Core Viewpoint - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of commodity market trends, highlighting price fluctuations, trading volumes, and capital flows across various sectors, including financial futures, precious metals, non-ferrous metals, and black commodities. Group 1: Financial Futures - The CSI 300 futures increased by 0.76% over the last five days and 21.76% year-to-date [10] - The SSE 50 futures rose by 0.39% in the last five days, with a year-to-date increase of 14.24% [10] - The CSI 500 futures showed a 0.95% increase over five days and a significant 38.67% rise year-to-date [10] Group 2: Precious Metals - SHFE gold futures experienced a slight increase of 0.15% over the last five days, with a substantial year-to-date gain of 52.53% [10] - SHFE silver futures saw a more pronounced increase of 2.06% over the last five days and an impressive 80.69% year-to-date [10] Group 3: Non-Ferrous Metals - SHFE copper futures rose by 1.54% over the last five days, with a year-to-date increase of 26.21% [11] - SHFE aluminum futures increased by 0.27% in the last five days, with a year-to-date gain of 12.87% [11] - SHFE lead futures showed a modest increase of 0.23% over the last five days, with a year-to-date increase of 2.64% [11] Group 4: Black Commodities - SHFE rebar futures decreased by 1.30% over the last five days, with a year-to-date decline of 10.59% [12] - DCE iron ore futures fell by 1.14% in the last five days, but have increased by 6.84% year-to-date [12] - DCE coking coal futures experienced a significant drop of 6.14% over the last five days, with a year-to-date decline of 26.28% [12]

Core Viewpoint - The report provides a comprehensive analysis of the performance of various futures contracts across different sectors, highlighting price changes and trends over multiple time frames. Group 1: Financial and Precious Metals Futures - The Shanghai Composite 300 futures decreased by 0.13%, while the Shanghai 50 futures fell by 0.20% [8] - The year-to-date performance for the Shanghai Composite 300 futures is up 17.07%, and for the Shanghai 50 futures, it is up 11.57% [8] - The CFFEX 2-year treasury futures showed a slight increase of 0.01% [8] Group 2: Nonferrous Metals and New Energy Materials - SHFE copper futures increased by 0.09%, while SHFE aluminum futures decreased by 0.40% [9] - The year-to-date performance for SHFE copper is up 16.85%, while SHFE aluminum is up 8.34% [9] - GFEX polysilicon futures rose by 1.15%, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 26.07% [9] Group 3: Black Commodities - SHFE rebar futures increased by 0.95%, while SHFE hot-rolled coil futures rose by 0.67% [10] - DCE iron ore futures showed a modest increase of 0.44% [10] - The year-to-date performance for SHFE rebar is down 10.54% [10] Group 4: Agricultural Products - DCE corn futures increased by 1.69%, while DCE soybean meal futures decreased by 0.20% [11] - The year-to-date performance for DCE corn is down 1.36%, while DCE soybean meal is up 3.62% [11] - CZCE cotton futures rose by 0.85%, reflecting a year-to-date decrease of 2.16% [11] Group 5: Energy and Chemicals - CZCE soda ash futures increased by 1.02%, while INE crude oil futures decreased by 1.13% [12] - The year-to-date performance for CZCE soda ash is down 25.37%, while INE crude oil is down 8.52% [12] - SHFE rubber futures decreased by 0.33%, reflecting a year-to-date decline of 19.91% [12]

Core Insights - The report provides a comprehensive overview of the performance of various futures contracts across different sectors, highlighting price changes and trends over multiple time frames. Group 1: Financial and Precious Metals - The Shanghai Composite 300 futures decreased by 0.69%, with a year-to-date increase of 19.81% [8] - The SHFE gold futures rose by 0.22%, while the year-to-date increase stands at 48.84% [8] - The SHFE silver futures increased by 0.75%, with a year-to-date increase of 58.85% [8] Group 2: Nonferrous Metals and New Energy Materials - SHFE copper futures rose by 0.19%, with a year-to-date increase of 16.92% [9] - SHFE aluminum futures decreased by 0.05%, with a year-to-date increase of 9.10% [9] - GFEX lithium carbonate futures increased by 0.84%, with a year-to-date increase of 28.12% [9] Group 3: Black Commodities - SHFE rebar futures fell by 1.01%, with a year-to-date decrease of 11.67% [10] - DCE iron ore futures decreased by 0.32%, with a year-to-date increase of 8.21% [10] - DCE coking coal futures dropped by 3.17%, with a year-to-date decrease of 18.57% [10] Group 4: Agricultural Products - DCE soybean meal futures decreased by 0.46%, with a year-to-date increase of 3.83% [11] - CZCE apple futures increased by 1.26%, with a year-to-date increase of 36.24% [11] - DCE live hog futures fell by 1.00%, with a year-to-date decrease of 21.55% [11] Group 5: Energy and Chemicals - INE crude oil futures decreased by 1.66%, with a year-to-date decrease of 6.97% [12] - DCE ethylene glycol futures fell by 2.05%, with a year-to-date decrease of 21.88% [12] - CZCE soda ash futures dropped by 2.93%, with a year-to-date decrease of 26.95% [12]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the harsh realities of the futures market, indicating that a significant majority of participants are unlikely to achieve long-term success, with estimates suggesting that only 0.1% will be profitable over three years and 0.01% over ten years [3][5][8] - In 2024, the domestic futures trading volume reached 619 trillion, with an estimated total fee of around 80 billion, leading to the disappearance of approximately 140,000 medium-sized accounts annually [6][7] - The article discusses the impact of the "Big and Beautiful" Act on commodity investments, particularly how it may reduce demand for industrial metals like silver and copper while benefiting traditional energy sources like crude oil [9][10] Group 2 - The article outlines the current market dynamics for various commodities, indicating that the futures market is predominantly long for financial indices and certain metals, while short positions dominate in others like paper pulp and pure alkali [12] - It highlights the potential for a rebound in the glass market driven by policy and sentiment, suggesting specific trading strategies for both long positions and hedging [20][21][22] - The discussion on copper emphasizes the tactical implications of tariffs and the need for a realistic understanding of market conditions, suggesting that the current situation is more about short-term volatility rather than long-term direction [15][16]