank's growth strategy, including its focus on lending versus non-interest income, and to consider economic indicators such as unemployment and consumer sentiment [14]
Are WBC shares good value? 2 ways to value them
Rask Media· 2025-09-12 01:37
Westpac Banking Corp (The ASX: WBC ) is currently trading around $38. Let’s run through two standard WBC share price valuation tools an analyst might use to provide his or her target valuation on an ASX bank share like WBC.As you may know, this is the standard version. Keep in mind, standard doesn’t necessarily equal ‘good’. So, at the bottom of this article, we’ll provide some further resources to complement our potential indicative valuations. Basically, it goes without saying but these valuations are not ...
农业银行为何成为A股市值新科冠军?得益于银行板块大涨 盈利确定性在“四大行”中最高
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-07 15:20
Core Viewpoint - Agricultural Bank of China has reached the top position in A-share market capitalization, surpassing Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, driven by strong stock performance and favorable market conditions [2][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - On August 6, Agricultural Bank's stock price closed at 6.62 yuan, marking a 1.22% increase and achieving the highest level since its A-share listing [2]. - As of August 7, the bank's market capitalization was reported at 2.35 trillion yuan, reflecting a 1.36% increase from the previous day [3]. - Since the beginning of 2025, Agricultural Bank's stock price has increased by 29.54%, while Industrial Bank's stock price has risen by 16.85% [4]. Group 2: Factors Contributing to Market Position - The increase in Agricultural Bank's market capitalization is attributed to a significant rise in bank stocks, which are favored by investors seeking high dividend yields and stable returns [3]. - Agricultural Bank's A-share circulating stock is 3.192 billion shares, compared to 2.696 billion shares for Industrial Bank, contributing to its higher market value [4]. - The bank's strong profitability and dividend stability have enhanced its appeal, with experts noting its high earnings certainty among the top four banks [9]. Group 3: Capital Structure and TLAC Bonds - Agricultural Bank has issued a total of 800 billion yuan in TLAC bonds since 2025, with the latest issuance of 500 billion yuan completed on August 4 [4]. - The issuance of TLAC bonds helps optimize the bank's capital structure, even though these bonds are not considered regulatory capital [5]. - The bank's ability to maintain a high level of excess provisions contributes to its capital adequacy and risk management [10][11]. Group 4: Investment Trends - The banking sector has become a star performer in the A-share market, with a notable increase in public fund holdings in bank stocks, which rose to 4.88% of the total A-share market capitalization by the end of Q2 2025 [7]. - The shift in market dynamics has led to increased allocations to bank stocks by institutional investors, driven by the need for stable returns amid market volatility [8].
农业银行为何成为A股市值新科冠军? 得益于银行板块大涨,盈利确定性在“四大行”中最高
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-08-07 15:19
Core Viewpoint - Agricultural Bank of China has reached the top position in A-share market capitalization, surpassing Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, driven by strong stock performance and investor interest in bank stocks [1][2][3] Company Performance - As of August 7, Agricultural Bank's stock price rose by 1.36%, with a total market capitalization of 2.35 trillion yuan [2] - The stock price has increased by 29.54% since 2025, while the stock price of Industrial and Commercial Bank has risen by 16.85% during the same period [4] - Over the longer term, Agricultural Bank's stock has surged by 145% since 2023 [5] Market Dynamics - The rise in Agricultural Bank's market capitalization is attributed to a significant increase in bank stocks, which are favored by investors seeking high dividend yields and stable returns [2][6] - The banking sector has become a star performer in the A-share market, with a notable shift in market dynamics favoring bank stocks [6][7] Capital Structure and Financial Health - Agricultural Bank has issued a total of 800 billion yuan in TLAC bonds since 2025, which helps optimize its capital structure [3] - The bank's high profitability certainty among the four major banks enhances its dividend appeal, supported by a strong capital adequacy ratio and low non-performing loan ratio [8][9] - Agricultural Bank's excess provisions for losses are higher than the regulatory limits, providing a buffer for future profitability [10]
平安银行(000001):信贷存款回暖,计息成本改善
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-04-21 14:15
公司报告 | 季报点评 平安银行(000001) 证券研究报告 信贷存款回暖,计息成本改善 事件: 平 安银 行发 布 2025 年一季度财报。公 司实 现 营 收 约 337 亿元, YoY-13.05%;归母净利润 141 亿元,YoY-5.60%;不良率 1.06%, 不良贷款拨备率 237%。 点评摘要: 2025 年一季度,平安银行营收约 337 亿元(YoY-13.05%),其中净利 息收入 228 亿元(YoY-9.42%),占营收比重 67.6%;非息净收入 109 亿元,同比减少 19.78%。2025Q1 拨备前利润、归母净利润分别同比 -12.92%、-5.60%。其中,公司计提减值准备较 24 年第一季度减少 19.66 亿元,为利润提供支撑。 投资净收益持续拉动公司营收。2025 年一季度投资净收益贡献 68 亿元收 入,YoY+43.98% 2025 年一季度,平安银行净息差录得 1.83%,环比收窄 4bp,同比下行 18bp。 资产收益端:在 2024 年 LPR 连续调降背景下,受新年贷款重定价影响, 公司 25 年一季度生息资产收益率下滑至 3.62%,较 2024 末下行 ...
平安银行:年报点评报告:非息亮眼,质量稳健-20250320
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-03-19 06:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Ping An Bank is adjusted to "Accumulate" with a target price of 13.12 CNY, representing a potential upside of 14% from the current price of 11.49 CNY [5]. Core Views - The bank's non-interest income continues to show strong performance, with total revenue for 2024 estimated at approximately 146.7 billion CNY, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 10.93% but an upward revision in growth rate by 1.65 percentage points compared to the previous quarter [2][9]. - The net interest income for the year is projected at 93.4 billion CNY, down 20.82% year-over-year, while non-interest income is expected to reach 53.3 billion CNY, up 14% year-over-year, indicating a significant recovery in growth [2][9]. - The bank's asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.06%, consistent with the previous quarter [3][19]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the bank's total revenue is approximately 1467 billion CNY, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 44.5 billion CNY, showing a year-over-year decrease of 4.19% [1][9]. - The bank's net interest margin (NIM) is recorded at 1.87%, a decline of 6 basis points compared to the previous quarter [3][19]. - The bank's total interest-earning assets amount to 6.09 trillion CNY, reflecting a slight increase of 0.2% from the previous quarter [3][19]. Profitability and Valuation - The bank's profitability is expected to show resilience, with projected net profit growth rates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at 1.40%, 3.94%, and 3.15% respectively [4][26]. - The price-to-book ratio (P/B) is estimated to be 0.41x for 2025, indicating a valuation that suggests potential for price appreciation [4][26]. Asset and Liability Structure - As of the end of 2024, the bank's interest-bearing liabilities total 5.07 trillion CNY, marking a 2.9% increase from the previous quarter [3][19]. - The composition of interest-earning assets includes loans (54.1%), financial investments (26.2%), interbank and reverse repos (15.3%), and deposits with the central bank (4.4%) [3][19].