Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, considering its unique position as one of the few SoC companies with a developer ecosystem and the expected benefits from the expansion of the edge AI hardware market [3][5]. Core Insights - The company is positioned to benefit from the trend of edge intelligence, having developed a robust developer ecosystem over the years, which has created a competitive moat [1][2]. - The B2D2B business model is central to the company's growth strategy, focusing on reducing developers' learning and time costs, thereby locking in application ecosystems and enhancing customer stickiness [2][19]. - The company has entered a high growth phase, with revenue expected to increase significantly due to the rising demand for AI terminal products starting in 2024 [1][10]. Summary by Sections Developer Ecosystem and Market Position - The company has established itself as an AIoT ecosystem player, benefiting from the long-tail market's demand for intelligent solutions, with revenue entering a high growth phase from 2024 [1][10]. - The development of the ecosystem can be divided into two phases: the construction phase from 2016Q1 to 2023Q1, and the harvesting phase from 2023Q1 to 2025Q2, where the daily project growth on GitHub increased from 45 to 123 [1][14][15]. Business Model and Competitive Advantage - The B2D2B model allows the company to sell a complete set of development tools rather than just chips, creating a strong competitive advantage through developer engagement and community support [2][19]. - The brand value and technical advantages underpin the company's open ecosystem, with the ESP32 brand recognized for reliability and performance, attracting more developers and customers [2][29]. Financial Forecast and Performance Metrics - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 5.59 billion, 7.18 billion, and 9.00 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 43, 34, and 27 [3][4][51]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 2,007 million yuan in 2024 to 4,298 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of approximately 23.4% [4][53].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][4] Core Views - The company is experiencing rapid growth in the AIOT long-tail market, with significant scale effects leading to increased profits. The revenue growth is primarily driven by the accelerated adoption of the company's wireless SoC solutions across various digital scenarios, including energy management and industrial control, alongside emerging fields like AI toys and smart agriculture [4][5]. - The company has a robust product matrix that includes Wi-Fi 6E and AI chips, with plans to expand into Wi-Fi 7 technology. The first Wi-Fi 6E chip is set for mass production in the second half of 2025, showcasing strong technical competitiveness [4][5]. - The company is enhancing its AI capabilities through collaborations, such as the launch of the EchoEar AI development kit, which aims to integrate AI into more smart terminal applications, thus expanding the AIoT industry [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company expects to achieve a revenue of between 1.22 billion to 1.25 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 33% to 36%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be between 250 million to 270 million yuan, an increase of 65% to 78% year-on-year [4][5]. - The gross margin remains above 40%, with R&D expenses increasing by 20% to 25% year-on-year. The operating leverage effect is expected to drive rapid profit growth as revenue increases outpace R&D expense growth [4][5]. Product Development - The company has completed engineering sample testing for its first Wi-Fi 6E wireless communication chip, which supports advanced features and is designed for high-speed wireless communication applications. The next-generation Wi-Fi 7 chip is also in development, indicating a strong focus on technological advancement [4][5]. - The collaboration with the Volcano Engine team to develop the EchoEar AI development kit highlights the company's commitment to integrating AI into its product offerings, enhancing user interaction and expanding its market reach [4][5]. Future Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 554 million, 717 million, and 884 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 41.94, 32.40, and 26.28 times [4][5].

