Core Viewpoint - TSMC reported a 35% increase in profits for Q4, reaching approximately $16 billion, marking a historic high and exceeding market expectations, driven by the AI boom [3][4] Group 1: Financial Performance - TSMC achieved a profit of about $16 billion in Q4, a 35% increase year-over-year, and has seen double-digit growth for seven consecutive quarters [3] - The company forecasts a 40% year-over-year revenue growth for Q1, expecting to reach $35.8 billion [3] - TSMC plans to increase capital expenditures by up to 37% in 2026, reaching $56 billion [3] Group 2: Market Dynamics - Despite uncertainties from Trump's trade policies and potential tariffs on semiconductors, TSMC's profits continue to rise due to the AI industry's growth [3] - TSMC is the highest-valued listed company in Asia, with a market capitalization of approximately $1.4 trillion, more than double that of its competitor Samsung [4] Group 3: Investment and Production Strategy - TSMC is increasing investments in U.S. chip manufacturing, with a $100 billion investment plan announced last year, including $65 billion for three factories in Arizona [5] - The U.S. currently produces only about 10% of its required chips, highlighting a significant reliance on overseas supply chains [5] Group 4: Regulatory Environment - Trump's recent announcement includes a 25% tariff on certain AI chips to encourage domestic production, aiming to reduce reliance on foreign manufacturers like TSMC [5][6] - Analysts note that the complex nature of the semiconductor supply chain makes it unrealistic to localize all production processes in one location [6]

Group 1: Market Developments - Tensions in Iran are escalating, with warnings issued to neighboring countries hosting U.S. military bases regarding potential strikes if the U.S. intervenes in domestic protests [1] - Concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve have arisen following threats from the Trump administration against Fed Chairman Powell, leading to support from global central bank leaders [1] - The U.S. White House announced a 25% import tariff on certain semiconductor products starting January 15, affecting companies like Nvidia and AMD [1] Group 2: Gold Market Analysis - Gold prices rebounded significantly due to a weaker dollar and escalating tensions in Iran, as investors sought safe-haven assets [2] - The price of gold reached a historic high of $4643 per ounce, with potential for further increases if it surpasses $4650, targeting $4700 [2] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates that bullish momentum may be waning, with a critical support level at $4500 per ounce if prices fall below $4600 [2] Group 3: Technical Analysis - The daily chart for gold (XAUUSD) shows a bullish trend, with resistance levels at 4610, 4626, and 4638, and support levels at 4584, 4575, and 4568 [3] - The daily chart for Euro to USD (EURUSD) also indicates a bullish trend, with resistance at 1.1644, 1.1654, and 1.1663, and support at 1.1629, 1.1818, and 1.1607 [4] Group 4: Key Economic Indicators - Upcoming economic indicators include initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending January 10, the New York Fed manufacturing index, and the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index, all scheduled for release at 21:30 [4]