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李宁(02331.HK):25H1业绩符合预期 专业体育资源助力中长期发展
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-23 12:00
Core Viewpoint - The company reported stable performance in H1 2025 despite external environmental disturbances, with a slight increase in revenue and gross profit but a decline in net profit [1] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 14.817 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.3% - Gross profit reached 7.415 billion yuan, up 2.5% year-on-year - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.737 billion yuan, down 11.0% year-on-year - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 50.0%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to a decline in direct sales channel revenue and increased discounting - The net profit margin was 11.7%, down 1.9 percentage points year-on-year, due to increased advertising and marketing expenses as the company focused on core resource investment [1] Dividend Policy - The company declared an interim dividend of 0.3359 yuan per share, with a payout ratio of 50%, indicating a strong willingness to distribute dividends [1] Business Segments - E-commerce contributed the largest revenue growth in H1 2025, with a 7.4% year-on-year increase, accounting for 29.0% of total revenue, up 1.1 percentage points from H1 2024 - Revenue from authorized dealers increased by 4.4% year-on-year, making up 46.5% of total revenue, up 0.5 percentage points from H1 2024 - Revenue from footwear products reached 8.231 billion yuan, a 4.9% increase year-on-year, with sales of key running shoe IPs exceeding 5.26 million pairs - Revenue from equipment and accessories grew significantly by 23.7% year-on-year, reaching 1.393 billion yuan, with a revenue share of 9.4% [2] Market Development - The company signed player Yang Hansheng, who was selected in the first round of the NBA draft, which is expected to enhance the company's brand and product sales in the basketball category - Retail sales for running and cross-training categories showed strong performance, both increasing by 15% year-on-year, while basketball retail sales declined by 20% [3] Growth Outlook - The company is positioned as a leading domestic sports apparel brand, focusing on a "single brand, multiple categories, and multiple channels" development strategy - Continued investment in R&D is expected to enhance core technologies in footwear and apparel, maintaining a balance between professionalism and fashion in product design - Profit forecasts for net profit attributable to shareholders are projected at 2.645 billion yuan, 2.845 billion yuan, and 3.104 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3]
半年营收近150亿,毛利率高达50%,李宁的"专业牌"打赢了吗?
3 6 Ke· 2025-08-22 10:46
Core Viewpoint - In 2025, the Chinese sportswear industry is undergoing significant structural changes amid a slow recovery in the consumer market, as evidenced by Li Ning's mid-term financial report showing revenue growth but pressured profit margins [1][2]. Revenue and Profit Analysis - Li Ning's revenue reached 14.82 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.3%, aligning with market expectations, especially in a challenging consumer environment where retail sales in the apparel sector grew only 3.1% [2][3]. - The company's gross profit was 7.41 billion yuan, up 2.5%, but the overall gross margin decreased by 0.4 percentage points to 50.0%. Net profit was 1.74 billion yuan, with a net margin decline from 13.6% to 11.7% [3]. Business Structure and Product Focus - The growth was primarily driven by footwear, with professional products accounting for over 60% of revenue, and footwear sales making up 56% of total revenue, highlighting the brand's focus on professional sports [3][4]. - The online sales channel saw a 7.4% increase, while retail channels faced pressure, with a 3.4% decline in revenue due to adjustments in store layouts and shifting consumer behavior towards online shopping [4]. Strategic Initiatives and R&D Investment - Li Ning has entered the "Olympic cycle" as the official sportswear partner for the Chinese Olympic Committee, which is expected to enhance brand positioning and guide product development and marketing strategies over the next three years [5][7]. - R&D investment increased by 8.7% in the first half of 2025, with cumulative R&D spending exceeding 3.8 billion yuan over the past decade, indicating a commitment to enhancing product competitiveness [5][6]. Product Performance and Market Positioning - The running category showed significant growth, with retail sales increasing by 15%, and total sales of running shoes surpassing 14 million pairs, driven by popular series [6][8]. - Li Ning is also exploring niche categories like badminton and table tennis, while identifying emerging markets such as outdoor sports and tennis as strategic growth areas [7][8]. Conclusion - Li Ning's performance in the first half of 2025 reflects a balance of steady growth amid industry challenges, with strategic investments aimed at building a robust professional sports brand [8][9].
李宁(02331):一季度销售稳健复苏,折扣改善、库存健康
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-04-30 11:46
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][7][25] Core Insights - The company has shown a steady recovery in sales during Q1 2025, with overall demand continuing to improve, aligning with expectations [7][8] - The company plans to enhance brand marketing and product innovation, aiming to strengthen its long-term competitiveness [7][8] - The company is expected to maintain its annual performance guidance, projecting flat revenue for 2025 and a high single-digit net profit margin [7][8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections (in billion RMB): - 2023: 27.6 - 2024: 28.7 - 2025E: 28.8 - 2026E: 30.1 - 2027E: 31.2 - Year-on-year growth rates: - 2023: 7% - 2024: 4% - 2025E: 0% - 2026E: 4% - 2027E: 4% [3][16] - Net profit projections (in billion RMB): - 2023: 3.19 - 2024: 3.01 - 2025E: 2.48 - 2026E: 2.64 - 2027E: 2.78 - Year-on-year growth rates for net profit: - 2023: -22% - 2024: -5% - 2025E: -18% - 2026E: 7% - 2027E: 5% [3][16] Market Data - Closing price as of April 29, 2025: HKD 14.62 - Market capitalization: HKD 37.79 billion - 52-week high/low: HKD 24.60 / HKD 12.56 [4][8] Operational Performance - Q1 2025 sales growth was driven by a strong performance in the footwear category, particularly in running shoes, which saw over 20% growth [7][8] - The company has optimized its channel structure, resulting in a net reduction of 201 direct stores in 2024, with a focus on improving average store productivity [7][8] - Inventory levels remain healthy, with a target inventory turnover ratio of 4-5 months by year-end [7][8] Future Outlook - The company aims to leverage its partnership with the Chinese Olympic Committee to enhance brand visibility and professional image [7][8] - Continued investment in product development and marketing is expected to drive future growth, particularly in the outdoor and new product categories [7][8]