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前瞻全球产业早报:中国资本市场学会在沪成立
Qian Zhan Wang· 2025-06-19 12:19
Group 1 - The China Capital Market Society was officially established in Shanghai, aiming to become a high-end think tank for capital market theory research, academic exchange, and decision-making consulting [2] - The National Development and Reform Commission announced that 300 billion yuan of special bonds will support the "old for new" consumption policy, with 162 billion yuan already allocated to local governments [3] - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission emphasized the importance of promoting artificial intelligence to lead the transformation of research paradigms in state-owned enterprises [4] Group 2 - The signing of the "Shanghai-Hong Kong International Financial Center Collaborative Development Action Plan" aims to enhance financial cooperation between the two regions, focusing on market connectivity and green finance [5][6] - NIO is in discussions to introduce strategic investors for its chip research and development department, planning to maintain control while offering a minority stake [7] - Meituan reported that its daily average orders for food delivery have remained above 90 million, with a market share of approximately 70% [9] Group 3 - JD.com announced a new supply chain service for the hotel industry, offering up to three years of zero commission for participating hotels [10] - SoftBank raised approximately $4.8 billion by selling shares of T-Mobile to fund its artificial intelligence initiatives [11] - Alibaba Cloud launched several AI products in Frankfurt to meet the growing demand for AI applications in Europe [12]
阿里巴巴-W(09988):电商和云增长提速,AI投入坚定不改
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-05-19 01:06
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Alibaba Group [4][7]. Core Insights - Alibaba reported total revenue of 2364.54 billion RMB for FY2025 Q4, representing a year-on-year growth of 7%. The non-GAAP net profit for the quarter was approximately 300 billion RMB, up 18% year-on-year [1]. - The company is focusing on accelerating growth in e-commerce and cloud services while maintaining strong investments in AI technology [3]. Summary by Business Segment - **Taobao and Tmall Group**: Revenue reached 1014 billion RMB, a 9% increase year-on-year, with adjusted EBITA of approximately 417 billion RMB, up 8% [2]. - **International Commerce**: Revenue was 336 billion RMB, showing a 22% year-on-year growth, although adjusted EBITA was -36 billion RMB, narrowing by 13% [2]. - **Alibaba Cloud**: Revenue grew by 18% to 301 billion RMB, with adjusted EBITA increasing by 69% to approximately 24 billion RMB [2][3]. - **Cainiao**: Revenue decreased by 12% to 216 billion RMB, with adjusted EBITA at -6 billion RMB, narrowing by 55% [2]. - **Local Services**: Revenue increased by 10% to 161 billion RMB, with adjusted EBITA of -23 billion RMB, narrowing by 28% [2]. - **Digital Entertainment**: Revenue was 55.5 billion RMB, up 12%, with adjusted EBITA turning positive, primarily driven by profitability from Youku [2]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for FY2026-2028 are estimated at 11185 billion RMB, 12360 billion RMB, and 13551 billion RMB respectively. Non-GAAP net profit is projected to be 1613 billion RMB, 1845 billion RMB, and 2081 billion RMB for the same periods [4][6]. - The report anticipates a price target of 164 HKD for the Hong Kong stock and 168 USD for the US stock based on a 10x P/E for core e-commerce and a 30x P/E for Alibaba Cloud [4].
阿里巴巴-W(09988.HK):电商和云增长提速,AI投入坚定不改
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-05-19 00:48
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Alibaba Group [4][7]. Core Insights - Alibaba's total revenue for FY2025 Q4 reached 2364.54 billion RMB, representing a year-on-year growth of 7%. The non-GAAP net profit for the same quarter was approximately 300 billion RMB, up 18% year-on-year [1]. - The company is experiencing accelerated growth in e-commerce and cloud services, with a strong commitment to AI investments [1][3]. Revenue Breakdown by Business Segment - **Taobao and Tmall Group**: Revenue of 1014 billion RMB, up 9% year-on-year; adjusted EBITA of approximately 417 billion RMB, up 8% [2]. - **International Commerce**: Revenue of 336 billion RMB, a 22% increase year-on-year; adjusted EBITA of approximately -36 billion RMB, narrowing by 13% [2]. - **Alibaba Cloud**: Revenue of 301 billion RMB, up 18% year-on-year; adjusted EBITA of approximately 24 billion RMB, a 69% increase [2][3]. - **Cainiao**: Revenue of 216 billion RMB, down 12% year-on-year; adjusted EBITA of approximately -6 billion RMB, narrowing by 55% [2]. - **Local Services**: Revenue of 161 billion RMB, up 10% year-on-year; adjusted EBITA of approximately -23 billion RMB, narrowing by 28% [2]. - **Digital Entertainment**: Revenue of 55.5 billion RMB, up 12% year-on-year; adjusted EBITA turned positive, mainly driven by profitability from Youku [2]. Financial Projections - Projected revenues for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028 are 11185 billion RMB, 12360 billion RMB, and 13551 billion RMB respectively. Non-GAAP net profits are expected to be 1613 billion RMB, 1845 billion RMB, and 2081 billion RMB for the same periods [4][6]. - The report anticipates a price target of 164 HKD for the Hong Kong stock and 168 USD for the US stock based on a 10x P/E for core e-commerce and a 30x P/E for Alibaba Cloud [4]. Capital Expenditure and AI Investment - Alibaba's capital expenditure for the quarter was approximately 246 billion RMB, reflecting the company's unwavering commitment to AI technology and product development [3]. - The report indicates that Alibaba Cloud's revenue growth is expected to continue accelerating in the upcoming quarters due to strong demand for AI-related products across various industries [3]. Key Financial Metrics - The report provides a detailed financial outlook, including revenue growth rates, non-GAAP net profit projections, and earnings per share (EPS) estimates for the upcoming fiscal years [6][15]. - The projected EPS for FY2026 is 8.4 RMB, increasing to 10.9 RMB by FY2028 [6][15]. Conclusion - The report highlights Alibaba's robust performance in e-commerce and cloud services, alongside a strong focus on AI investments, positioning the company for continued growth in the coming years [1][3][4].