Macro - The likelihood of achieving a 5% economic growth target for the year is high, with a decreasing necessity and intensity for incremental policies in the second half of the year [1] - Continuous price pressure has negatively impacted the normal circulation of the national economy, leading to a focus on addressing price issues through unconventional macroeconomic policies [1][2] - The phenomenon of "involution" in both supply and demand sides has intensified downward price pressures, with low capacity utilization and excessive capital expenditure on the supply side, and long working hours suppressing consumer demand on the demand side [2][3] Strategy - The IPO process in Hong Kong involves both public offerings and international placements, with the former primarily targeting retail investors, leading to a liquidity "drain" effect due to the need for investors to freeze funds for subscriptions [6][8] - The introduction of the FINI system in 2023 has significantly reduced the liquidity pressure associated with IPOs by allowing for a pre-set funding compression mechanism, which can save approximately 71% of the funds that would have been frozen historically [8] - The launch of the first batch of Sci-Tech Bond ETFs on July 7, 2025, raised 29 billion yuan, marking a significant expansion in the Sci-Tech bond market, which has seen rapid growth due to supportive policies [9][10] - The current Sci-Tech bonds are predominantly issued by state-owned enterprises, with a significant portion allocated to the banking sector, indicating a strong focus on financing technology innovation [10][11] Non-Bank Financials - The securities industry is expected to benefit from a stable equity market and a recovering bond market, with significant growth in financing activities driven by state-owned banks [22][23] - The competitive landscape is shifting towards a focus on functionality and profitability, with a notable increase in the concentration of leading firms in the industry [24][25] - The capital market is stabilizing, with various funding sources supporting a potential upward breakout in equity markets, positioning brokerages as key players in this trend [26][27] Real Estate - The valuation of major real estate companies is believed to have entered an investment range, with a focus on the "demand bottom" and the dynamics of supply and demand relationships [28] - A potential decline in new housing prices is anticipated, with second-hand housing listings expected to decrease in the coming years, indicating a stabilization in the market [28] Fund Evaluation - The report highlights the regulatory framework surrounding performance benchmarks for mutual funds in the U.S., emphasizing the importance of appropriate benchmark selection for fund performance evaluation [29][30] - U.S. actively managed funds predominantly use single benchmarks, with a high correlation between fund performance and benchmark indices, contrasting with the more complex benchmark structures often seen in China [30][31]

继发行期"一日售罄"之后，7月17日业内首批10只科创债ETF集体上市。从上报到获批，再到发行和上 市，整个过程不到一个月。科创债ETF的"火箭式"速度，标志着我国债市"科技板"建设迈出了更坚实的 步伐。上市之后，这批创新产品可以在二级市场进行交易，科创债市场流动性有望持续提升，为科技领 域注入更多金融活水。 作为债券ETF大厂的新品，今日科创债ETF富国(159200)也正式登陆深交所挂牌交易，为投资者提供更 稳健的科创领域布局工具。据悉，科创债ETF富国(159200)跟踪中证AAA科创债指数(下称"AAA科创债 指数")，汇聚了沪深交易所的优质科创债。为了尽可能将"科创"属性的风险降至最低，指数对成分券资 质要求极高，需满足主体评级AAA、隐含评级AA+及以上标准，央企、国企发行人占比达到了99%， 信用风险较低。 此外，科创债ETF在流动性方面也有较好的保障。一方面，当前政策对科创债的支持力度空间，在央行 提出构建债券市场"科技板"后，一揽子科创债配套政策推出，助力提升科创债流动性。更值得一提的 是，上市后科创债ETF富国的流动性有望更上一层楼。传统的信用债投资动辄需要百万级资金，以及严 格的信用资质 ...

