以下文章来源于创业邦 ，作者巴里 创业邦 . 创业邦，国际创新生态服务平台。我们致力于打造全球化的创业生态，深度服务创新经济及其推动者，并为创业者提供一站式解决方案。 导语：对高通芯片的深度依赖，使其命脉系于单一供应商。 在智能汽车浪潮中，如果说电池是心脏，那么智能座舱域控制器无疑是汽车的"大脑"。这个赛道正以惊人的速度膨胀，成为一个规模近千亿、年 复合增长率超过30%的黄金战场。 根据弗若斯特沙利文的资料，按收入计，2024年在中国智能座舱域控制器领域位居全国第二。同时截至今年上半年，其基于高通骁龙SA8155P 芯片的域控出货量位居全球第一，累计出货量超200万台。 这业绩的背后， 是由一位深耕汽车行业三十余年的"老炮"杨泓泽，带领团队用三次近乎"自杀式"的战略豪赌换来的。 支持车联天下的，则是多 家产业与地方投资机构， 不仅有北汽、奇瑞、 吉利和蔚来资本等整车厂的订单加资本，还有无锡国资关键时刻的雪中送炭。 然而，市场瞬息万变，创业是永远进行时。车联天下正被来自巨头和其他成长型科技公司的竞争压力所包围。这不再是一场简单的供应商竞赛， 而是一场关于技术路线、产业链话语权与未来生态主导权的全面之争。 断臂求 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Cheliantianxia, has submitted its IPO application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to address funding bottlenecks while facing significant challenges related to its business model sustainability and high losses despite rapid revenue growth [1][7]. Group 1: Revenue Growth and Losses - Cheliantianxia's revenue surged from 369 million to 2.656 billion yuan from 2022 to 2024, marking a growth of over six times, with a notable 523.3% increase in 2023 due to the booming smart cockpit market [2][8]. - Despite high revenue growth, the company reported cumulative net losses of 968 million yuan, with losses in the first half of 2025 reaching 262 million yuan, exceeding the total losses of 2024 [2][8]. - The company's cash flow from operating activities has been negative, with net outflows increasing from 250 million yuan in 2022 to 1.011 billion yuan in 2024, indicating a lack of self-sustaining business capability [2][8]. Group 2: High R&D Costs and Low Profit Margins - The root cause of the losses is attributed to high R&D expenditures and low gross margins, with a gross margin of 16.2% in 2024, which, although improved from 9.5% in 2022, remains below industry averages [2][8]. - R&D expenses have consistently been high, while raw material costs increased by 17.5% in 2024 due to price hikes from suppliers like Bosch, further squeezing profit margins [2][8]. Group 3: Customer and Supply Chain Concentration Risks - The company faces significant risks due to extreme concentration in its customer base, with over 98% of revenue coming from the top five customers, and a single largest customer contributing nearly 60% [3][9]. - In 2024, revenue growth slowed to 15.6% due to weak sales from the largest customer, and revenue in the first half of 2025 declined by 0.7%, highlighting the adverse effects of customer concentration [3][9]. - The company's reliance on Bosch is critical, with 82.9% of purchases in 2023 and 80.3% in 2024 coming from them, which limits Cheliantianxia's bargaining power and supply chain autonomy [3][9]. Group 4: Industry Competition and IPO Challenges - Cheliantianxia operates in a highly competitive market, ranking second in China's smart cockpit domain, but faces challenges from competitors with stronger technological innovations [4][10]. - The IPO proceeds are intended for R&D and capacity enhancement, but the market is focused on whether the company can address three key challenges: profitability, customer structure optimization, and supply chain resilience [4][10]. - The company's debt ratio stands at 198.3%, with cumulative losses of 1.272 billion yuan, raising concerns about maintaining high valuations post-IPO if profitability is not quickly demonstrated [4][10]. Group 5: Conclusion on Value Reassessment - The IPO of Cheliantianxia represents a shift from scale expansion to quality survival in the smart automotive supply chain sector, revealing the real challenges faced by the industry after a period of enthusiasm [5][11].