Core Insights - The emergence of DeepSeek has propelled large models into the realm of edge AI, with companies like Lexin, Rockchip, and Allwinner making significant strides in this area, while JiaNeng has decided to cut its AI chip business [1][9]. Company Performance - Rockchip reported impressive half-year results, expecting revenue of approximately 204.5 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of about 64%. The net profit is projected to be between 52 million and 54 million yuan, reflecting a staggering growth of 185% to 195% [2]. - Lexin also announced strong performance, forecasting revenue between 122 million and 125 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 33% to 36%. The net profit is expected to rise by 65% to 78% compared to the previous year [4]. - Allwinner's 2024 annual report indicated a revenue of 2.288 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36.76%, and a net profit of 167 million yuan, reflecting a remarkable growth of 626.15% [7]. Product Development - Rockchip's RK3588 chip has become a staple for embedded engineers, with a projected shipment of 4 million units and revenue of 1.3 billion yuan in 2024. The company is also advancing in AI with the release of the RV1126B AI vision chip and RK2118G audio processing chip [3]. - Lexin is focusing on wireless connectivity innovations, with plans to mass-produce its first Wi-Fi 6E chip in the second half of 2025 and has already launched several popular ESP32 variants [5]. - Allwinner is enhancing its documentation and SDK offerings, aiming to regain its position in the single-board computer market by providing better support for its SoCs [8]. Market Challenges - Despite the growth in edge AI, the market remains challenging, as evidenced by JiaNeng's decision to terminate its non-core AI chip business due to poor performance and lack of innovation in its product line [9].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Lexin Technology, anticipates significant growth in net profit for the first half of 2025, driven by the accelerated adoption of its wireless SoC solutions across various digital scenarios, particularly beyond smart home applications [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company projects a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 250 million to 270 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 65% to 78% [1]. - For the first half of 2025, the expected operating revenue is between 1.22 billion to 1.25 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 33% to 36% [1]. - The company's net profit after deducting non-recurring items is forecasted to be between 230 million to 250 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 58% to 72% [1]. Business Model and Market Position - Lexin Technology focuses on a long-term digital upgrade strategy rather than relying on short-term explosive growth from specific industries or clients, utilizing a 2D2B (to Developer to Business) business model [2]. - The company has established itself as an IoT technology ecosystem company, with its ESP32 brand gaining global recognition and expanding its market presence [2]. Profitability and Cost Management - The company's gross margin remains above 40%, meeting its expectations, while R&D expenses have increased by 20% to 25% year-on-year [2]. - The company expects that when revenue growth surpasses the growth rate of R&D expenses, operating leverage will lead to a rapid increase in profits [2]. Future Outlook - Lexin Technology anticipates achieving a net profit of 339 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 149.13% [2]. - The company has experienced a significant year-on-year increase of approximately 70% in net profit for the first quarter of the current year [2]. Stock and Capital Changes - The company plans to increase its registered capital from 112 million yuan to 157 million yuan due to profit distribution and capital reserve transfer plans [3]. - The stock price has seen a cumulative decline of about 12.14% since January, with the latest closing price at 136.72 yuan per share and a market capitalization of 21.4 billion yuan [3].

Performance Forecast - The company expects to achieve operating revenue between 1,220 million and 1,250 million yuan for the first half of 2025, an increase of 299.79 million yuan compared to the same period last year [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be between 250 million and 270 million yuan, representing an increase of 98.36 million to 118.36 million yuan year-on-year, which is a growth of 65% to 78% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is expected to be between 230 million and 250 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 58% to 72% [1] Previous Year Performance - In the same period last year, the company reported operating revenue of 920.21 million yuan, total profit of 142.28 million yuan, net profit attributable to the parent company of 151.64 million yuan, and net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses of 145.68 million yuan [1] Reasons for Performance Change - Revenue growth is primarily driven by the accelerated adoption of the company's wireless SoC solutions across a broader range of digital scenarios, including energy management and industrial control, with emerging fields like AI toys and smart agriculture beginning to develop [2] - The company maintains a gross margin above 40%, with R&D expenses increasing by 20% to 25% year-on-year, leading to a rapid profit increase due to operating leverage as revenue growth outpaces R&D expense growth [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the recent research conducted by Fengling Capital on Lexin Technology, emphasizing its developer ecosystem and standard development paths [1] - Lexin Technology has a global market share of approximately 30% in its sector, driven by a strong focus on hardware and software integration [1] - The company is not currently planning to train large models but supports users in building applications suitable for their business scenarios [1] Group 2 - Lexin's revenue is primarily derived from Chinese customers, with an estimated 50% of their business being international [1] - The company maintains a gross margin of over 40%, with a sales model that is predominantly direct sales, accounting for more than 70% of total sales [1] - Lexin is actively involved in educational events to promote ESP32 as a standard platform for engineering education [1]