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经纬恒润(688326):3Q25环比下滑,静待2026海外放量
HTSC· 2025-10-30 12:18
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 145.23 RMB [6][4]. Core Views - The company experienced a quarter-on-quarter revenue decline in Q3 2025, attributed to price pressures from downstream customers, but year-on-year revenue growth remains positive [1][2]. - The outlook for Q4 2025 and 2026 is optimistic, particularly in the ADAS and L4 autonomous driving sectors, with expectations for improved profitability driven by cost reduction and efficiency gains [1][3]. Summary by Sections Q3 2025 Performance - The company reported Q3 2025 revenue of 1.555 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 2.40% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.57%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 11.92 million RMB, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 115.52% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 63.89% [1][2]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue reached 4.464 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25.88%, while the net profit was -75.05 million RMB, indicating a year-on-year improvement of 81.70% [2]. Q4 2025 and 2026 Outlook - The company is expected to continue its revenue growth trend into 2026, driven by smart driving electronic products and autonomous driving solutions. Key clients like Geely, Xiaopeng, Xiaomi, and FAW are anticipated to enter stable production phases [3]. - The company aims to enhance profitability through improved R&D efficiency and cost control, with L4 autonomous driving platform products expected to accelerate commercialization [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are maintained at 7.39 billion RMB, 9.53 billion RMB, and 11.68 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding net profits projected at 66.10 million RMB, 361.79 million RMB, and 607.76 million RMB [4][10]. - The report anticipates a gradual improvement in gross margins, with estimates of 23.9%, 24.8%, and 25.3% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4].
经纬恒润(688326):25Q1业绩符合预期 汽车电子业务带动营收高速增长
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-04-29 06:39
Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant increase in revenue for 2024, but continued to face losses in net profit, indicating challenges in profitability despite growth in the automotive electronics sector [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 5.54 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.46%, but reported a net loss of 550 million yuan, which is an expanded loss compared to the previous year [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company generated revenue of 1.328 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 49.34%, while the net loss narrowed to 120 million yuan [1][3]. Product Performance - The automotive electronics segment saw robust growth, with revenue from electronic products reaching 4.406 billion yuan in 2023, up 28.89% year-on-year [2]. - The company has begun mass production of key components for new clients such as Xiaomi and Xpeng, contributing to the growth in automotive electronics [2]. Profitability and R&D - The gross margin for 2024 was 21.51%, a decrease of 3.11 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to a shift in product mix towards lower-margin automotive electronics [2]. - R&D expenses for 2024 were 1.039 billion yuan, an increase of 7.3% year-on-year, with a R&D expense ratio of 18.8% [2]. - In Q1 2025, the gross margin was 21.4%, showing a slight recovery from the previous quarter, driven by increased sales volume in automotive electronics [3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain high revenue growth, with projected revenues of 7.2 billion yuan, 9 billion yuan, and 10.8 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4]. - The company is in a high R&D investment phase, with a target price of 95.8 yuan based on a price-to-sales ratio of 1.6 for 2025 [4].