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Micron Technology(MU) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-09-23 23:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a gross margin above 50%, the highest since mid-fiscal 2022, with DRAM margins also higher than that period [42][43][44] - The operating margin is the highest since November 2018, indicating improved market conditions and pricing [42][43] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The NAND business is improving, with a focus on higher-value SSD products, although it remains below 2022 levels [42][43] - The company is transitioning from $13.8 billion in net CAPEX in 2025 to approximately $18 billion in 2026, primarily for DRAM construction and equipment [12][13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The demand for NAND SSDs in servers and data centers is expected to increase significantly in calendar 2026, driven by large hyperscalers needing more storage for AI deployments [8][9] - The DRAM market is currently tight, with expectations for further tightening due to robust demand and limited supply growth [40][42] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on the data center market, having exited the managed NAND segment to concentrate resources on higher ROI areas [11][86] - The strategy includes leveraging new product announcements and maintaining a strong competitive position in the data center SSD market [9][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the NAND industry's improvement, particularly with the expected increase in demand from AI server deployments [8][9] - The company anticipates that the HBM business will have a higher ROI compared to non-HBM DRAM, with expectations of increased market share in HBM by 2026 [17][20] Other Important Information - The company is ramping up one-gamma DRAM production, which is expected to be the primary source of bit growth for fiscal 2026 [47] - The company is also preparing for the introduction of high-capacity SSDs, with average capacities expected to escalate rapidly [55] Q&A Session Summary Question: State of the NAND industry and pricing expectations - Management indicated that bits down in the current quarter are noise based on segment mix, and they expect demand from hyperscalers to drive improvements in the NAND industry [8][9] Question: HBM market share aspirations - The company expects to gain higher market share in HBM compared to previous years, with a focus on ROI and disciplined investments [17][20] Question: CAPEX guidance and spending allocation - The majority of the increased CAPEX is directed towards DRAM construction and equipment, with limited additional NAND spending [12][13] Question: DRAM and HBM gross margins - Management noted that HBM margins are expected to remain higher than non-HBM DRAM, with stable ROI from long-term contracts [19][20] Question: Long-term agreements with clients - There is interest in long-term agreements, but the company is being cautious due to market dynamics and potential tariff impacts [83][84] Question: Impact of exiting managed NAND on DRAM sales - The company maintains strong relationships with smartphone customers, ensuring that exiting managed NAND does not negatively impact DRAM sales [89]
Micron Technology(MU) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-09-23 23:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a gross margin above 50%, the highest since mid-fiscal 2022, with DRAM margins also higher than that period [42][44] - The operating margin is the highest since November 2018, indicating improved market conditions and pricing [42][44] - CapEx guidance increased from $13.8 billion in 2025 to approximately $18 billion in 2026, primarily for DRAM construction and equipment [13][14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The NAND business is expected to improve due to increased demand from hyperscalers for AI server deployments, despite a current decrease in bits [8][9] - The company is focusing on data center SSDs, having exited the managed NAND segment to concentrate resources on higher ROI areas [11][85] - HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) is expected to gain market share, with aspirations to exceed previous levels due to strong product performance [17][24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The demand for NAND SSDs in data centers is projected to increase significantly in calendar 2026, driven by shortages in HDDs [8][9] - The DRAM market is currently tight, with expectations for further tightening in 2026 due to robust demand and limited supply growth [40][44] - The average capacities for SSDs in AI servers are expected to escalate rapidly, with new high-capacity drives being introduced [55][57] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to leverage its strong position in the data center SSD market and has announced new product launches to enhance its competitive edge [9][24] - There is a strategic focus on high-value segments such as HBM and high-capacity DIMMs, which are expected to drive significant revenue growth [65][66] - The company is being thoughtful about long-term agreements with customers, considering the evolving landscape and potential tariff impacts [82][83] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about improving NAND industry conditions and the tightness in the DRAM market, which is expected to enhance pricing and margins [9][40] - The company anticipates that the HBM business will continue to provide high ROI due to its unique product capabilities and customer demand [20][49] - Management highlighted the importance of adapting to the evolving AI market and the need for diverse memory solutions to meet various workloads [72][73] Other Important Information - The company is ramping up its one-gamma DRAM production, which is expected to be a significant contributor to bit growth in fiscal 2026 [47][48] - The company has achieved significant improvements in HBM3E yields and is well-positioned for the HBM4 market [61][62] - The exit from the managed NAND segment is part of a broader strategy to focus on areas with higher profitability potential [85][86] Q&A Session Summary Question: Current state of the NAND industry and pricing outlook - Management indicated that the current quarter's bit decrease is noise and that demand from hyperscalers will drive future growth in NAND [8][9] Question: CapEx guidance clarification - The company confirmed that the increase in CapEx is primarily for DRAM construction and equipment, with minimal additional NAND spending [13][14] Question: HBM market share aspirations - Management expects to gain higher market share in HBM compared to previous years, driven by strong product performance and customer demand [17][24] Question: DRAM and HBM margin comparisons - Management stated that while HBM margins are stable, the overall DRAM portfolio is expected to tighten and improve margins as demand increases [40][49] Question: Long-term agreements with customers - The company is exploring long-term agreements but is cautious about pricing and value creation in light of market changes [82][83] Question: Impact of exiting managed NAND on DRAM sales - Management reassured that exiting managed NAND would not negatively impact DRAM sales, maintaining strong relationships with customers [88][89]
Micron Technology(MU) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-09-23 23:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a gross margin above 50%, the highest since mid-fiscal 2022, with operating margins also at their highest since November 2018 [32][33] - The company expects gross margins to improve further in the second quarter relative to the first quarter [33] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The NAND business is experiencing improved conditions, with expectations for tighter supply and increased demand driven by AI server deployments [6][7] - The DRAM segment is currently tight and expected to tighten further in 2026, contributing to improved pricing and margins [29][32] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The demand for high-capacity SSDs is increasing, with average capacities expected to escalate rapidly, particularly in AI servers [44] - The company anticipates significant growth in the data center segment, which has become a larger part of the total addressable market (TAM) and is driving overall profitability [54][55] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on enhancing its data center SSD business and has decided to exit the managed NAND market to improve overall ROI [9][71] - The strategy includes leveraging new product announcements and maintaining a strong competitive position in the data center SSD market [7][72] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the demand for NAND and DRAM products, particularly due to the needs of hyperscalers for AI applications [6][7] - The company is optimistic about its ability to capture market share in HBM and expects to see higher share in HBM compared to previous years [13][18] Other Important Information - The company is investing significantly in DRAM construction and equipment, with CAPEX guidance increasing from approximately $13.8 billion in 2025 to about $18 billion in 2026, primarily for DRAM [11][19] - The company is ramping up production of one-gamma DRAM, which is expected to be the primary source of bit growth for fiscal 2026 [36] Q&A Session Summary Question: State of the NAND industry and pricing outlook - Management indicated that the bits down in the current quarter are noise based on segment mix and that demand from hyperscalers will drive NAND industry improvement [6][7] Question: HBM market share aspirations - The company expects to gain market share in HBM and is confident in its competitive positioning for HBM4, anticipating higher share compared to HBM3 [13][18] Question: CAPEX guidance and spending allocation - The majority of the increased CAPEX is directed towards DRAM construction and equipment, with minimal additional NAND spending [11][19] Question: DRAM revenue breakdown and margin contributions - Management clarified that while they do not provide specific margin comparisons, they expect tightening in the DRAM market to improve pricing and margins across the portfolio [29][32] Question: Long-term agreements with customers - There is interest in long-term agreements, but management is being cautious due to various market factors, including U.S. manufacturing and tariff implications [69][70] Question: Impact of exiting managed NAND on smartphone customers - Management confirmed that while customers may not be pleased with the exit from managed NAND, the strong relationship in DRAM remains intact [75]
MU's Embedded Business Grows 20%: Is AI in Industrial Gaining Steam?
ZACKS· 2025-07-02 15:06
Core Insights - Micron Technology's Embedded Business Unit experienced a 20% sequential revenue growth to $1.2 billion in Q3 of fiscal 2025, driven by increased demand in industrial and consumer embedded markets [1][10] - The growth is significantly attributed to industrial customers investing in AI, particularly in factory automation [2] - Micron also benefited from constrained supply of memory chips and low inventory levels, with notable momentum in the automotive market due to AI adoption [3][10] Business Strategy - In June 2025, Micron completed a strategic reorganization to focus more on AI growth opportunities, indicating the central role of AI in its long-term strategy [4][10] Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Texas Instruments and NXP Semiconductors are also seeing benefits from rising AI adoption in industrial and automotive markets [5] - Texas Instruments reported a recovery in its industrial segment and slight growth in automotive revenue [6] - NXP Semiconductors announced an acquisition to enhance its AI capabilities in various markets [7] Financial Performance - Micron's shares have increased by 43.8% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer - Integrated Systems industry growth of 29.3% [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 2.89X, which is lower than the industry average of 3.91X [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Micron's fiscal 2025 earnings indicates a year-over-year growth of 497.69%, with upward revisions in estimates for both fiscal 2025 and 2026 [15]