Key Takeaways Salesforce is banking on Agentforce to counter revenue growth slowing to single digits.CRM's Agentforce and Data Cloud delivered $1.4B in Q3 recurring revenues, up 114% year over year.CRM ended Q3 with $29.4B in remaining performance obligations, up 11% on larger deals and renewals.Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) is betting on Agentforce to reignite its revenue growth, which has slowed to single digits. For years, the company has delivered strong double-digit revenue increases. That pace has now cooled ...

Core Insights - Oracle has introduced new AI agents within its Fusion Cloud Applications to enhance supply chain efficiency and decision-making [1][2] - The company reported a 14% year-over-year revenue increase in Q2 fiscal 2026, with cloud revenues rising 34% [3][8] - Oracle maintains its full-year revenue guidance at $67 billion and anticipates third-quarter cloud revenue growth of 40-44% [4] Product Developments - New AI agents include a Planning Cycle Agent, Component Replacement Agent, and others focused on inventory, logistics, order management, and maintenance [2] - The AI agents are integrated at no additional cost for existing customers and are supported by a marketplace of over 32,000 certified AI agent experts [2][5] Financial Performance - Total revenues for Oracle reached $16.1 billion, with cloud revenues at $8.0 billion and SaaS revenues at $3.9 billion [3][8] - Non-GAAP earnings per share increased by 54% to $2.26, while Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) surged 438% to $523 billion [3] Competitive Landscape - Oracle faces competition from Google and Microsoft, both of which are integrating AI into their cloud applications [5] - Microsoft has launched autonomous AI agents across its Dynamics 365 suite, while Google is expanding its Vertex AI capabilities [5] Stock Performance and Valuation - Oracle's stock has decreased by 37.8% over the past six months, underperforming the sector [6] - The current Price/Earnings ratio for Oracle is 28.15x, above the industry average of 26.41x, indicating a premium valuation [12]

One investing mistake I made about five years ago was selling Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) stock. I made a solid profit on the initial investment, then sold the shares when they were trading at about $150. With the stock at over $400 now, that was clearly a huge error. While Microsoft stock may not be that cheap anymore, it is cheaper than it has been in recent months. Thanks to a huge sell-off following its fiscal year 2026 Q2 earnings announcement (Q2 ended Dec. 31), Microsoft stock is now down more than 20% ...

Core Viewpoint - The sell-off in software stocks is considered overdone by Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang, who argues that the market has overreacted to concerns about AI disrupting the software industry [1][5]. Software Industry Overview - The S&P North American Technology Software Index has declined 30% from its peak, entering bear market territory, driven by fears surrounding AI's impact on software companies [1]. - Huang believes that AI tools will complement existing software rather than replace it, suggesting that the current market sentiment is illogical [5]. Attractive Software Stocks - **Microsoft (MSFT)**: Stock down 27% from its high, currently trading at 26 times earnings, with adjusted earnings up 24% last quarter and a 160% increase in paid copilot seats [6]. - **Datadog (DDOG)**: Stock down 47% from its high, trading at 53 times adjusted earnings, with adjusted earnings increasing 20% last quarter despite high R&D spending [7]. - **AppLovin (APP)**: Stock down 52% from its high, trading at 45 times earnings, with earnings up 96% last quarter [8]. - **Atlassian (TEAM)**: Stock down 70% from its high, trading at 22 times earnings, with adjusted earnings increasing 27% last quarter [9]. - **HubSpot (HUBS)**: Stock down 73% from its high, trading at 25 times earnings, with adjusted earnings up 22% last quarter [9]. Market Outlook - While software stocks may continue to decline in the near term, long-term investors are likely to benefit from purchasing stocks at reasonable prices, anticipating significant earnings growth over the next five years [10].

OpenAI expects its revenue to explode over the next few years. 2026 revenue could top $25 billion, according to internal documents. That could climb to nearly $200 billion by 2030. To put that in perspective, Nvidia generated $187 billion over the last 12 months. There's no doubt OpenAI is one of the most important companies in the artificial intelligence (AI) industry. Its success (or failure) is reverberating across dozens of companies. But if it meets its 2026 revenue expectations, it could be great ne ...

Core Insights - Information Services Group (ISG) has initiated a research study focused on service providers that assist enterprises in redesigning business processes using Microsoft's AI-embedded platforms [1][2] - The study aims to address key AI-related challenges faced by enterprises, including cultural shifts, trust, large-scale adoption, and return on investment, as organizations strive to become human-led and agent-operated [2][5] Research Study Details - The findings from the study will be published in a series of ISG Provider Lens reports titled "Microsoft AI and Cloud Ecosystem," set to be released in July 2026 [2] - The reports will evaluate companies providing Microsoft productivity and business process services, Azure-based data transformation and AI services, Azure managed services, and Azure-focused professional services [2][4] Evaluation Framework - Enterprise buyers will utilize the reports to assess current vendor relationships and explore potential new engagements, while ISG advisors will leverage the information to recommend providers to clients [3] - The research will categorize providers into four quadrants based on their services: 1. Microsoft Productivity and Business Process Services 2. Azure Data Transformation and AI Services 3. Azure Managed Services 4. Azure Professional Services [5][7] Geographic Focus - The study will include geographically focused reports covering the global Microsoft AI and cloud ecosystem market, with specific insights into regions such as Asia Pacific, Brazil, Germany, Switzerland, and the U.S. [6] Provider Assessment Criteria - Providers will be evaluated on their capabilities to modernize digital workplaces, implement automated business processes, and deliver governed, scalable, and responsible AI solutions [7] - The assessment will also consider providers' ability to integrate operational platforms with Azure's native tools and align technical strategies with long-term business objectives while adhering to compliance standards [7]

