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美光:HBM 的顺风效应胜过利润噪音
美股研究社· 2025-08-21 11:09
Core Viewpoint - Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU) reported record revenue in Q3 and provided a strong guidance for Q4, with a clear outlook for HBM demand in 2025, leading analysts to reaffirm a strong buy rating [1][19]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3, Micron's revenue exceeded expectations by $474.5 million, achieving a record high with a 15% quarter-over-quarter growth and a 37% year-over-year growth [4]. - The guidance for Q4 targets revenue of $10.7 billion (±$300 million) [4]. - The company's current P/E ratio stands at 16.5, significantly lower than the industry median of 29.8, indicating an attractive valuation [18]. Group 2: HBM Demand and Supply - The HBM supply for 2025 is fully sold out, with HBM revenue experiencing a nearly 50% quarter-over-quarter growth [1][3]. - Micron is shipping HBM in bulk to four customers, including AMD's Instinct MI355X, which is currently in mass production [1][7]. - HBM4 samples have been provided to customers, with mass production expected around mid-2026, which is anticipated to boost revenue and profit [9][18]. Group 3: Market Outlook - Management expects significant growth in HBM bit demand, outpacing DRAM demand growth in 2026, which is positive for revenue and profit [4]. - The overall DRAM bit demand growth rate is projected to reach high double-digit percentages in 2025, while NAND bit demand growth is expected to be in the low double-digit percentage range [3]. Group 4: Profit Margins and Pricing - Despite strong revenue growth, profit margins are under pressure due to a decline in average selling prices driven by consumer product mix [2][12]. - The average selling price of DRAM decreased by a low single-digit percentage, while NAND saw a high single-digit percentage decline [12]. - Management anticipates a recovery in profit margins as the product mix shifts towards higher-margin data center products [18].
AMD reveals next-generation AI chips with OpenAI CEO Sam Altman
CNBC· 2025-06-12 19:07
Core Insights - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has announced its next-generation AI chips, the Instinct MI400 series, which are set to ship next year, aiming to enhance its competitive position against Nvidia in the AI chip market [1][2]. Company Developments - The MI400 chips can be assembled into a server rack called Helios, allowing thousands of chips to function as a unified system, which is crucial for AI applications [2][3]. - AMD's CEO Lisa Su highlighted that the Helios rack operates as a single massive compute engine, positioning it against Nvidia's upcoming Vera Rubin racks [4]. - OpenAI's CEO Sam Altman confirmed that OpenAI would utilize AMD's chips, indicating strong industry interest [2][3]. Competitive Landscape - AMD aims to compete with Nvidia's Blackwell chips by offering lower operational costs and aggressive pricing strategies [5][6]. - Currently, Nvidia holds over 90% of the data center GPU market, but AMD is focusing on capturing a share of the projected $500 billion AI chip market by 2028 [10][19]. - AMD's MI355X chip is reported to have seven times the computing power of its predecessor, enhancing its competitiveness against Nvidia's offerings [14][15]. Market Trends - Major cloud companies are expected to invest hundreds of billions in new data center clusters for AI, with $300 billion planned in capital expenditures this year alone [9]. - AMD's AI chip sales reached $5 billion in fiscal 2024, with expectations of 60% growth in the category this year [19]. Technological Advancements - AMD's chips are designed to excel in inference tasks, which are increasingly important for deploying AI applications, and they feature more high-speed memory compared to Nvidia's chips [13][14]. - The company is integrating its GPUs with CPUs and networking chips from its acquisition of Pensando to enhance the performance of its Helios racks [17]. Customer Adoption - AMD's Instinct chips have been adopted by seven of the ten largest AI customers, including OpenAI, Tesla, and Oracle, indicating strong market traction [15].
外媒:AI 客户对 MI325X 不感兴趣
半导体芯闻· 2025-05-15 10:07
Infiniband 等网络技术互连集群,这会降低可扩展性。 如果您希望可以时常见面,欢迎标星收藏哦~ 来源:内容 编译自 tomshardware ,谢谢 。 AMD 的Instinct MI325X加速器原本计划与 Nvidia 的 H200 竞争,但 SemiAnalysis的分析师认 为,其有限的可扩展性和批量出货延迟极大地限制了其商业成功。Instinct MI325X 缺乏关注的一 个主要原因是它不支持机架规模配置,另一个原因是即将推出更具竞争力的 Instinct MI355X。 AMD 于 2020 年第二季度开始出货用于 AI 工作负载的 Instinct MI355X 加速器,这比 Nvidia 开始出货其 H200 处理器晚了三个季度,并且与 Nvidia 的 B200"Blackwell"GPU 同步推出。根 据 SemiAnalysis 的数据,到目前为止,由于 Blackwell 的性价比显著提升,客户普遍青睐它,而 MI325X 的情况似乎也并不会明显好转。 首先,AMD Instinct MI325X 和 Instinct MI355X 的最大扩展世界规模(即单个系统或紧密耦合 ...