Core Viewpoint - The company Cheliantianxia is applying for a listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to raise capital despite ongoing losses and negative cash flow from operations [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Cheliantianxia was established in 2014 and specializes in providing intelligent cockpit domain controllers, cockpit and driving integration domain controllers, and the Autosee OS software platform to automotive manufacturers [1]. - The company ranks second in China's intelligent cockpit domain controller market by revenue in 2024, according to Frost & Sullivan [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Cheliantianxia's revenue has increased sixfold over the past three years, from 369 million RMB in 2022 to 2.298 billion RMB in 2023, representing a year-on-year growth of 523.3%. The revenue is projected to reach 2.656 billion RMB in 2024, with a growth rate of 15.6% [1]. - However, the company has not achieved profitability, reporting net losses of 514 million RMB, 201 million RMB, and 253 million RMB for 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively, totaling nearly 1 billion RMB in losses over three years [1]. - In the first half of 2025, the net loss significantly increased to 262 million RMB, compared to 78.4 million RMB in the same period last year [1]. Group 3: Cash Flow and Business Structure - The operating cash flow has been consistently negative, with net outflows of 250 million RMB, 697 million RMB, 1.011 billion RMB, and 335 million RMB for 2022, 2023, 2024, and the first half of 2025, respectively [2]. - The company attributes the negative cash flow to substantial investments in product development, technological innovation, and customer acquisition, with no assurance of generating positive cash flow from operations in the future [2]. - Cheliantianxia's product offerings primarily consist of in-vehicle computing solutions, with 100% of revenue in 2024 coming from this segment. The regional controller segment has not yet generated significant revenue, contributing only 227,700 RMB in 2025, accounting for 0.2% of total revenue [2]. Group 4: Customer and Supplier Concentration - The company has a high concentration of customers and suppliers, with the top five customers contributing over 95% of total revenue, and the largest customer accounting for more than 40% of revenue [2][3]. - Bosch, the largest supplier, accounts for approximately 80% of procurement expenses [2]. - Cheliantianxia's customer base includes major automotive manufacturers such as Geely, Chery, and GAC, with the number of customers increasing from 5 in 2022 to 14 in the first half of 2025 [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 145.23 RMB [6][4]. Core Views - The company experienced a quarter-on-quarter revenue decline in Q3 2025, attributed to price pressures from downstream customers, but year-on-year revenue growth remains positive [1][2]. - The outlook for Q4 2025 and 2026 is optimistic, particularly in the ADAS and L4 autonomous driving sectors, with expectations for improved profitability driven by cost reduction and efficiency gains [1][3]. Summary by Sections Q3 2025 Performance - The company reported Q3 2025 revenue of 1.555 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 2.40% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 1.57%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 11.92 million RMB, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 115.52% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 63.89% [1][2]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue reached 4.464 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25.88%, while the net profit was -75.05 million RMB, indicating a year-on-year improvement of 81.70% [2]. Q4 2025 and 2026 Outlook - The company is expected to continue its revenue growth trend into 2026, driven by smart driving electronic products and autonomous driving solutions. Key clients like Geely, Xiaopeng, Xiaomi, and FAW are anticipated to enter stable production phases [3]. - The company aims to enhance profitability through improved R&D efficiency and cost control, with L4 autonomous driving platform products expected to accelerate commercialization [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are maintained at 7.39 billion RMB, 9.53 billion RMB, and 11.68 billion RMB, respectively, with corresponding net profits projected at 66.10 million RMB, 361.79 million RMB, and 607.76 million RMB [4][10]. - The report anticipates a gradual improvement in gross margins, with estimates of 23.9%, 24.8%, and 25.3% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4].

