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“可能性大概0到1%”:IBM CEO给AGI泼冷水,断言AI数据中心投资无法获得回报
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-03 14:40
今年以来,科技巨头们相继宣布了令人咋舌的资本支出计划。Meta 表示未来三年将在数据中心上投入超过 6,000 亿美元,微软计划 2025 年投入 800 亿美 元,谷歌的数字是 750 亿美元,苹果则规划了未来四年 5,000 亿美元的投资。这些数字加起来,让全球数据中心和 AI 基础设施的总投资在未来五年内可 能突破 5 万亿美元。 与此同时,质疑的声音也在增多。哈佛经济学家杰森·弗曼 (Jason Furman) 的研究发现,如果排除数据中心相关投资,2025 年上半年美国 GDP 增长仅为 0.1%。著名投资者迈克尔·伯里 (Michael Burry) 公开质疑英伟达芯片的折旧问题。对冲基金 Elliott 在给客户的信中表示,AI 被过度炒作,英伟达处于泡沫 之中。 现在,又一位科技界重量级人物加入了怀疑者的行列。 IBM 首席执行官阿尔文德·克里希纳 (Arvind Krishna) 近日在接受科技媒体 The Verge 旗下播客节目 Decoder 采访时,对当前席卷全球的 AI 数据中心投资热 潮提出质疑。他直言不讳地表示,按照当前的基础设施成本,科技巨头们投入数万亿美元建设 AI 数据中 ...
行业干货!智研咨询重磅发布《2025年中国量子计算产业市场现状及发展前景研究报告》
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-08-13 07:43
Group 1 - Quantum computing utilizes the fundamental properties of quantum mechanics to solve problems, with a rapidly expanding global market projected to reach $5 billion by 2024, driven by increasing demand for computational power and advancements in quantum performance [1][16] - North America leads the global quantum computing market with a 29.8% share, followed closely by Europe at 28.8% and China at 25.2% [21][22] Group 2 - China's quantum computing industry has grown significantly, with a projected market size of 9.04 billion yuan ($1.3 billion) in 2024, reflecting an 82.1% year-on-year increase, and accounting for 68.6% of the total quantum technology market [2][45] - The Chinese government has implemented multiple supportive policies to enhance quantum computing technology development, establishing a robust national and local policy framework [38][41] Group 3 - The global quantum computing market is expected to grow from approximately $800 million in 2021 to $5 billion in 2024, indicating a strong upward trend [16][17] - In North America, the quantum computing market is projected to reach $1.5 billion in 2024, with a growth rate of 6.4% year-on-year [26] Group 4 - Investment in China's quantum computing sector has surged, with financing reaching 2.93 billion yuan ($420 million) in 2024, marking a 38.2% increase [50] - Major players in the Chinese quantum computing landscape include Tencent, Huawei, and various startups like Benyuan Quantum and Guodun Quantum, contributing to a vibrant ecosystem [2][59]