Group 1 - The first batch of Sci-Tech Innovation Bond ETFs has been announced, with the first fund, Sci-Tech Bond ETF (551900), raising a total of 2.991 billion yuan and having 4,721 effective subscription accounts, ranking first among six listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange [1] - The Sci-Tech Bond ETF (551900) tracks the AAA Sci-Tech Bond Index, which selects bonds rated AAA or above, providing a broader coverage of high-quality bonds in the market with a total market value exceeding 1 trillion yuan [1] - The ETF supports T+0 trading and has a low comprehensive fee rate of only 0.2% per year, utilizing a physical redemption model to reduce trading friction costs and price uncertainty, making it an ideal tool for investors in the Sci-Tech bond market [1] Group 2 - The Sci-Tech bond market is expected to continue expanding under policy incentives, with over 620 billion yuan in issuance since the new policy was announced, and a total outstanding scale of 2.5 trillion yuan, providing ample underlying asset support for the ETFs [2] - Institutions and funds are likely to increase their focus on and participation in Sci-Tech bonds, with the ETFs offering low fees, transparency in holdings, and efficient trading mechanisms [2] - Social security funds, pension funds, and insurance capital can use Sci-Tech Bond ETFs as tools to implement national strategies and optimize asset allocation, while individual investors can participate in Sci-Tech bond investments at low cost and high efficiency through ETFs [2]

证券研究报告 | 债券专题报告 2025 年 7 月 7 日 科创债 ETF 启航 固定收益&基金评价联合深度报告 2025 年 6 月 18 日证监会主席吴清在 2025 陆家嘴论坛上明确将加快推出科创 债 ETF，当日 10 家公募基金同步上报首批科创债 ETF，首批科创债 ETF 已于 7 月 2 日下午正式获批。科创债 ETF 推出背景如何，有哪些产品特征，推出后 对债券市场有哪些影响，本文将对这些问题进行分析。 一、政策红利驱动科创债市场扩容，科创债 ETF 迅速落地 2025 年 5 月央行证监会联合公告拓宽科创债发行主体范围，并明确鼓励创设科 创债 ETF。新政发布以来科创债发行规模已超 6200 亿元，科创债存量规模达 2.5 万亿元，为科创债 ETF 提供充足底层资产。科创债 ETF 政策落地迅速，首 批 10 只科创债 ETF 拟 7 月 7 日发行。 二、首批 ETF 跟踪三大指数，特征对比鲜明 首批科创债 ETF 跟踪指数包括：AAA 科创债指数、沪 AAA 科创债指数、深 AAA 科创债指数。 1、收益风险方面：累计收益角度，AAA 科创债指数与沪 AAA 科创债指数累计 收益较高且 ...

Core Viewpoint - The launch of the first batch of Sci-Tech Innovation Bond ETFs is a significant development, providing investors with a new tool to invest in the technology innovation sector and capture bond market benefits [1][10]. Group 1: Market Overview - The Sci-Tech Innovation Bonds are issued by technology innovation enterprises, primarily to support financing in the technology innovation sector, playing a crucial role in promoting real economic development [2]. - The current balance of the Sci-Tech Innovation Bond market in China has reached 2.45 trillion yuan, with expectations for continued issuance and growth in the index under supportive policies [2]. Group 2: Index Characteristics - The AAA Sci-Tech Innovation Bond Index covers both Shanghai and Shenzhen markets, consisting of 810 bonds with a maximum single bond weight of 1%, effectively diversifying the risk of individual bond defaults [3]. - All bonds in the AAA Sci-Tech Innovation Bond Index are from issuers with an AAA rating, with over 99% of the bonds issued by central state-owned enterprises, highlighting their high credit quality [4]. Group 3: Historical Performance - The AAA Sci-Tech Innovation Bond Index has shown a cumulative return of 14.05% since inception, with an annualized return of 4.63%, outperforming other bond indices [7]. - In the past year, the index achieved a return of 3.76% with a volatility of only 0.23%, indicating stable performance amid declining market interest rates [7]. Group 4: ETF Features - The Sci-Tech Innovation Bond ETF offers high liquidity, tracking an index with over 800 component bonds and a market value exceeding one trillion yuan, with a significant portion being market-making bonds [10]. - The ETF is designed to minimize trading costs through a physical redemption model, which reduces price uncertainty and transaction friction [12]. - The ETF allows T+0 trading with a comprehensive fee rate of 0.2%, facilitating flexible trading for investors [13]. - The management team of the ETF has extensive experience, managing over 690 billion yuan in public offerings, with a strong historical performance in fixed income investments [14].