中信证券研究 文|李超 俞腾 商业航天在可复用迭代与星座ITU时限共振下，发射与制造进入刚性放量，材料端出现"乘数效应"。我 们看好四类核心材料的产业化加速：高强高导铜合金（液体火箭发动机推力室内壁）、铌合金（二级真 空喷管与高工况推力室）、钽合金（抗辐照与星载）及高温合金（发动机热端部件）。 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ ▍发射端的景气度与可复用渗透率是材料需求"乘数效应"的核心来源。 2025年全球火箭发射329次，其中商业航天发射214次，占比约65%；中国发射92次，商业航天占比 50%；美国发射198次，商业航天占比82%，商业属性已成为行业增长的主要驱动力。在星座端，我国 近期新增申报低轨卫星20.3万颗，叠加原有项目，申报总数已突破25.5万颗。在ITU"7-9-12-14年"强制 发射约束下，高密度发射窗口效应将把火箭与卫星制造推入"刚性放量"的轨道。 | 140 285 MIT 2017 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 时间 | 政策名称 | 爱布机构 | 横心内容与意义 | | 2014 | 《国务院关于创 ...

中信证券研报指出，商业航天在可复用迭代与星座ITU时限共振下，发射与制造进入刚性放量，材料端 出现"乘数效应"。我们看好四类核心材料的产业化加速：高强高导铜合金（液体火箭发动机推力室内 壁）、铌合金（二级真空喷管与高工况推力室）、钽合金（抗辐照与星载）及高温合金（发动机热端部 件）。 ...

Group 1: Commercial Aerospace - The Shanghai Stock Exchange has issued guidelines for commercial rocket companies to apply for the fifth set of listing standards on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, providing a clear operational guide for IPO applications [1] - The industry outlook suggests that national support for quality commercial rocket companies will lead to a golden era for commercial aerospace, with valuations transitioning from "policy expectations" to "institutional realization" [1] Group 2: Financial Technology - A new implementation plan for the high-quality development of digital finance in the banking and insurance sectors has been released, outlining 33 tasks across various areas including governance, services, technology application, data development, risk management, and regulatory transformation [3] - The financial industry is identified as a prime candidate for AI application due to its data-intensive nature, making it an excellent testing ground for digital transformation [3] Group 3: Huawei Ascend - Huawei plans to launch its latest AI chip, Ascend 950, in the South Korean market by 2026, along with AI computing cards and overall data center solutions [7] - ByteDance is expected to place orders for Ascend chips totaling over 40 billion yuan by 2026, a significant increase from nearly zero in 2025 [7] Group 4: Humanoid Robots - The establishment of a standardization committee for humanoid robots and embodied intelligence has been announced by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology [11] - The industry outlook anticipates rapid mass production of humanoid robots by mid-2026, benefiting component manufacturers with strong manufacturing and management capabilities [11]

Industry Overview - The commercial aerospace industry in China is experiencing significant growth, with a projected market size exceeding 2.5 trillion yuan in 2023 [3] - The National Space Administration has issued a plan to promote high-quality and safe development in the commercial aerospace sector from 2025 to 2027, emphasizing its importance in building a strong aerospace nation [1][2] Investment Trends - Over the past decade, there have been more than 280 investment events in the commercial aerospace sector, totaling over 50 billion yuan, with 34 events in 2024 alone amounting to over 14 billion yuan [2] - The financing balance for commercial aerospace concept stocks has reached 30 billion yuan in 2023, an increase of nearly 27% from the end of the previous year [4] Company Performance - Notable companies in the commercial aerospace sector include: - Aerospace Nanhu, which has seen a year-to-date increase of 106.47% and has been the subject of 143 institutional research reports [1] - Longxi Co., which has experienced a year-to-date increase of 169%, focusing on applications in traditional and strategic emerging industries [3] - Sry New Materials, with a year-to-date increase of 168.37%, leading in high-strength and high-conductivity copper alloy manufacturing [3] - Companies like Bohyun New Materials and Aerospace Nanhu have reported a decline in shareholder numbers by over 12% and 8%, respectively, indicating potential shifts in investor sentiment [4][5] Market Dynamics - The commercial aerospace index has seen a cumulative increase of over 30% this year, outperforming the broader market [3] - The demand for small satellites is expected to grow explosively, with several reusable rockets planned for launch by 2025 [3]

Summary of Sry New Materials Conference Call Company Overview - Sry New Materials primarily generates revenue from high-strength and high-conductivity copper alloys (47.49% in 2024), medium and high-voltage electrical contact materials (26.9%), and high-performance metal chromium powder (17.37%) [2][3][7] - The company has shown steady growth in historical performance, with revenue and net profit increasing significantly from 2020 to Q1 2025, with net profit rising from 52 million to 114 million yuan, averaging over 20% annual growth [2][8] Key Business Segments 1. **High-Strength and High-Conductivity Copper Alloys** - Revenue share of 47.49% in 2024 - Stable gross margin, with overall gross profit increasing from 68 million to 120 million yuan, a compound growth rate of 15.42% [7] - Applications in rail transit and consumer electronics, achieving domestic substitution [7] 2. **Medium and High-Voltage Electrical Contact Materials** - Revenue share of 26.9%, with gross profit share of 31.73% - Revenue growth from 203 million to 335 million yuan, a compound growth rate of 13.37% [7] - Major clients include Siemens, ABB, and Eaton, with over 60% domestic market share and over 50% global market share [3][16] 3. **High-Performance Metal Chromium Powder** - Sales volume increased from nearly 300 tons in 2020 to 471 tons in 2024, with a compound growth rate of 17.73% [10] - Gross profit increased from 4 million to 7 million yuan [10] 4. **CT and DR Tube Business** - Revenue growth from 15 million to nearly 60 million yuan, with a compound growth rate of 41.34% [11] - Gross margin improved from 11.57% in 2020 to 30.4% in 2025, indicating significant future growth potential [11] Market Trends and Opportunities - The global commercial aerospace market is rapidly growing, with satellite launches increasing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 41.53% [13][14] - Sry New Materials is the only domestic company capable of providing zirconium copper alloys for rocket engines, filling a technological gap in the domestic market [15] Future Outlook - The company expects net profit growth of around 40% from 2025 to 2027, with a target price of approximately 16.17 yuan per share based on a 71x P/E ratio for 2025 [3][26] - The medical imaging component market is projected to grow significantly, with a forecast of 60,000 CT tubes and 40,000 DR tubes by 2030 [19] Management and R&D Investments - The management team has implemented stock incentive plans to align employee interests with company growth, showing confidence in future prospects [21] - Significant investments in R&D, including 230 million yuan for liquid rocket engine materials, indicate a commitment to innovation and capacity expansion [22] Conclusion - Sry New Materials is positioned for strong growth across its business segments, with a focus on high-performance materials and significant market opportunities in aerospace and medical imaging sectors. The company's strategic initiatives and market leadership in electrical contact materials further enhance its investment appeal [2][3][26]