预加工食品 2025 年 08 月 26 日 公 司 研 究 安井食品（603345.SH） 特通新零售渠道表现亮眼，盈利能力阶段性承压 公 司 事件：公司披露 2025 年中报：报告期内公司实现营收 76.04 亿元，同比 +0.80%；归母净利润 6.76 亿元，同比-15.79%；扣非归母净利润 6.03 亿元， 同比-21.85%；其中，24Q2 实现营收 40.05 亿元，同比+5.69%；归母净利 润 2.81 亿元，同比-22.74%；扣非归母净利润 2.6 亿元，同比-26.11%。此 外，公司拟派发中期红利 1.425 元/股（含税），共计 4.73 亿元，占公司 25H1 归母净利润 70.02%。 财 报 点 评 销售表现整体平稳，新零售渠道持续高增。分品类看，25Q2 公司速冻 调制食品/菜肴/面米/农副产品分别实现收入 17.50/15.80/5.83/0.87 亿元，同 比-1.4%/+26.05%/-10.78%/-4.85%；菜肴业务高增推测主要系小龙虾业务推 动。分渠道看，25Q2 公司经销商/特通直营/商超/新零售及电商渠道分别实 现收入 31.34/3.28/1.52/3 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price not specified [6][3]. Core Views - The company is expected to enter an accelerated development phase in 2025, driven by internal expansion, the acquisition of Qinglu, and the growth of the group meal business [3][2]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of 370 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.45%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 37 million yuan, a decrease of 6.13% [1][2]. Revenue Summary - The company plans to add 1,000 new stores by 2025, reaching a total of 6,000 stores, with a narrowing gap in single-store performance expected to be more evident in Q2 and Q3 [2][3]. - The group meal business is actively collaborating with clients like Yonghui, which is expected to gradually increase volume [2][3]. Profitability Summary - The gross profit margin stabilized, while the expense ratio decreased, with interest income impacting the non-recurring profit [2]. - The non-recurring net profit margin decreased by 0.1 percentage points year-on-year to 10.5%, and the net profit margin decreased by 1.3 percentage points [2]. Financial Forecast - Revenue growth rates are projected at 10% for 2025, 9% for 2026, and 8% for 2027, with total revenues expected to be 1.85 billion yuan, 2.01 billion yuan, and 2.17 billion yuan respectively [3][5]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 270 million yuan in 2025, with growth rates of -3.9%, +10.3%, and +11.3% for the following years [3][5]. Financial Data and Valuation - The company’s total revenue for 2023 is projected at 1.63 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 6.89% [5]. - The price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is expected to be 18X for 2025, 16X for 2026, and 14X for 2027 [3][5].