Core Viewpoint - UBS report indicates that JD Health's third-quarter performance exceeded expectations in both revenue and profit, driven by strong growth in pharmaceutical sales and a significant rebound in health product business [1] Revenue Growth - JD Health's revenue growth accelerated from 24.5% in the first half of the year to 28.7% in the third quarter, attributed to robust pharmaceutical sales and a low comparative base in the third quarter of 2024 [1] Profit Forecast - UBS raised JD Health's profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 by 4% to 13%, reflecting confidence in the company's growth trajectory [1] Target Price Adjustment - The target price for JD Health was increased from HKD 78.5 to HKD 85, implying a 1.25 times price-to-earnings growth rate by 2027 [1] Investment Rating - UBS maintains a "Buy" rating for JD Health, indicating a positive outlook for the company's future performance [1]

瑞银称，京东健康今年第三季度在收入及利润均胜预期，收入同比增长从今年上半年的24.5%，加速至 第三季度28.7%，认为主要由于药品销售的强劲增长、保健品业务增长显著回升，以及2024年第三季度 基数相对较低。瑞银表示，考虑到京东健康药品增长维持强劲;线上到线下(O2O)策略稳步推进，估计药 品销售增长在今年第三季度维持约30%强劲增长，慢性病药及创新药增长更快。 瑞银发布研报称，上调京东健康(06618)2025至2027年盈利预测4%至13%，并基于2027财年30倍市盈率 或调整后盈利，将目标价从78.5港元上调至85港元;新目标价意味2027年1.25倍市盈增长率，维持"买 入"评级。 ...

Core Viewpoint - UBS has raised JD Health's (06618) profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 by 4% to 13%, increasing the target price from HKD 78.5 to HKD 85, implying a 1.25x growth rate for 2027, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - JD Health's Q3 revenue and profit exceeded expectations, with revenue growth accelerating from 24.5% in the first half of the year to 28.7% in Q3 [1] - The strong growth in revenue is attributed to robust sales in pharmaceuticals and a significant rebound in health products, alongside a relatively low base in Q3 2024 [1] Group 2: Sales Growth Drivers - Pharmaceutical sales growth is estimated to maintain a strong rate of approximately 30% in Q3, with even faster growth in chronic disease medications and innovative drugs [1] - The company's online-to-offline (O2O) strategy is steadily advancing, contributing to the overall sales performance [1]

Core Viewpoint - JD Health's stock price has shown significant upward movement, with a notable increase of over 5% in early trading, reflecting positive market sentiment regarding its future performance [1] Group 1: Financial Performance Expectations - Bank of America Securities has released a report indicating that JD Health's performance in the first half of 2025 is expected to significantly exceed market expectations, with continued strong growth anticipated in the second half [1] - The firm has revised its forecasts for JD Health's third quarter, expecting the company to maintain rapid revenue growth momentum seen in the first half [1] - For the fourth quarter, Bank of America remains conservative with its predictions, awaiting more visibility post the Double Eleven shopping festival [1] Group 2: Margin and Growth Projections - Bank of America anticipates that JD Health's gross margin will expand year-on-year in the second half of the year [1] - Macquarie forecasts that JD Health will continue to experience strong growth in the second half, driven by the direct launch of new drugs and increased advertising spending from merchants [1] - Macquarie expects that the enhanced contribution from drug sales will positively impact overall gross margin, projecting a year-on-year expansion of 1.5 percentage points to 23.7% in the second half [1]

Fundraising Overview - The company raised a total of RMB 179,743.20 million through the issuance of 17,974,320 convertible bonds at a face value of RMB 100 each, with net proceeds amounting to RMB 178,026.23 million after deducting underwriting fees [1] - As of June 30, 2025, the company had a remaining balance of RMB 134,543.58 million in raised funds, with an actual surplus of RMB 13,363.58 million, indicating a difference of RMB 121,180.00 million due to temporary use of idle funds for working capital [1] Fund Management - The company has established a dedicated fund management system in compliance with relevant laws and regulations, ensuring the funds are stored in special accounts and managed under strict supervision agreements with banks and sponsors [2][3] Fund Usage - As of June 30, 2025, the total amount invested from the raised funds was RMB 44,306.22 million, with a current period investment of RMB 3,641.62 million [6] - The company reported no abnormal situations regarding the investment projects funded by the raised capital, although some projects do not generate direct measurable economic benefits [6] Project Specifics - The "New Chain Pharmacy Project" is ongoing with an expected internal rate of return of 10.51% and a payback period of 7.14 years, while the "Digital Platform Upgrade Project" has had its completion date extended to December 31, 2025 [7] - The company temporarily used RMB 110,000.00 million of idle funds for working capital and has also allocated up to RMB 30,000.00 million for financial management of idle funds [7]