报告摘要 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户，用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便， 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 事件： 美国东部时间2026年1月28日盘后，微软发布 FY26Q2业绩公告。美国东部时间2026年1月29日盘后，微软 股价收跌9.99%。 FY26Q2生产力和企业流程部门实现收入341亿美元，同比增长16%。其中，Microsoft 365商业云收入同比 增长17%，消费者云收入同比增长29%，Dynamics 365 收入同比增长19%，显示Copilot等AI功能对企业与 个人用户ARPU形成持续拉动。LinkedIn 收入同比增长11%，在宏观环境偏谨慎背景下表现稳健。更多个 人计算部门收入143亿美元，同比下降3%。其中，Windows OEM与设备收入小幅增长1%，Xbox内容与服 务收入同比下降5%，搜索与 ...

2026 年 1 月 31 日 公司研究 生产力与企业流程稳健增长，Azure 增长受可分配算力限制 ——微软（MSFT.O）2026 财年二季报业绩点评 要点 事件：美国东部时间 2026 年 1 月 28 日盘后，微软发布 FY26Q2 业绩公告。 美国东部时间 2026 年 1 月 29 日盘后，微软股价收跌 9.99%。 FY26Q2 业绩超预期系投资收益拉动。FY26Q2 微软实现营业收入 813 亿美元， 同比增长 17%，略高于市场一致预期；实现营业利润 383 亿美元，同比增长 21%，对应营业利润率 47.1%；GAAP 口径下净利润 385 亿美元，同比增长 60%，主要受 OpenAI 投资重估收益拉动；剔除 OpenAI 投资影响后的 non-GAAP 净利润 309 亿美元，同比增长 23%。 Azure 增速维持高位，但收入增长受可分配算力限制。FY26Q2 智能云实现收 入约 329 亿美元，同比增长 29%，整体增速与前期水平接近，主要反映既有 云业务与存量客户扩容的延续；其中 Azure 及其他云服务收入同比增长 39%， 与 FY26Q1 基本持平，增速未进一步上行，公司指 ...

Core Insights - Microsoft reported second-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings of $4.14 per share, exceeding estimates by 6.7% and showing a 24% year-over-year increase [1] - Revenues reached $81.3 billion, a 17% year-over-year growth, surpassing estimates by 1.3% [1] - Commercial bookings surged 230%, driven by significant Azure commitments and large contracts [2] Financial Performance - Microsoft Cloud revenues totaled $51.5 billion, growing 26% year over year, with a gross margin percentage of 67% [3] - Operating income reached $20.6 billion, with an operating margin of 60.4% [9] - Gross profit was $55.3 billion, up 15.6% year over year, with a gross margin of 68% [20] Segment Performance - The Productivity & Business Processes segment generated $34.1 billion in revenues, growing 16% year over year [5] - Intelligent Cloud segment revenues were $32.9 billion, reflecting a 29% year-over-year growth [9] - More Personal Computing segment revenues decreased 3% year over year to $14.3 billion [13] AI and Technology Advancements - Microsoft expanded its AI infrastructure, serving over 80,000 organizations, including 80% of Fortune 500 companies [16] - The company reported 900 million monthly active users of AI features, with over 150 million using first-party Copilots [17] - Microsoft Fabric revenues grew 60%, with SQL Database hyperscale revenues increasing nearly 75% [18] Capital Expenditure and Guidance - Capital expenditures totaled $29.9 billion, with expectations for a decrease in the next quarter [23] - For Q3 FY26, total revenues are projected between $80.65 billion and $81.75 billion, indicating growth of approximately 15% to 17% [27] - The company anticipates remaining capacity-constrained through at least fiscal year-end, impacting revenue opportunities for Azure [29][30]

Microsoft topped revenue and earnings estimates in its fiscal 2026 second quarter. But shares slid Wednesday evening as Azure failed to deliver meaningful growth upside. In-line guidance did little to change that narrative, which has been hurting the stock. Revenue increased about 16% year over year to $81.28 billion, beating the Street consensus estimate of $80.26 billion, according to data from LSEG. Earnings per share increased 28% from last year to $4.14, ahead of the $3.97 estimate, LSEG data showed. Q ...