Group 1 - The core value of Junsheng Electronics' Hong Kong listing is to establish a dual capital platform to overcome growth bottlenecks, with a planned issuance of up to 283 million overseas ordinary shares [1] - The company aims to invest 3.7 billion yuan in R&D in 2024, with over 24 billion yuan accumulated in the past five years, leveraging the Hong Kong market's valuation recognition for technology and manufacturing enterprises [1] - The fundraising will focus on the development of next-generation automotive intelligent solutions, smart manufacturing upgrades, and overseas acquisitions, directly aligning with the trends of smart electrification and embodied intelligence [1] Group 2 - Junsheng Electronics' automotive safety solutions hold a 30% global market share, ranking second globally, with over 66% of new orders in the first half of 2025 coming from new energy [2] - The company has established a "Local for Local" system with over 25 R&D centers and 60 production bases globally, with overseas revenue expected to account for 74.7% in 2024, effectively mitigating regional market fluctuations [2] - Financial data indicates a 12% year-on-year revenue increase to 30.347 billion yuan and an 11.13% net profit increase to 700 million yuan in the first half of 2025, with improving gross margins and strong operating cash flow supporting global expansion [2]

Core Viewpoint - Junsheng Electronics (600699.SH) is set to embark on a new capital journey as it prepares for its listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, having passed the listing hearing, which is expected to impact the global intelligent driving and robotics landscape significantly [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - Junsheng Electronics is positioned as a "Tier 1" supplier in the "automotive + robotics" sector, becoming the second-largest independent automotive parts supplier in China and the fourth-largest globally in intelligent cockpit domain control systems [2][3]. - The company has a strong market presence, holding approximately 30% of the global market share in automotive passive safety products and being one of the first suppliers to mass-produce 5G-V2X and high-voltage fast charging products [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2022, Junsheng Electronics reported revenues of 49.79 billion yuan, with projections of 55.73 billion yuan in 2023 and 55.86 billion yuan in 2024. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 394 million yuan in 2022, expected to rise to 1.08 billion yuan in 2023 and then slightly decrease to 960 million yuan in 2024 [2]. - For the first half of the year, the company achieved revenues of 30.35 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12%, and a net profit of 700 million yuan, up 11.13% year-on-year [3]. Group 3: Business Growth and Strategy - Junsheng Electronics has seen rapid growth in its automotive intelligence business, with over 66% of new orders in the first half of the year related to new energy vehicles, indicating a strong focus on intelligent automotive solutions [3][4]. - The company has established over 25 R&D centers and more than 60 production bases globally, with overseas sales projected to account for 74.7% of total revenue in 2024, showcasing its robust global strategy [5]. Group 4: Future Prospects - The company is strategically expanding into the embodied intelligence sector, aiming to create a second growth curve by leveraging its experience in automotive components [5][6]. - Junsheng Electronics plans to use the funds raised from its IPO for R&D in next-generation automotive intelligent solutions, enhancing manufacturing capabilities, optimizing supply chain management, and expanding overseas operations [7].