中金认为，京东健康1H25业绩超市场预期，分业务板块看，公司实现产品收入293.3亿元 (+22.7%YoY)，服务收入59.6亿元(+34.4%YoY)，整体表现强劲。该行测算2Q25单季度实现收入186.5亿 元(+23.7%YoY)，预计京东集团主站在1H期间进行的即时零售投流活动或间接为京东健康带来流量导引 获益；截至1H25末，公司过去十二个月(LTM)活跃用户数超2亿，创历史新高。同时，该行预计药品品 类在1H期间或实现高于整体收入端的增速，仍为核心驱动品类。此外，该行认为公司虽坚定AI及线下 零售体系的业务布局，但反内卷基调之下整体投入或有所控制，对全年基本面亦带来正向贡献。 消息面上，近日，京东健康公布上半年业绩。华泰证券指出，京东健康今年上半年总收入352.9亿元， 按年增24.5%，高于市场一致预期的增长20.2%。该行认为，京东健康有望持续受益于京东主站的快速 流量增长(据QuestMobile，2025年5月至7月，京东APP的日活跃用户(DAU)按年增长44.8%、33.4%、 46.4%)，在受惠上游合作伙伴增量广告需求的同时，通过持续加强的全渠道医疗服务能力(B2C+O2O)逐 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Credit Lyonnais indicates that JD Health's performance in the first half of the year met expectations, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 24.5% to 35.3 billion yuan, and an adjusted EBIT increase of 57% to 2.5 billion yuan, driven by strong performance during the 618 shopping festival and robust user growth [1] Group 1 - JD Health's revenue for the first half of the year reached 35.3 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 24.5% [1] - Adjusted EBIT for the same period increased by 57% to 2.5 billion yuan, benefiting from the successful 618 shopping festival and significant user growth [1] - The growth in pharmaceutical sales was attributed to a shift in demand from hospitals to outpatient services [1] Group 2 - The company is expected to see a 16% year-on-year revenue growth in the second half of 2025, primarily driven by over 25% growth in pharmaceutical sales [1] - Sales of health supplements are anticipated to grow at a high double-digit percentage year-on-year [1] - Based on strong sales momentum, the profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 15% and 13% respectively, with the target price increased from 56 HKD to 64 HKD, maintaining an "outperform" rating [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has raised its revenue and net profit forecasts for JD Health for the years 2025 to 2027 based on the company's performance in the first half of the year [1] Revenue Forecast - Revenue forecasts have been increased by 1.7%, 2%, and 2.3% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, primarily due to the ongoing trend of online penetration in drug sales [1] Net Profit Forecast - Net profit forecasts have been raised by 14.7%, 14.5%, and 13% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, attributed to improvements in gross margin from product mix changes and effective cost control [1] Target Price Adjustment - The target price for JD Health has been increased from HKD 46 to HKD 52.5, while maintaining a rating of "in line with the market" [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for JD Health International [2][5][17] Core Insights - JD Health's revenue for Q1 2025 reached a record high of RMB 16.65 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 25.5% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 0.8%, surpassing the full-year guidance [3][13] - The significant revenue growth is attributed to increased demand during the influenza season, growth in high-value original drugs, and higher sales of health supplements due to increased advertising investments [3][14] - The company achieved an operating profit of RMB 1.07 billion, a 119.8% increase, with an operating margin of 6.4%, leading to a net profit growth of 47.7% [3][14] - JD Health plans to focus on expanding its instant retail initiatives in 10 key cities, leveraging a hybrid B2C+O2O strategy to enhance customer engagement and operational efficiency [4][15] Financial Performance and Forecast - Revenue forecasts for FY25 and FY26 are RMB 66.6 billion and RMB 75.7 billion, representing year-over-year growth of 14.5% and 13.7% respectively [5][17] - Adjusted net profit projections are RMB 4.4 billion for FY25 and RMB 5.4 billion for FY26, with a corresponding P/E ratio of 26x and 21x [5][17] - The report emphasizes the company's strong fundamentals and maintains an optimistic outlook for the first half of 2025 and the full year [5][17]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for JD Health International [2][18]. Core Insights - JD Health's Q1 2025 revenue reached a record high of RMB 16.65 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 25.5% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 0.8%, surpassing the full-year guidance [3][14]. - The revenue growth is attributed to increased demand during the influenza season, growth in high-value original drugs, and higher sales of health supplements due to increased advertising investments [15]. - The company achieved an operating profit of RMB 1.07 billion, a significant increase of 119.8%, with an operating margin of 6.4%, contributing to a net profit growth of 47.7% [15][18]. - JD Health plans to focus on self-operated on-demand drug delivery in 10 key cities in 2025, leveraging a hybrid B2C+O2O strategy to enhance customer stickiness and operational efficiency [4][16]. Financial Performance and Forecast - Revenue forecasts for FY25 and FY26 are RMB 66.6 billion and RMB 75.7 billion, representing year-over-year growth of 14.5% and 13.7% respectively [5][18]. - Adjusted net profit is projected at RMB 4.4 billion for FY25, reflecting a decrease of 7.3%, and RMB 5.4 billion for FY26, indicating an increase of 20.5% [5][18]. - The report estimates a P/E ratio of 26x for FY25 and 21x for FY26, indicating a favorable valuation based on the company's fundamentals [5][18]. Valuation - The DCF model estimates the equity value of JD Health at HKD 136.8 billion, corresponding to a target price of HKD 42.90 per share [8][9].