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国信期货:降息预期持续发酵 白银将维持高位震荡
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-12-05 08:05
【白银期货行情表现】12月5日,沪银主力暂报13687元/千克,涨幅0.45%,今日沪银主力开盘价13382 元/千克,截至目前最高13750元/千克,最低13232元/千克。 【宏观消息】 【机构观点】 周四公布的数据显示,上周美国初请失业金人数降至19.1万人,是逾三年来最低,远低于经济学家预期 的22万人。该数据降低了市场对美国劳动市场恶化的担忧,但并未改变市场对下周美联储降息的预期。 投资者目前正密切关注将于周五公布的美国9月PCE物价指数报告,这是美联储最青睐的通胀指标。北 京时间周五23:00,美国经济分析局将公布9月份个人消费支出(PCE)物价指数,势必会引发金融市场的 剧烈波动。 金瑞期货:白银方面,目前现货紧张,进一步推动了银价的偏强。且中长期来说,宏观上包括主权国家 赤字问题、地缘风险以及去美元化驱动的央行购金等因素并未改变,白银长期供需矛盾导致的缺货也未 改变,金银价格的长期核心驱动因素仍保持稳健,短期调整不改长期趋势,且下方空间相对有限。 Comex白银运行区间54-60美元/盎司,沪银运行区间12600-13000元/千克。 大越期货:供应短缺博弈明显降温,银价从高位回落,但12月美 ...
美国ADP数据爆冷 预计沪银期货或将维持偏强
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-07-03 07:03
Group 1 - The domestic futures market for non-ferrous metals showed a strong performance, with silver futures experiencing a price increase of approximately 1.90% [1] - The main contract for silver opened at 8784.00 yuan/kg, reaching a high of 8964.00 yuan and a low of 8781.00 yuan during the trading session [1] - Analysts suggest that the unexpected negative ADP employment data has raised concerns about the economy and increased the likelihood of quicker interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which supports precious metal prices [1][2] Group 2 - The market is closely monitoring upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll data, as discrepancies between this data and ADP figures could shift market expectations [2] - Current market sentiment indicates a 27% expectation for a rate cut in July, influenced by the recent ADP data [2] - Analysts caution that while silver prices are trending upwards, the strength of this trend should be approached with caution, pending further economic data [2]