Group 1 - The company has recently secured projects from two leading automotive manufacturers for smart vehicle technology, with an estimated total order value of approximately 15 billion yuan, set to begin mass production in 2027 [4] - The recognition from top clients signifies the company's development capabilities and product quality in the smart platform sector, which is expected to enhance its market position amid the rising trend of automotive intelligence [1][2] - The company is actively engaged in the development of various smart driving and connected vehicle products, including a high-performance vehicle computer and 5G smart networking products [1][2] Group 2 - The increasing penetration of smart driving technology is anticipated to provide the company with more market opportunities, especially with recent government initiatives to promote smart connected vehicles [2] - The company is exploring the application of optical modules in vehicles to meet future data transmission and bandwidth requirements for advanced smart driving and high-speed connectivity [2]

Core Insights - Junsheng Electronics has recently received project notifications from two leading automotive OEMs to develop and provide a range of automotive intelligent products globally, with a total order value of approximately 15 billion yuan expected over the project's lifecycle, starting mass production in 2027 [1] - The recognition from top clients highlights the company's development capabilities and quality performance in intelligent platform products, solidifying its market position and laying a strong foundation for expanding into new global markets amid the automotive intelligence upgrade era [1] Group 1 - The company has been focusing on intelligent driving, cockpit integration, and intelligent connectivity in the automotive sector, maintaining technological sensitivity and leadership in niche markets [3] - Junsheng Electronics has achieved breakthroughs in products like CCU and is actively developing next-generation high-performance vehicle computers, 5G intelligent connectivity products, and regional controllers to strengthen its technological barriers [3] - The company leverages its "Local for Local" global strategy to empower overseas automotive manufacturers with advanced technologies and products from the Chinese market while serving domestic automakers [3] Group 2 - Junsheng Electronics has established stable partnerships with companies like Momenta, Qualcomm, Horizon Robotics, Black Sesame, and Huawei, focusing on core products in cockpit integration, integrated driving and parking, and vehicle networking [4] - The recent push by the government to promote intelligent connected vehicles and approve L3 vehicle production has accelerated the industrial application of intelligent driving and connectivity technologies, stimulating demand in the new energy vehicle market [4] - The company is exploring the application of optical modules in the automotive sector to meet future high-level intelligent driving and high-speed connectivity requirements for data transmission rates and bandwidth [4]

Core Insights - Junsheng Electronics (600699) announced on September 15 that it has recently secured global designations for automotive intelligence projects from two leading OEM clients, which will involve providing integrated smart driving, connected intelligence, and smart cockpit central computing units (CCU) [1] - The total expected order value over the full lifecycle is approximately 15 billion yuan, with mass production planned for 2027 [1] - The company is actively advancing localization adaptation solutions for its smart business in major global automotive markets, indicating recognition of its development capabilities and product quality by top global clients [1] Product Development - Junsheng Electronics is currently developing new products, including a next-generation integrated high-performance automotive brain, central integrated smart cockpit domain controllers, 5G smart connected products, and regional controllers [1] - The company is also exploring the application of optical modules in automotive technology [1] Market Position - In 2023, Junsheng Electronics has experienced a rapid growth phase in its smart auxiliary driving and cockpit integration businesses, securing multiple orders for smart driving products from first-tier automotive brands [1] - The company is becoming an important player in the global smart driving sector [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 140.11 CNY [6][4]. Core Insights - The company achieved profitability in Q2 2025, with a revenue of 15.8 billion CNY, marking a year-on-year growth of 38.9% and a net profit of 0.33 billion CNY [1][2]. - The company's electronic products business is experiencing rapid growth, driven by increased production for major clients like Xiaomi and XPeng, and a strong focus on automotive electronics [2][3]. - The company is well-positioned in the L4 autonomous driving sector, with ongoing projects in ports and plans for RoboTruck and Robotaxi services [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported revenues of 29.08 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 43.48%, and a narrowed net loss of 0.87 billion CNY compared to a loss of 2.46 billion CNY in the same period last year [1]. - The gross margin improved to 23.15%, up 0.59 percentage points year-on-year, while R&D expense ratio decreased to 15.12%, down 11.39 percentage points year-on-year [1][2]. Business Outlook - The company has a robust order book in the automotive electronics sector and is enhancing its L4 autonomous driving capabilities [3]. - The report projects revenue growth for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 73.9 billion CNY, 95.3 billion CNY, and 116.8 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding net profit estimates of 0.66 billion CNY, 3.62 billion CNY, and 6.08 billion CNY [4][10]. Valuation - The target price of 140.11 CNY reflects an increase from the previous valuation of 85.72 CNY, based on the company's unique position in the market and its comprehensive product offerings [4][6]. - The report employs a Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) valuation method, estimating hardware and software business contributions to net profit for 2026E at 2.5 billion CNY and 1.1 billion CNY respectively [4][13].