Investment Insights - The report highlights a cautious outlook on risk assets following Moody's downgrade of the US sovereign credit rating, emphasizing the importance of US Treasury liquidity in the upcoming months [2][9] - The coal industry narrative is shifting from "elasticity" to "duration," with companies like Shaanxi Coal outperforming others due to lower extraction costs and stable performance [11][12] - The report indicates that the valuation gap between Shaanxi Coal and China Shenhua is expected to narrow as the market recognizes the long-term value of low-cost coal producers [13][14] Company Summaries Shaanxi Coal (601225.SH) - The company is transitioning from an "elasticity narrative" to a "duration narrative," with a significant performance gap observed in 2024 compared to China Shenhua [11][12] - Shaanxi Coal's extraction costs position it favorably within the industry cost curve, enhancing its long-term investment value [12][13] - The projected net profits for Shaanxi Coal from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 190.2 billion, 199.3 billion, and 210.0 billion respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 10.3, 9.8, and 9.3 [14] Jiyuan Precision (836720.BJ) - The company focuses on high-precision zinc-aluminum alloy die-casting products, with a projected net profit of 56.75 million in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 32.63% [16][21] - Jiyuan Precision is expanding its international presence through acquisitions, including the purchase of German company Dico to develop the European market [20][21] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the growing demand for lightweight components in the electric vehicle sector, with significant revenue growth expected in automotive parts [17][21]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [5]. Core Views - The company focuses on the high-precision small parts market for aluminum die-casting and has acquired German company Dico to develop the European market [5]. - The company is expected to achieve a year-on-year net profit growth of 33% in 2024, with revenues projected to reach 577 million yuan, a 25.97% increase [5]. - The automotive parts segment is anticipated to generate 332 million yuan in revenue in 2024, reflecting a 32.06% year-on-year growth, driven by the increasing demand for lightweight aluminum components in electric vehicles [5][9]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company is projected to achieve revenues of 577 million yuan and a net profit of 57 million yuan, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 25.97% and 32.63% [7]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are expected to grow from 0.30 yuan in 2024 to 0.60 yuan by 2027, indicating a strong upward trend [7]. - The return on equity (ROE) is forecasted to increase from 11.72% in 2024 to 17.09% in 2027, showcasing improved profitability [7]. Market Dynamics - The global automotive market is projected to grow by 2.10% in 2024, with electric vehicle sales expected to rise by 24.40% [5]. - The company is strategically positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for electric vehicle components, with significant partnerships established with major clients such as Huawei and Geely [5][9]. - The electric tool market is also showing signs of recovery, with a projected revenue increase of 41.94% in 2024, driven by rising consumer demand [5][6]. Strategic Initiatives - The company has expanded its international presence by establishing operations in Mexico and Thailand, and successfully completed the acquisition of Dico to enhance its market reach in Europe [9]. - The focus on research and development is evident, with the company holding 201 patents, including 11 invention patents, which supports its competitive edge in technology [5]. Valuation Metrics - The company’s price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 69.92 in 2024 to 34.89 by 2027, indicating a more attractive valuation over time [7]. - The projected revenue growth rates for the next few years are 25.97% for 2024, 22.21% for 2025, and gradually declining to 19.60% by 2027, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [7].

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the growth potential of Jiyang Precision (836720.BJ) in the aluminum die-casting market, projecting a 33% year-on-year increase in net profit for 2024, driven by strong demand in the automotive and electronic sectors [1][5]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Jiyang Precision focuses on zinc-aluminum alloy precision die-casting products, expecting a revenue of 577 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 25.97% [1]. - The company anticipates a net profit of 56.75 million yuan for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 32.63% [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 155 million yuan, up 48.45% year-on-year, with a net profit of 15.65 million yuan, marking a 49.27% increase [1]. Group 2: Market Demand and Trends - The demand for aluminum alloy components is increasing due to the lightweight trend in electric vehicles, with automotive parts revenue projected to reach 332 million yuan in 2024, a 32.06% increase [2]. - The global automotive market is expected to grow by 2.10% in 2024, with global electric vehicle sales projected to rise by 24.40% [2]. - The company has begun mass production of steering motors for a certain electric vehicle company and has seen rapid growth in battery pack heater products for major automotive brands [2]. Group 3: Product Development and Innovation - Jiyang Precision has a strong focus on R&D, holding 201 patents, including 11 invention patents and 190 utility model patents [1]. - The company’s electronic and electrical components revenue is expected to grow by 41.94% in 2024, driven by increased demand for electric tools and home cleaning appliances [3]. - The company’s steam heater, a core product with invention patents, is widely used in well-known cleaning appliance brands [3]. Group 4: International Expansion - The company is expanding its international presence by establishing operations in Mexico and Thailand, and has successfully acquired German company Dico to develop the European market [4][5]. - The acquisition of Dico is expected to enhance Jiyang Precision's market entry into Europe, leveraging Dico's established customer relationships and market reputation [4][5]. - The company aims to continue seeking quality acquisition targets and accelerate the construction of its Thailand factory to meet growing overseas demand [5].